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P a g e | 1 Inter n atio na l A s s oci a t ion of R isk a nd Co mpl i a n c e Pr o f e s s io na l s ( I A RCP) 12 0 0 G St re e t N W Su i t e 8 0 0 W a s h i ng t o n, D C 2 000 5 - 67 0 5 U SA T e l : 2 0 2 - 449 - 9750 www .ri s k - c ompl i ance-a ss o c i a tion . c om.
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P age |1 InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP) 1200GStreet NWSuite800Washington,DC20005-6705USATel:202-449-9750www.risk-compliance-association.com Top10riskandcompliancemanagementrelatednewsstoriesandworldeventsthat(forbetterorforworse)shapedthe week'sagenda,andwhatisnext DearMember, Who“leadstheworldinitsimplementationofBaselIII”? Accordingto WayneByres,SecretaryGeneral,BaselCommitteeonBankingSupervision,Asia! “IwouldalsoliketoacknowledgethattheAsianregionleadstheworldinitsimplementationofBaselIII.” But…hecontinues: “Goldilocksexploredthebears’house,testingtheporridge,thechairsandthebedsuntilshefoundthingsthatshethoughtwere“justright” What?Goldilocksexploredthebears’house?Oh,no,Goldilocksisnot coveredinourBaseliiicourse.Itcould beimportant. Bearshouse?HemeansRussia?No, no,ithasnothingtodowiththecoldwar. Let’slearnmore …Google…Search…Goldilocks: InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |2 In 1837 RobertSoutheypublished"TheStoryoftheThreeBears". In Southey'stale,threeanthropomorphicbears– "aLittle,Small,WeeBear,aMiddle-sizedBear,andaGreat,HugeBear"– livetogetherinahouseinthewoods. Southeydescribes themasverygood-natured,trusting,harmless,tidy, andhospitable. Eachbearhashisownporridgebowl,chair,andbed. Onedaytheytakeawalk in thewoodswhiletheirporridgecools. Anoldwoman(whoisdescribedatvariouspointsinthestoryasimpudent,bad,foul-mouthed,ugly,dirtyandavagrantdeservingofastintintheHouseofCorrection) discoversthebears'dwelling. Shelooksthroughawindow,peepsthroughthekeyhole,andliftsthelatch. Assuredthatnooneishome,shewalks in. The oldwomaneatstheWeeBear'sporridge,thensettlesintohischairandbreaksit. Prowlingabout,shefinds thebears'bedsandfallsasleepinWeeBear'sbed. Theclimaxofthetaleisreachedwhenthebearsreturn. WeeBearfindstheoldwomaninhisbedandcries,"Somebodyhasbeenlying inmybed,– andheresheis!" Theoldwomanstartsup,jumpsfromthewindow,andrunsawaynevertobeseenagain.” InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |3 TwelveyearsafterthepublicationofSouthey'stale,JosephCundalltransformedtheantagonistfromanuglyoldwomantoaprettylittlegirlinhisTreasuryofPleasureBooksforYoungChildren. Thelittlegirlsawasuccessionofnames,includingGoldilocks.HereiswhereBaseliiicomesin,whenthe olduglylady(Basel2) becomesaprettygirl(Basel3)– Disclaimer:ThisishowIunderstood it… But…yes,WayneByres,SecretaryGeneraloftheBaselCommitteeonBankingSupervisionsaid: “Goldilocksexploredthebears’house,testingtheporridge,thechairsandthebedsuntilshefoundthingsthatshethoughtwerejustright.” Itisencoded!!!Pillar2,confidential.Let’sbreakit. “Goldilocks(Basel3)exploredthebears’house(BearStearnsandotherbanks),testingtheporridge(internalmodels,thebutterandporridge onthebreadofconsultants),thechairs(fitandproperfortheboardandseniormanagement)andthebeds(bonuses)until(itwilltakeuntil2019totesteverything)shefoundthingsthatshethought(inBaselwehave“realisticassumptions”,notfacts)werejustright(finalBaseliiiimplementation,readyforBaseliv)” Youcanlearnmore(aboutthespeech,notGoldilocks,atNumber3ofourlistbelow WelcometotheTop10list. