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Ag Irrigation Hardware. Subcommittee Meeting April 4, 2013. Today’s Goals. Get consensus on what to present to the RTF as the “subcommittee recommendation” Determine the appropriate UES measure category Proven, Provisional, or Planning; or Small Saver
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Ag Irrigation Hardware Subcommittee Meeting April 4, 2013
Today’s Goals • Get consensus on what to present to the RTF as the “subcommittee recommendation” • Determine the appropriate UES measure category • Proven, Provisional, or Planning; or • Small Saver • Review measure input assumptions and analysis methods • Savings • Cost & Life
Guidelines: Options for UES (Categories) • Path to Proven • Proven • Baseline and efficient-case are “reliable” (backed by data) • Provisional • Baseline is “reliable” (backed by data) • Efficient-case can be determined using “reasonable assumptions (estimates ok) • Needs a research plan to get to proven • Planning • Assumptions are “reasonable” (estimates ok) • Needs a research plan to get to provisional or proven • Alternative: Small Saver • Assumptions are “reasonable” (estimates ok) • RTF knows “small” when it sees it (“small” refers to the regional savings potential) • If the measure remains a small (<10%) part of a utility’s efficiency portfolio, program evaluations may use the unit energy savings values. If it’s >10%, need full evaluation.
Major Issues with Proven Category • Irrigation Hardware are Maintenance Measures • Baseline? • When do farmers naturally fix leaks or improve uniformity? • No representative pre/post energy measurements • The Idaho study gives us a good idea of leakage rates and uniformity, but • The translation of fixed leaks and better uniformity to energy savings requires assumptions • It doesn’t provide a representative sample of the population • Billing analysis from PacifiCorp study looks inconclusive • Neither of these issues are easy to solve. Therefore…
Recommendation: Small Saver • “Small” • Regional program has been operating at about 1 aMW/year • The numerous input assumptions can be estimated using “professional judgment” by this subcommittee. Go to proposed measure workbook… AgIrrigationHardware_v3_PROPOSED.xlsm