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Insuring the uninsurable The French Natural Catastrophe System. Paris 1910 - French Parlement. Windstorms and hurricanes Lothar & Martin (1999 ) EUR 7-8 Billion Cyclone Hugo (1989) : EUR 700-750 Million Floods Centennial flood in the Paris area (IIBRBS estimate )
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Insuring the uninsurableThe French Natural Catastrophe System Paris 1910 - French Parlement
Windstorms and hurricanes • Lothar & Martin (1999) EUR 7-8 Billion • Cyclone Hugo (1989) : EUR 700-750 Million • Floods Centennial flood in the Paris area (IIBRBS estimate) • EUR 3.2 billion for direct damages • EUR 1.5 billion for indirect damages • 200 towns • 250 000 persons What perils menace France ?
What perils menace France ? • Landslides (including subsidence) • At least EUR 2.6 billion since 1989 • Earthquake • EUR 61 million for the small Annecy earthquake • “The Big One” : a major earthquake in south of France would cause very important damage • Avalanches
France has split natural perils in two categories : • Perils considered as insurable : • windstorms/hurricanes • hail • snow pressure • freeze • Perils considered as uninsurable : • all others (floods, earthquake, landslides, avalanches…etc). • The border between these two categories is not fixed. Insurability of natural perils
Public funds • State systems • Financed by taxes National Fund for Agricultural Disasters - 1964 Law • A mixed scheme • State and Re/insurance industry • Certain conditions fixed by the State • Solidarity Natural Catastrophe Scheme - 1982 Law For uninsurable risks
“…non insurable direct material damage arising solely as a result of a natural element of abnormal intensity, …when normal preventive measures have not been respected“ The damaged property must be covered by a “property damage” insurance policy • Prevention • Compensation The 1982 Law
Main characteristics of the “Natural catastrophe” insurance • Solidarity – obligatory extended guarantee on fire policy (direct damage and/or business interruption) • Security – guarantees replacement value of insured property, no time depreciation • Factors fixed by the State • declaration of the state of natural catastrophe, • definition of the perils, • deductibles, • rating.
Declaration of an Eventby inter-ministerial decree Compensation Decree Inter-Ministerial Commission Prefecture Prefecture Mayor Mayor
Inter-ministerial Commission • Distribution of accepted files by type or peril • (from 1982 to June 2002)
Deductibles and Rating • Deductibles fixed by the State and cannot be bought back • Rating : percentage of damage guarantees of the basic policy (or, failing this, 0,50% of the damage premium).
Risk Prevention Plans (“PPR”) : mapping of the risk used to develop durable urban planning (land use and construction codes) • 13,000 towns have a PPR • Deductibles : multiplicative factor applied to towns without a PPR where events are frequent : • 1 or 2 decrees : basic deductible • 3 decrees : doubled deductible • 4 decrees : tripled deductible • 5 or more decrees : quadrupled deductible Prevention
Market Premiums and losses –Non Auto (data source : ceding company accounts as at May 2002) M EUR %
CCR is able to offer the market a reinsurance scheme with unlimited cover, backed by the State guarantee : a guarantee of solvency. • CCR’s duty : increase the responsibility of those involved in the scheme, to insure the continuity and theviability of the system. • CCR and prevention : develop an effective prevention policy CCR’s Role
Evolution of cessions to CCR(loss occurring basis - millions of Euros) (*) Estimates
Evolution of CCR’s equalization reserve (Accounting years - millions Euros)
The 1982 law has shown to be adapted to the situation in France. However, France benefits from: • Moderate exposure to natural risks • A well developed insurance sector While it is not adapted to every situation, the French system can be used as a reference. Each market can find its own answer to financing natural risks depending on its exposure to perils, insurance market, culture and history. The French System : is it ideal ?
For further documentation on the French Natural Catastrophe Scheme:http://www.ccr.fr