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |4 TheUKPrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA) On1April2013thePrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA)willbecomeresponsiblefortheprudentialregulationandsupervisionofbanks,buildingsocieties,creditunions,insurersandmajorinvestmentfirms. In totalthePRAwillregulatearound1,700financialfirms. ThePRA’sroleisdefinedintermsoftwostatutoryobjectivestopromotethesafetyandsoundnessofthesefirmsand,specificallyforinsurers,tocontribute to thesecuringofanappropriatedegreeofprotectionforpolicyholders. SemiannualMonetaryPolicyReporttotheCongress SpeechbyMrBenSBernanke,ChairmanoftheBoard ofGovernorsoftheFederalReserveSystem,beforetheCommitteeonBanking,Housing,andUrban Affairs,USSenate,WashingtonDC WayneByres,SecretaryGeneralBaselCommitteeonBankingSupervision SIMPLICITY,RISKSENSITIVITYANDCOMPARABILITY:THEREGULATORYBALANCINGACT BCBS-EMEAP-FSIHigh-LevelMeeting, Seoul,Korea InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |5 ProtectingInvestorsthroughReliableAudits JeanetteM.Franzel,BoardMember WayneStateUniversity,GeorgeR.HusbandDistinguishedLectureSeries,Detroit,MI “ThecreationofthePCAOBendedmorethan100yearsofself-regulationbythepublicaccountingprofessionintheU.S.,andestablishedtheBoard'sregulatoryframeworkforfirmsthatconductauditsofcompanieswhosesecuritiestradeontheU.S.markets.” CounciloftheEuropeanUnion BaselIIIinEurope– CRD4 IrishPresidencyreachesbreakthroughonnewrulesforstrongerEUbanks TheIrishPresidencyhasreachedabreakthroughin talks withtheEuropean ParliamentonanoverhaulofbankingrulesincreasingEUfinancialstability. UpdateonMeasurestoAddressUnrecordedFinancialFlows BankNegaraMalaysia wouldlike toprovideanupdateonmeasuresthathavebeenundertakenbymembersofaHighLevelMulti-AgencySpecialTaskForce(TaskForce)to reduceillicitfinancialflows. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |6 PCAOBIssuesReporton2007-2010InspectionsofDomestic FirmsthatAudit100orFewerPublicCompaniesWashington,D.C. The PublicCompanyAccountingOversightBoardtodayreleasedareportsummarizinginspectionobservationsidentifiedinthe2007 through2010inspectionsofU.S.firmsthataudited100orfewerpubliccompanies. RemarksbyThomasJ.Curry ComptrolleroftheCurrency BeforetheNationalAssociationofAttorneysGeneralWashington,DC NISTSolicitsViews, IdeasfromStakeholdersforCybersecurityFrameworkforCriticalInfrastructure TheNationalInstituteofStandardsandTechnology(NIST)issuedaRequestforInformation(RFI)intheFederalRegisterasitsfirststepintheprocesstodevelopaCybersecurityFramework,asetofvoluntarystandardsandbestpracticestoguideindustryinreducingcyberriskstothenetworksandcomputersthatsupportcriticalinfrastructurevitaltothenation'seconomy,securityanddailylife. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |7 CRDIV FSArefreshedstatementregardingCRDIVimplementation TheoriginalproposeddeadlineforentryintoforceofthedraftEuropeanUnionlegislationtoupdatetheframeworkforcapitalrequirements,knownasCRDIV,hasnowpassed. NegotiationsbetweentheEuropean Parliament,European CommissionandCouncilofMinisterstofinalisethelegislationarestillunderway. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |8 TheUKPrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA) On1April2013thePrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA)willbecomeresponsiblefortheprudentialregulationandsupervisionofbanks,buildingsocieties,creditunions,insurersandmajorinvestmentfirms. In totalthePRAwillregulatearound1,700financialfirms. ThePRA’sroleisdefinedintermsoftwostatutoryobjectivestopromotethesafetyandsoundnessofthesefirmsand,specificallyforinsurers,tocontribute to thesecuringofanappropriatedegreeofprotectionforpolicyholders. In promotingsafetyandsoundness,thePRAwillfocusprimarilyontheharmthatfirms cancause to thestabilityoftheUKfinancialsystem. Astablefinancialsystemisoneinwhichfirmscontinuetoprovidecriticalfinancialservices– apreconditionforahealthyandsuccessfuleconomy. ThePRAwillmakeforward-lookingjudgementsontherisksposedbyfirmsto itsstatutoryobjectives. Thoseinstitutionsandissueswhichposethegreatestrisktothestabilityofthefinancialsystemwillbethefocusofitswork. ThePRAwascreatedbytheFinancialServicesAct(2012)andwillbepartoftheBankofEngland. