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AIARD Conference

AIARD Conference. Colonel John Toolan Director, U.S. Marine Corps Command & Staff College. LOO. LOO. LOO. LOO. LOO. LOO. LOO. Mission Analysis. COA Dev #1. OVERARCHING CAMPAIGN DESIGN. Program Refinement Troop to Task. OPT. OPT. OPT. OPT. OPT. COA Dev #2. OPT WARGAME.

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AIARD Conference

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  1. AIARDConference Colonel John Toolan Director, U.S. Marine Corps Command & Staff College

  2. LOO LOO LOO LOO LOO LOO LOO Mission Analysis COA Dev #1 OVERARCHING CAMPAIGN DESIGN Program Refinement Troop to Task OPT OPT OPT OPT OPT COA Dev #2 OPT WARGAME Integration and Refinement Prioritization and Sequencing OPT OPT OPT OPT OPT C-5 WARGAME OVERARCHING CAMPAIGN DESIGN

  3. Center Of Gravity GOI LEGITIMACY IN AL ANBAR DESTABILIZATION • Local / Provincial Governments • Civil Services • Functioning Judiciary • Functioning Police Forces • Functioning Local Economies • Public Support • Corrupt / Poor governments • Lack of public services • Crime • AIF Kinetic Acts • Tribal in-fighting • Lack of Education • Media • Religion • Local Population • National • NGOs • Regional • International

  4. Enemy Operational COG Corrupt/ Poor Govt Tribal Influence Facilitate Education Religion Develop Ownership in GOI Establish Rule of Law Hopelessness Reduce Coalition Visibility/CAP Counter AIF IO Messages w/ Truth Will Coalition Kinetic Act Destabilization Deny Sanctuary Indifference Anger & Shame Build Legitimate gov’t w/ inter-ethnic representation Secure Borders Develop Sustainable Employment Fear AIF IO Msg. Isolate Pop. fm Insurgents Provide Social Safety Net Lack of Pub. Svc Improve QOL Geography Lack of Educ. Improve Public Services Poverty Violence Foreign Influence Rule of Law Culture. Targetable tasks Disrupting effects

  5. Campaign Objectives • Defeat AIF destabilization themes by strengthening Iraqi public understanding of coalition and GOI efforts. • Build & transition ISF to secure borders, promote rule of law & neutralize AIF. • Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions that provide essential services, education. • Improve quality of life that promotes public confidence and ownership in GOI. • Create long term sustainable employment by developing economic capacity.

  6. Al Anbar Campaign Objective Current Assessment

  7. Campaign Overview AL QAIM 3 AR RAMADI 2 BAGHDAD AR RUTBAH 4 AL ASAD FALLUJAH • Campaign Objectives • Strengthening Iraqi public understanding • Build & transition ISF • Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions • Improve quality of life • Developing economic capacity • Priority of Effort: • Governance • Economics • Security 1

  8. Situation Template

  9. C/JIATF-W Campaign Roadmap: Jul 2006 – Jul 2023 Jul 06-Jul 08 Jul 08-Jul 13 Jul 13-Jul 23 • CAMPAIGN OBJECTIVES • strengthen Iraqi public understanding • Build & transition ISF • Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions • Improve quality of life • develop economic capacity END STATE: A sustainable environment for Al Anbar’s citizens and resumption of full government control by legitimate Iraqi authority. OP AR RAMADI OP WERV OP AR RUTBAH Elections Elections Elections Governance Program Legislation Rule of Law Administration & Services Training & Education ECONOMIC PROGRAM

  10. C/JIATF-W Campaign Roadmap: Jul 2006 – Jul 2023 Jul 06-Jul 08 Jul 08-Jul 13 Jul 13-Jul 23 • CAMPAIGN OBJECTIVES • strengthen Iraqi public understanding • Build & transition ISF • Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions • Improve quality of life • Develop economic capacity END STATE: A sustainable environment for Al Anbar’s citizens and resumption of full government control by legitimate Iraqi authority. OP AR RAMADI OP WERV OP AR RUTBAH GOVERNANCE PROGRAM ECONOMIC PROGRAM Banking Agriculture Utilities and Infrastructure Natural Resources Housing

  11. Campaign Objective 5: Create long term sustainable employment by developing economic capacity. PURPOSE: Increase Economic capacity in Al Anbar • Method: • Objectives: • 1. Expand Agriculture to support Iraqi needs with eventual • capacity to export, “Food basket of Iraq”. • 2. Develop sector business, based on Al Anbar’s natural resources • (sulfur, phosphate, oil, natural gas, cement factories). • 3. Establish local private banking, facilitating business and • personal loan programs. Develop microfinance structure to • support small business initiatives. • 4. Expand and upgrade critical infrastructure (PWR, H20, sewage, • telecom, road, rail) & utilities for Gov’t (Police, ISF, Health • Care, Judicial etc.) • 5. Expand & upgrade housing. • Narrative: Expand Al-Anbar’s agricultural capabilities IOT increase self sufficiency and reduce unemployment. Simultaneously expanding public service, banking and small business opportunities. • Supporting plans / Time line: See Timeline Slides 1& 2 END STATE: Secure, Stable, Sustainable, Diversified, Economy capable of expanding under a stable central government MOE’s - GDP per Capita - Unemployment Rate

  12. Economic Capacity – 2yr Timeline

  13. Economic Capacity 15 year plan

  14. QUESTIONS?

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