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Dr. Curtis J. Bonk Professor, Indiana University President, SurveyShare, Inc.

The Perfect Storm: Emerging Technology, Enhanced Pedagogy, Enormous Learner Demand, and Erased Budgets. Dr. Curtis J. Bonk Professor, Indiana University President, SurveyShare, Inc. http://php.indiana.edu/~cjbonk cjbonk@indiana.edu. Four Storms are Approaching!. I. Emerging Technology.

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Dr. Curtis J. Bonk Professor, Indiana University President, SurveyShare, Inc.

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  1. The Perfect Storm: Emerging Technology, Enhanced Pedagogy, Enormous Learner Demand, and Erased Budgets Dr. Curtis J. Bonk Professor, Indiana University President, SurveyShare, Inc. http://php.indiana.edu/~cjbonk cjbonk@indiana.edu

  2. Four Storms are Approaching! I. Emerging Technology II. Escalating Demands III. Erased Budgets IV. Enhanced Teaching

  3. Did he say chocolate?Who wants some chocolate???

  4. Ok, Million Dollar Question: Which technology will impact schools the most?

  5. Assistive Technologies & Talking Computers Blogs and Online Diaries Digital Portfolios Electronic Books Online Communities and Learning Portals Intelligent Agents Online Exams and Homework Online Games and Simulations (Massive Multiplayer Gaming) Online Translation Tools & Language Lrng Course Management Systems Peer-to-Peer Collaboration Reusable Content Objects Videostreaming, IP Videoconferencing Virtual Worlds/Reality Wearable Computing Wireless Tech: Tablet PCs, Handheld Devices Storm 1. Emerging Learning Technologies

  6. 1. Computers that Talk to You ($595)USA Today, June 18, 2003 • How is the weather this morning? • What is the score of the Cubs game? • What time is it in Helsinki? • Give me a recipe for chicken. • How did the market do today? • What is 16 degrees in Celsius, in Fahrenheit? • Where is Finding Nemo playing?

  7. 2. Blogs (diaries, writing)

  8. 3. Electronic Books

  9. 4. Reusable Learning Objects • “Learning Objects are small or large resources that can be used to provide a learning experience. These assets can be lessons, video clips, images, or even people. The Learning Objects can represent tiny "chunks" of knowledge, or they can be whole courses.” Claude Ostyn, Click2Learn

  10. 5. Gaming (Pocket PCs)Technology Review (June 2004)

  11. 6. Virtual Worlds/Virtual Reality

  12. 7. Wearable Computing

  13. 8. Wireless Technology

  14. Big tech on campus By Marguerite Reardon, CNET News.com September 6, 2004

  15. Korea has the broadband!

  16. 9. Tablet PCs Finally Taking Off  (Wired News, Sept 28, 2003) • “And while Promisel said there will be a consumer market for tablet PCs -- such as college students taking them to class for note-taking -- what really needs to happen for the tablet PC to take off is the development of new software applications for corporate customers. …predicts that in 2003, a total of 500,000 tablet PCs will be sold around the globe, which represents about 1 percent of the total portable PC market…But, by 2007, IDC forecasts that the tablet PC could account for well over 20 percent of the portable market.”

  17. 10. Online Simulations: National Budget and Biology

  18. 11. Collaborative Tools

  19. 12. Pedagogical Course Management Systems?

  20. 13. Videostreaming and Videoconferencing (to take off in next several years …$4.5 billion in 2007 (Sept 23, 2003, Stephanie Olsen, CNet News.com). • “I quickly found the standard production-based methods for creating and delivering engaging e-learning content were not sufficient…we discovered the Tegrity WebLearn solution for on-demand and live e-learning.” • “…once they are recorded, the lectures can be reused in subsequent classes or stored as reference materials…I now have 100% of my lectures ready for the next time I teach this class.” (On Demand Lectures Create an Effective Distrib Ed Experience, T.H.E. Journal, Nov, 2003, Stanley D. Lindsey).

  21. Synchronous technologies will be used more in business.

  22. Videostreaming is a Breeze!

  23. 14. Open Source SoftwareStandards for Ed Tech Interoperability Standards, Nov. 24, 2003http://www.cetis.ac.uk/content2/20031124150257http://www.sakaiproject.org/sakaiproject/

  24. 15. Wikipedia

  25. 16. Computer Grading(New York Times, May 19, 2004, Latent Semantic Analysis, Thomas K. Landauer, UC Boulder)

  26. How many have ever felt that they hit the wall as far as teaching online?

  27. On to Storm 2…Escalating (Learner) Demands

  28. The Adoption and Use of the Internet in South Korea Kyung Yong Rhee, Occupational Safety & Health Institute Wang-Bae Kim; Yonsei UniversityJCMC 9 (4) July 2004http://www.ascusc.org/jcmc/vol9/issue4/rhee.html Figure 2. Trend of rate of Internet use in South Korea. Source: Ministry of Information and Communication, South Korea (2003).