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |9 Itwillhaveclose workingrelationshipswith otherpartsoftheBank,includingtheFinancialPolicyCommitteeandtheSpecialResolutionUnit. ThePRAwillworkalongsidetheFinancialConductAuthority(FCA)creatinga“twinpeaks”regulatorystructureintheUK. TheFCAwillbeaseparateinstitutionandnotpartoftheBankofEngland. TheFCAwillberesponsibleforpromotingeffectivecompetition,ensuringthatrelevantmarketsfunctionwell,andfortheconductregulationofallfinancialservicesfirms. Thisincludesactingto preventmarketabuseandensuringthatconsumersgetafairdealfromfinancialfirms. TheFCAwilloperatetheprudentialregulationofthosefinancialservicesfirmsnotsupervisedbythePRA,suchasassetmanagersandindependentfinancialadvisers. Priorto1April2013,theFinancialServicesAuthority(FSA)willcontinuetoberesponsibleforprudentialandconductregulationintheUK. TheBankofEnglandwillhavearesponsibilityforfinancialstability,basedonanamendedstatutoryobjectiveto protectandenhancethestabilityofthefinancialsystemoftheUnitedKingdom. And,insupportofthisobjective,theFinancialPolicyCommittee(FPC)willbeestablishedwithin theBank,chargedwithidentifying,monitoringandtakingactiontoremoveorreducesystemicrisks. TheFPC,whichalreadyexistsininterimform,willbeable tomake recommendationsandgivedirectionstothePRAandtheFCAonspecificactionsthatshouldbetakeninordertoachievetheFPC’sobjectives. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |10 Sourse:AndrewBailey,ExecutiveDirectoroftheBankofEnglandand ManagingDirectoroftheFinancialServicesAuthority’sPrudentialBusinessUnit,andSarahBreedenandGregoryStevensoftheBank’sPRATransitionUnit InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |11 InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |12 • Theletter • Dear • LatestupdateaswetransitiontothePrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA) • Thislettergivesyoumoreinformationonwhatyouneedtodotobereadyfor‘legalcutover’(LCO)on1April2013. • ThePRA’sapproachto supervisionwasoutlinedinthetwoapproachdocuments– oneforinsurersandonefordeposit-takersandinvestmentfirms. • WewillpublishrevisedversionsofthesedocumentsatLCO,andthereafterthedocumentswillactasstandingreferencesforfirmsonthePRA’ssupervisoryapproach,keyPRApolicies,andhow we intendtomeetourstatutoryobjectives. • Below isanoverviewofthekeymessagesfromtheapproachdocuments: • ThePRAwillhavetwo statutoryobjectivestopromotethesafetyandsoundnessoffirmsandspecifictoinsurers,to contribute tosecuringanappropriatedegreeofprotectionforpolicyholders. • Astablefinancialsystem,thatisresilientinprovidingthecriticalfinancialservices theeconomyneeds,isanecessaryconditionforahealthyandsuccessfuleconomy. • ThePRAwillnotoperateazero-failureregime. • ThePRAwill, however,seekasfaraspossiblewithresolutionarrangementsinplace,toensurethatanyfirmsthatfaildosoinaway thatavoidssignificantdisruption to thesupplyofcriticalfinancialservices, includinganacceptabledegreeofcontinuityofcoverforpolicyholders;and InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |13 - ThePRA’sapproachto supervisionwillbeclearlybasedonjudgementratherthannarrowlyrules-based,Supervisoryjudgementswillbeforward-looking,takingintoaccountawiderangeofpossiblerisks tothePRA’sobjectives. Theapproachdocuments canbeaccessedviatheFSAwebsite: Banking http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/other/pra-approach-banking.pdf Insurance http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/other/pra-approach-insurance.pdf In December2012,Igaveashort interviewentitled“Anewapproachtofinancialsupervision:thePrudentialRegulationAuthority”whichcanbeviewedhere: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJDp1XY3DJM Thefollowingisanupdateoncertainaspectsofthetransitionwherewecan now providegreaterclarity. 