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The Road Ahead: Emerging technology and disability. Ben Foss Intel Corporation 2011 National Association of Law Students with Disabilities Conference Jan. 22, 2010. Me. Moore’s Law. Moore’s Law. 1982 Osbone Executive vs. 2010 Smartphone: Weight: 100X Cost: 10X Speed: 160X
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The Road Ahead: Emerging technology and disability Ben Foss Intel Corporation 2011 National Association of Law Students with Disabilities Conference Jan. 22, 2010
Moore’s Law • 1982 Osbone Executive vs. 2010 Smartphone: • Weight: 100X • Cost: 10X • Speed: 160X • Size: 645X
Short history of cell phones: What a short, strange trip it has been? 1980s – industry born – simple phone service for wealthy. Devices size of a brick. 1990-1998 – standardization of networks and SIMs, standards for cross network communication and billing. 1999 – first MVNOs appear, beginning the lowering of cost. 2004 – end of ‘walled garden’; start of access to Internet. 2008 – independent software developers enter market for apps. 2009 – open to social networking sites. 2011 – operators ready for micro-payments via phone. Source: wwww.visionmobile.com
Size, growth and capabilities • Total mobile subscriptions hit five billion in July of 2010. 4.6B are simple, non-smart phones. • Consider cell phone use in these three countries: • US: 281M in use, 91% penetration • China: 832M in use, 61% penetration • Nigeria: 76M in use, 50% penetration • The ‘smart phone’ market is exploding. Today’s smart phone would have been owned only by the CIA in five years ago. • What if I have disability? Stigma and cost drop dramatically if you use a phone to get access. • Demo Text to Speech and Reader Functions Source: MIT Report:http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20100928VL201.html; CTIA surge http://files.ctia.org/pdf/CTIA_Survey_Midyear_2009_Graphics.pdf; NCC http://www.telecompaper.com/news/article.aspx?cid=661317;