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Indian Economy Update

Indian Economy Update. June 22,2007 Isher Judge Ahluwalia. Emerging Economies : Growing Contribution. Emerging economies’ contribution to global economy is increasing rapidly Their share of world exports has increased from 20 per cent in 1970 to 43 per cent in 2005

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Indian Economy Update

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  1. Indian Economy Update June 22,2007 Isher Judge Ahluwalia

  2. Emerging Economies : Growing Contribution Emerging economies’ contribution to global economy is increasing rapidly Their share of world exports has increased from 20 per cent in 1970 to 43 per cent in 2005 Their GDP growth at 7 per cent is three times that of mature market economies at 2.3 per cent 2

  3. India:4th Largest Economy in PPP terms GDP 2005 PPP (at 2003 Constant Billion USD) In real per capita terms, India is 9 years behind China. Source: World Bank, WDI 2006

  4. Demographic Dividend % of Population aged 15-64 Source: UN, Population Statistics

  5. Indian Economy on an Upward Growth PathGDP growth at constant prices(% per annum) Source: Central Statistical Organization

  6. Inflation Rate (%) WPI CPI Source: Central Statistical Organization

  7. Declining Poverty UNIFORM REFERENCE PERIOD MIXED REFERENCE PERIOD Source: NSS Full Sample Surveys

  8. Changing Income Distribution Source: World Bank, WDI 2005, NSS Full Sample Surveys

  9. Comments on Poverty and Income Distribution

  10. Social Indicators :1 Life Expectancy (Years) Literacy Rate (% of population) Source: Census of India, National Family Health Survey-I,II,III

  11. Social Indicators :2 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000 live births) Maternal Mortality Rate(per 10,000 live births) Source: Census of India, Sample Registration System (SRS) Estimates, National Family Health Survey-I,II,III

  12. Social Indicators :3 Population Growth Rate (%) Birth Rate Birth per 1000 population Fertility Rate Avg lifetime births per women Source: Census of India, Sample Registration System (SRS) Estimates, National Family Health Survey-I,II,III

  13. Social Indicators :4 Access to Safe Drinking Water(% of households) Access to Sanitation Facility(% of households)) Source: Census of India

  14. Social Indicators :5 Underweight Children (%) Net Enrolment Rate (%) For children under three years of age. The nutritional status (weight-for age) is measured as percentage below 2 SD from the median of the International Reference Period. Source: National Family Health Survey-I,II,III Source: Ministry of Human Resource Development

  15. Gross Domestic Saving(% of GDP) Source: Central Statistical Organization

  16. Gross Investment(% of GDP) Source: Central Statistical Organization

  17. Trade in Goods and Services(% of GDP) Source: Reserve Bank of India

  18. Exports & Imports of Goods and Services(% of GDP) Source: Reserve Bank of India

  19. Growth of Goods Exports (%) Source: Reserve Bank of India; Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics (DGCI&S) , Ministry of Commerce, Government of India

  20. Growth of Services Exports (%) Source: Reserve Bank of India

  21. Index of Real Effective Exchange Rate Source: Reserve Bank of India

  22. Share of India’s Merchandise Trade in World (%) Source: www.stat.wto.org

  23. Current Account Deficit(% of GDP) Source: Reserve Bank of India

  24. Foreign Exchange Reserves (US $ Billion) Source: Reserve Bank of India

  25. Foreign Investment Flows (US $ Billion) Source: RBI, India

  26. Structural Change over timeGDP by Major Sectors: India and China Source: World Bank, WDI 2006

  27. Import Weighted Average Import Duty Rates in India

  28. India Inc on a buying spree

  29. Top 10 overseas acquisitions

  30. Factors driving the global acquisition spree

  31. Challenges1. Infrastructure

  32. Challenges2. Human Capital

  33. 2. Human Capital (contd.)

  34. Thank You

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