1.Changesinpolicy IndividualGuidance ThePRAwillhaveadifferentregulatoryandsupervisoryfocusthantheFSA,includinganewsetofobjectivesandadifferentapproachtosupervision,assetoutintheapproachdocuments. ThismeansthatguidancepreviouslyissuedtofirmsbyFSAsupervisorstoindividualfirmswillnothavebeenissuedwithPRAaimsandobjectivesinmind. Therefore,apartfromthefourcategorieslistedbelow,FSAindividualguidancewillnotautomaticallybepermanentlytransitionedorconfirmed bythePRA. Guidance tobetransitioned InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |14 Thefollowingfourcategoriesof‘individualguidance’willbeautomaticallytransitionedatLCO: IndividualCapitalRequirementsGuidance,includingcapitalplanningbuffersforbanks and capitalguidanceissued to insurers IndividualLiquidityGuidance IndividualguidancegivenbytheFSAthatenablesafirmtomovefromahigherproportionalitytiertoalowerproportionalitytierasprovidedforintheFSA’s‘GeneralGuidanceonProportionality:TheRemunerationCode (SYSC19a)&Pillar3 disclosuresonremuneration(BIPRU11)’ GuidanceonthecompletionandsubmissionofRegulatoryReturns OtherGuidance Firmsshouldreviewallindividualguidanceandtheirassociated behaviourinaccordancewithsuchguidanceandassesstheappropriatenessofthatbehaviourinlinewiththePRA’sstatutoryobjectives. FirmsshouldinmanycasesbeabletodothisbyexercisingjudgementandwithoutconsultingthePRA. Firmsshoulddocumentthisreview. Incertaincases,firmsmaywishtorequestthatthe PRA(FSAuntilLCO)reviewitemsofFSAindividualguidancewhichare: Notincludedinthe categoriesidentifiedabove;and Wherethefirmwishes thePRAtoexplicitlyconsiderandconfirmwhetherbehaviouroractionsinlinewiththatguidancewillremainappropriateinthePRA. Thisisnotanopportunity to requestthatallpreviouslyissuedindividualguidanceshouldberetained. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |15 Betweennow and30September2013,firmsmaysubmitalistofthoseitemsofindividualguidancewhichtheywishthePRAtoreview,togetherwiththeir ownassessmentofwhetherthebehaviouroractionssetoutintheguidancewouldcontribute towardstheadvancementofthePRA’sobjectives. Relationshipmanagedfirmsshouldsubmitrequestsforreviewtotheirsupervisor,andnon-relationshipmanagedfirmsshouldsubmitthemtotheCustomerContactCentreatemailaddressfcc@fsa.gov.ukuntil2April2013andthePRAfirmenquiriesatemailaddressPRA.Firmenquiries@bankofengland.co.ukfrom2April2013onwards. FirmswillbeabletocontinuetorelyonguidancereferredforreviewuntilthePRAreachesadecisiononwhethertheguidanceremainsappropriateorotherwise. Supervisorswillconfirmthetimetableforthereviewfollowingthesubmissionofthefirm’slist;reviewswillbecompletednomorethan18monthsafterLCO. OurjudgementandanyresultingresponsethatwegivetoafirmwillfocusontheadvancementofthePRA’sobjectives. Anyguidancethatisnotreferred tothe PRAforreviewwillceasetohaveanystatusasformalPRAindividualguidancefrom30September2013. Thisdoesnotmeanthatfirmsshouldautomaticallychangetheirbehaviour. Iffirmsdeemthattheirbehaviourisappropriate,theyshouldcontinuetoactinthatway. Iffirmsdecidetoaltertheirbehaviour,now or inthefuture,theyshould discussthiswiththeirsupervisor,in linewithPrinciple11. Thisapproachtoindividualguidancedoesnotchangerecentassessmentsoftherisksthatweseeasbeingposedbyafirm’sbusiness. