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Leading Change in Policing Conference 2012 Session 2. Perspectives on the context for change. Policing and the Public in 2012 . Ashley Ames, Research Director ashley.ames@ipsos.com. Turbulent economic times and harder public attitudes . Economy dominates the national mood.
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Leading Change in Policing Conference 2012Session 2 Perspectives on the context for change
Policing and the Public in 2012 Ashley Ames, Research Director ashley.ames@ipsos.com
Economy dominates the national mood What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Economy Race / immigration Unemployment Crime/ Law & Order NHS
Support for spending cuts has fallen There is a real need to cut spending on public services in order to pay off the deficit There is a real need to cut spending on public services in order to pay off the deficit … Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI % Agree % Disagree
Illustration of how public mindset has changed … April 2003 November 2011 Not applicable Not applicable Don’t know Higher Higher Don’t know About the same About the same Lower Lower Base: c500-1,000 British adults 18+ Source: Reuters/Ipsos MORI Political Monitor When they reach your age, do you think your children will have a higher or lower quality of life than you, or about the same?
“The government should spend more money on welfare benefits for the poor, even if it leads to higher taxes”
What do the public think of the police and how do they react to budget cuts?
The possibility of scaling back policing services worries people How worried, if at all, would you be if the police stopped providing the full range of services we have discussed due to budget cuts? Don’t know (1%) Not at all worried Not worried 13% Not very worried Worried 86% Very worried Fairly worried Base: 1,141 British adults aged 15+, Ipsos MORI Omnibus, 7th – 13th January 2010
NHS and schools prioritised over policing Which TWO or THREE, if any, of the following main areas of public spending do you think should be protected from any cuts? The NHS/health care Schools The Police Care for the elderly Social services Local authority services Benefit payments Overseas aid Defence None of these Don’t know Source: Ipsos MORI/BBC London Base: All 16+ London adults who think some services should be protected (775), 23rd -25th September 2011
How do the public react to service reform and transformation?
Where the public are at on public services • People value the security provided by public services • Fairness is key – often equated with universal provision • People want to protect what they have • Private sector involvement is a low salience issue • When prompted to engage, issues are raised around expertise, VfM, technology, efficiency, accountability • How public would judge success/failure day to day?
Among public sector leaders – outsourcing not an obvious priority What would you say is the most important issue facing your sector today? % Top mentions Base: 338 Public Sector Leaders, 27 June – 22 July 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI
Positioning is critical For each, would you tell me whether you generally trust them to tell the truth or not? Base: 1,026 United Kingdom adults aged 15+, 10-16 June 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI/BMA
Three online responses to a local newspaper article re. PCCs About time someone was responsible for policing. Hopefully it will be someone interested in cracking down on crime, more interested in protecting victims than the criminals. However I suspect it will be another smarmy well talking suit who somehow seems to do extraordinarily well out of becoming a public servant. I am strongly opposed to the plans to politicise the running of the police force. I expect that, as with local councils, those who shout loudest will have resources allocated to deal with trivial matters whilst the hidden real policing dealing with fraud, major crime and abuses will be cut back ….. most of all the elections and campaigning is a total waste of money that could be spent on something useful like police officers Because that's what we needed ... more politicians
Moving forwards • Difficult times – people anxious and don’t feel in control – fear for longer-term future/children • Not looking for leaders to love, but ones who can get us through an economic crisis … without seeing major impact to valued public services • Public more likely to accept innovation … • When it is not presented as “innovation” • Where the benefits are clearly framed and personally relevant • (Perceived) results are much more important than who runs what
Thank you Ashley Ames, Research Director ashley.ames@ipsos.com