  29. The Peak Group, an educational consulting firm, estimates that more than 1 million American high school students are currently taking Internet courses, up from 571,000 last year and 378,000 the year before. • More students log on to learn, Boston.com, Peter Schworm, September 16, 2004.

  30. 90% of four-year public schools and more than half of four-year private schools offer some form of online ed. • Online schools clicking with studentsBy Greg Botelho, CNN, Friday, August 13, 2004. • 41% of K-12 offer some type of online options in 2004-05; 10 percent higher than previous year. • Study reveals trends in ed-tech spending; Corey Murray, sSchool News, September 30, 2004.

  31. Herald Tribune, Nov 14th, 2003Students clicking for classes: Florida Virtual School lets high schoolers take courses on the Internet. “Students and teachers alike are drawn to the online classes because of the flexibility they provide. Anna Coppola taught at Sarasota High School for about a year before switching to FVS, and she prefers the virtual classroom..” “Her students are less afraid to ask questions online, and, because they don't have any time constraints, they do well.”

  32. Herald Tribune, Nov 14th, 2003Students clicking for classes(from 18,000 classes in 2002 to 28,000 in 2003) "I was shocked at the quality of work they do," Coppola said. "A lot of them e-mail me with questions."“Still, some educators, policy-makers and researchers are skeptical of what they see as exaggerated claims about online learning. And they worry about what is lost when students do not meet face to face with their classmates and teachers.”

  33. Online Learning Hits High SchoolsFlexibility, more choices draw studentsMSNBC, Jackie Hallifax, October, 2003 • US: 85,000 in virtual schools in 2001-02 • US: Could increase to 272,000 in 2003-2004 • US: 67 virtual charter schools in 17 states serve 21,000 students

  34. A New Campus Sign: No Vacancy A rush of high-school graduates fills many colleges to bursting Chronicle of Higher Ed, Megan Meline, November 7, 2003

  35. Online Learning: Utah Colleges, universities are embracing future with Web classes. Stephen Speckman, Deseret Morning News, Sept 28, 2004 • 60% of all state funded secondary schools will have high-speed ethernet connections and 100% of public higher ed.

  36. Indiana Univ (8 campuses): Spring 2004Students: 90,343 loaded; 76,890 logged in (85%)Faculty: 7,092 loaded; 5,664 logged in (80%)Courses: 21,942 loaded; 7366 active (34%)

  37. Kelley Direct Head Count (est.)

  38. Illinois Virtual Campus (Fall 2003 Newsletter);Ivan Lach, istovall@uillinois.eduhttp://www.ivc.illinois.edu/pubs/enrollment/Fall_03.html • 68 Illinois institutions (public and private, 2-year and 4-year) • 3,742 course sections and 50,093 students in fall 2003 • 125,074 online students during 2002-2003 year (54% increase) • 34,399 for summer ’03 (45% increase) See also: http://www.ivc.illinois.edu/ (Oakley, 2003)

  39. http://www.ivc.illinois.edu/pubs/enrollment/Fall_03.html

  40. University of Illinois at Springfield • http://www.online.uillinois.edu/oakley/presentations/IOC_20Feb04.ppt (Burks Oakley, March 18, 2004)

  41. Penetration of online learninghttp://www.online.uillinois.edu/oakley/presentations/IOC_20Feb04.ppt (Burks Oakley, March 18, 2004) • In the Spring 2004 semester at UIS • 31% in at least 1 OL class (about 1 in 3) • 17% enrolled in OL exclusively • 18% credits are generated by OL (40% growth from 2003) • 47% of 2003 grads took at least 1 OL course • 50% of faculty taught at least 1 OL course. • Retention rate ranges from .93-.96 percent.

  42. SUNY Learning Network(Peter Shea; Director: SUNY Learning Network, May 24, 2004, Peter.Shea@sln.suny.edu)

  43. We’re in the Midst of Storm 3: Erased Budgets

  44. eSchool News, January 1, 2004Average Budget Slashed from $13.9 to $10.4

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