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |16 In particular,westillexpectRisk MitigationPlanpoints(reflectingtheFSA’sobjectives)outlinedinpreviousARROWletterstobeconcluded,wherewejudgethattheywillcontributetoadvancingthePRA’sobjective. ExistingwaiverswillalsobeautomaticallytransitionedtothePRA. ThresholdConditions TheexistingFSAThresholdConditionswillbereplacedintheirentiretybytheThresholdConditionsbeing introducedbyHMTviasecondarylegislationpursuant to theFinancialServicesAct2012. TheThresholdConditionsintheorderthathasbeenlaidbeforeparliamentareessentiallyintheformHMTconsultedoninOctober2012. Thenewconditionswilltakeeffect atthesametimeastherestoftheamendmentstoFSMAareintroduced,on1April2013,forbothexistingauthorisedfirmsandall in-flightcases. The FinancialServicesandMarketsAct(ThresholdConditions)Order 2013,aslaidbeforeparliament,canbeviewedat:http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2013/9780111533802/pdfs/ukdsi_9780111533802_en.pdf 2.InteractionwiththePRAPRAwebpresence AnewwebpageforthePRAisnowavailableontheBankofEnglandwebsiteatwww.bankofengland.co.uk/pra ThiswillbethewebaddressthatfirmsshouldusefromLCO. AtthisstagefirmscanfindabriefintroductiontothePRAonthewebsite. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |17 Corporate information“AboutthePRA”willbeaddedandpagesonpolicy andPRAnewsandeventswillbepublished. ThecoreoperationalinformationonauthorisationsandsupervisionwillbepublishedatLCO. Firmsarewelcometosendfeedback includingcommentsandideasaboutthePRAwebpresence to pra.webcontent@bankofengland.co.uk. FirmEnquiries TheOctober2012approachdocumentsexplainedthatfirmswhodonothaveadedicatedsupervision teamshouldusetheFirmEnquiresFunctionastheirfirstpointofcontactwiththePRA. ThePRAFirmEnquirieswillbeoperationalfrom2April2013anditscontactdetailsare: Telephonenumber02034617000(operatinghours9:00– 17:00)EmailPRA.Firmenquiries@bankofengland.co.uk TheFSAcontactcentremust beusedforallenquiriesupto2April2013. However,duringMarchsomecalls tothecontactcentrewillbetransferredtothePRA’sFirmEnquiries,in preparationfortakingfirm’senquiriesatLCO. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |18 PublicationofthePRAHandbook Aspreviouslystated,atLCO,certainprovisionsfromtheFSAHandbookwillbesplitbetweentheFCAandthePRA. TwonewHandbookswillbecreated:oneforthePRAandonefortheFCA. MostprovisionsintheFSAHandbookwillbeincorporatedintothePRA’sHandbook,theFCA’sHandbook,orboth,inlinewitheachnewregulator’ssetofresponsibilities. Theintentionis to publishthePRAHandbookinMarch2013. AfterLCO,thePRAwillamendits ownsuiteof policymaterialasanindependentbodyinaccordancewiththeprocesseslaiddown in theFinancialServicesAct2012,includingcooperationwiththeFCAandexternalconsultation. EnforcementConsultation WepublishedtheconsultationonthePRA'sapproachto enforcement,includingproposedstatutorystatementsofpolicy andprocedure,on20December2012. TheconsultationisontheFSAwebsite,wewelcomeanycommentsontheproposalsby28February2013. http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/policy/cp/2012/12-39.shtmlAttachedisasetofupdatedFAQsandadditionalinformation. Yourssincerely InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |19 FAQsontransitiontothePRA 1.Generalquestions AtwhatstageistheFinancialServicesBill? The FinancialServicesBillreceivedRoyalAssenton19December2012andbecametheFinancialServicesAct2012(TheAct). SomesectionsofTheAct–cameintoforceon23January2013,inordertoenabletheTreasurytomakesecondarylegislation,andtoensurethatthenewregulatorscanpreparefortheirrespectiverolespostlegalcutover. Therestoftheprovisionsrelatingtothenewregulatoryregimewillcomeintoforceon1April,thedatedesignatedforlegalcutovertothenew structure. TheActwillbesupportedbysecondarylegislationandTreasuryhasconsultedonanumberofdraftorderswhichwillneedtobemadepriortolegalcutover. TheordersdetailingthenewThresholdConditions,allocatingresponsibilityformakingrulesinrelationto FSCSbetweentheFCAandthePRA,amendingcertainmutualslegislation,determiningwhichtypesofholdingcompanytheregulatorsnewpowersoverqualifyingparentundertakingsapplytoandspecifyingwhichregulatedactivitieswillbesubjecttothePRA’sregulationhavealreadybeenlaidbeforeParliamentandareexpected tobeapprovedbybothhousesbymid-March. http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2013/9780111533802/pdfs/ukdsi_9780111533802_en.pdf HowwillthePRAdeterminewhichinvestmentfirmsshouldbedesignatedforprudentialregulationbythePRA? WepublishedadraftstatementofpolicyonthedesignationofinvestmentfirmsbythePRAinOctober2012:http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/cp/boe-pra-cp.pdf InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |20 ThepolicystatementandthefirmstobedesignatedbythePRAwillbefinalisedahead oflegalcutover. ShouldIcontinuetosubmitmyreturnthroughGABRIEL? ThePRAwillhaveitsowndatacollectionandqualityassuranceteam– theRegulatoryDataGroup-whichwilltakeoverthePRAregulatorydatarelatedworkpreviouslyundertakenbytheFSA’sDataMonitoringTeam(theFSA’scentraldata collectionteam). ForfirmswhoreportregulatorydataviaGABRIELtherewillbenochange to thisreportingandyouwillcontinuetousetheGABRIELsystemtoreportasyoudonow. GABRIELwillbeoperatedbyFCA.Firmsare tocontinuetousetheircurrentURLandlogindetailstoaccessthesystem. Theexistingdataitemswillremainwithonlyminorchangestothewording. Anytechnicalqueries aboutthesystemshouldberaisedwiththeFCAContactCentreon08456069966oremailaddressfcc@fsa.gov.uk. WhereshouldIsubmitmyfirm’semail/paperreturns? Forfirmswhoreportregulatorydataviaemailor inhardcopy(paper)moredetailofwheretosubmityourreturnswillbeprovidedonthePRA’sinternetsitewww.bankofengland.co.uk/prasoon. Wherefirmsprovidedatadirectlyto FSAsupervisorsorpolicyteams,youwillcontinuetodosoafterLCO. If,afterLCO,youareunsurewheretoreportdata,pleasefirstlycheckthePRA’sinternetsiteunderthesectiononregulatorydataorcontactPRA’sFirmEnquiries. Contactdetailswillbe:Telephonenumber02034617000 InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |21 EmailPRA.Firmenquiries@bankofengland.co.uk WhenwillthePRAreleasefurthercontactdetails/newaddress? Movesto20Moorgatearetakingplaceinstages,havingstartedinearlyJanuary2013. Below isatablelistingthemovedatesforeachdivision: Supervisorswillconfirmoutstandingcontactdetailssuchastelephonenumbers,emailaddressesandemailaddressesaroundtheirmovedates. ForfirmswithPGPencryptedkeys,communicationonnewaccesscodeswillalsobeincluded. WilltheFCAandPRAhaveseparateregisters? TherewillbeoneregistermaintainedbytheFCA.Itwillbeavailabletoallfirms,reflectingthepositionofboththePRAandtheFCA. WillIretainthesameregistrationnumber? Yes.YourFSAnumberswillbecarriedacross tothenewRegister. WilltherebeaPractitionerPanel? Yes.ThePRAwillestablishaPractitionerPanel. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |22 2.Authorisationsandtransitionalarrangements Whatwillhappentoourexistingpermissionsandwaivers? Transitionalarrangementsfor‘grandfathering’existingprovisionsaredependentonsecondarylegislation. Weare indiscussionwithHMTreasury,withaviewtothelegislation providingthatexistingPartIVpermissions,controlledfunctions,passports,limitationsandrequirementsaregrandfatheredwithouttheneedforafirm to take action. Exactdetailsofgrandfatheringarrangementswillbefinalisedoncesecondarylegislationhasbeenpublished. Wealsopublishedmoredetailontransitionalarrangementsforapprovedpersons,andonHandbooktransitionalsmoregenerally,on25JanuaryinCP13/3 http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/policy/cp/2013/13-03.shtml WhathappensifweareapplyingforaneworvariedpermissionorwaiversovertheperiodincludingLCO? ThePRAwillensurethatapplications totheFSAthataremadebeforelegalcutoverbutnotdetermineduntilafterlegalcutoveraretransitionedtotheappropriateregulatorandmadeagainsttheappropriatestatutorytests. Exactdetailsof‘in-flight’authorisationarrangementswillbefinalisedoncesecondarylegislationhasbeenpublished. WhenwillweknowthefinalchangesbeingmadetotheApprovedPersonsregime? ThereismoredetailonourapprovedpersonregimeinourApproachDocumentsandintheconsultationpaper(CP12/26)coveringchanges totheapprovedpersonsHandbooksections. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |23 Thispapercanbeaccessedhere:http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/policy/cp/2012/12-26.shtml ConsultationforCP12/26closedon7December2012,wearecurrentlyreviewingtheproposals in lightofresponses to theconsultationandexpectthefinalPRArulesonapprovedpersons tobemadebythePRABoardatoraroundLCO,when othersubstantivechangestotheHandbookwillalsobemade,and accompanyingPolicyStatementsissued. Pleaseseesection4‘Policy Material’below formoredetailonfinalisingthePRAHandbook. Wealsopublishedmoredetailontransitionalarrangementsforapprovedpersonson25thJanuary inCP13/3 http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/policy/cp/2013/13-03.shtml Willthenewthresholdconditionsbemorespecific? HMTreasuryhaspublishedindicativethresholdconditions.Dualregulatedfirmswillneed tomeettwosetsofconditions,onesetfromthePRAandonesetfromtheFCA. ForthePRAtherewillbethresholdconditionsspecific to insurersandthresholdconditionsforallotherfirmsregulatedbythePRA. http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/condoc_fin_regulation_draft_secondary_leg.pdf WillauthorisationandthedifferentapprovalprocessestakemoreorlesstimewiththePRA? Thestatutorytimelimitonauthorisationsin FSMAwillremainunchangedafterlegalcutover. ThePRAwillreportagainststatutorytimelimits. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |24 ShouldIcontinuetouseONAafterlegalcutover? ImmediatelyafterLCO,theONAsystemwillcontinuetobeusedforthesubmissionofapplicationsandnotifications,withsomeminorchangestoreflectthatitwillbeownedbytheFCA,butaccessibletobothregulators. Willfirmsstillberequiredtodisclosewhotheyareauthorisedandregulatedby? Yes.Wehaveconsultedonrevisedwordingofthisstatusdisclosureandaproposedtransitional,aspartofconsultationonHandbookchanges.Thepapercanbeaccessedhere: http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/policy/cp/2012/12-24.shtml WillIberequiredtoresubmitanyinformationornotificationsthataresubmittedjustbeforeLCO? No.Anysubmissionsor informationreceivedpriortoLCOwillnotneedtoberesubmitted. CP13/3outlinesHandbooktransitionalprovisionsrelatedtoinformationsubmissions. HowwillIknowwheretosendinformationornotificationsafterLCO? Whereinformationornotificationsarerequiredunderarule,theappropriatesubmissiondetailswillbeupdatedinthePRA’srulesoronthePRAwebsite. CP13/3setsoutmore informationin relation to thetransitionoftimelimitsandnotificationrequirementsintherulebook. 3.Supervision WhatisthePRA'sapproachtosupervision? InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |25 ThePRA’sapproachto supervisionwasoutlinedinthetwoPRA‘approach’documents– onefordeposit-takersandinvestmentfirms,oneforinsurers– initiallypublishedinOctober2012tofacilitatescrutinyofthePRA’sproposedapproachastheFinancialServicesBillpassedthroughParliament. Thedocumentsalsosetoutsomekeypolicy materialforfirms. Wewillpublishupdatedversionsatlegalcutover,andthereafterthedocumentswillactasstandingreferencesforfirmsonthePRA’ssupervisoryapproach,keyPRApolicies,andthePRA’sstatutoryobjectives. WhenwillmylastFSAriskassessmentvisitbe? WearecurrentlyplanningthetransitionfromtheFSA’sriskassessmentframeworktothePRAframework. Firmswillbenotifiedofhowtheirsupervisionwillbetransitioned to‘continuousassessment’fromtheRegulatoryPeriodpreviously indicatedinanARROWorSupervisoryAssessmentletter. ThenewSupervisoryAssessmentFrameworkwillbeacontinuousassessmentmodel,focusingonjudgementsaboutkeyriskstothePRA’sobjectives. FormoredetailrefertotheApproachDocuments. WhenwillIknowwhichcategorymyfirmfallsinto? AcorepartofthePRA’sworkwillbetoassessthesignificanceofafirmtoitsobjectives. Withthisinmindwehavedividedallfirmsintofive‘categories’ofimpact. BeforeLCOwewillwritetofirmsnotifyingthemoftheir categorisation. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |26 WillmyfirmstillberequiredtocomplywithFSARiskMitigationProgramme(RMP)items?WhatwillhappentoRMP? WehavestreamlinedthenumberofactionsintheRMP andsplitthemintoconductandprudentialactions. YoursupervisorwillhavecommunicatedwithyourfirmtoconfirmtheoutstandingRMP actions,andyourfirmisaccountable to therelevantregulatorfortheirresolution. WhowillbemyPRAsupervisor? Oneofthemajorchangeswemadein2012wastoestablishprudentialandconductsupervisionteamsfordualregulatedfirms. YoushouldnowbeawareofyourPRAsupervisor. IfyouhavenotbeenallocatedasupervisoryoushouldcontinuetocontactusthroughtheFSAContactCentre. AtLCOthePRAwillhaveits ownFirmEnquires,contactdetailswillbe:Telephonenumber02034617000 EmailPRA.Firmenquiries@bankofengland.co.uk Willindividualcapitalguidanceandindividualliquidityguidancestillapply? BoththeindividualcapitalguidanceandindividualliquidityguidanceissuedbytheFSAtoPRA-regulatedfirmswillcontinuetoapply. HowwillEuropeanandotherpolicyinitiativessuchasSolvencyIIandCRDIVaffectthePRA’ssupervisionmodel? Informationabouthow theinteractionofsuchinitiativeswillaffect thePRA’sapproachwillbemadeavailableaspartoftheimplementationofthesepolicies. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |27 Policymaterial HowwillthePRAissuepolicymaterialafterLCO? ThePRAApproachDocumentssetoutthatthePRAwillestablishandmaintainpublishedpolicymaterialwhichisconsistentwithitsobjectives,clearinintent,straightforwardinpresentationandasconciseaspossible. AssetoutinourDecemberletter,onlyalimited amountofFSAnonHandbookguidancewillbetransferredtothePRA. In addition,theletteraccompanyingtheseFAQssetsoutindetailourapproachtoFSA IndividualGuidanceandtheactionrequiredbyfirms. Feesandcosts WillthecurrentfeestructurebeadoptedbythePRA? Firm’scurrentfeeswillseethemthroughthisfeeperiod.ForthefirstfeeyearunderthePRA(expectedtobe2013/14)thePRAfeesstructurewillbebasedonadaptingthecurrentstructure,makingonly thenecessarychangestoaccommodatedual-regulation. Theseproposedchangesareinthefeespolicy ConsultationPaper(CP12/28) http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/cp/cp12-28.pdf Howwillfeesbesetnextyear? ForthefirstyearunderthePRA(expectedtobe2013/14)thePRAfeeswillbeset to recovertheannualfundingrequirementitneedsto meetitsstatutoryobjectives. ThisfundingrequirementandthefeeratestorecoverwillbeincludedinthePRAfeesratesConsultationPaper(CP)expectedtobepublishedinApril2013. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |28 HowiscreatingthePRAgoingtobepaidfor? ThefeesthatwechargefirmsfundtheFSAandthetransitionworkthatwearedoingforthenewregulator. Wehavesetouttheregulatoryreformcostsinthisyear’sbusinessplan. TheActmakesprovisionforthePRAtorecover,fromtheindustry,theregulatoryreformtransitioncostsoftheFSAandtheBankofEngland. 6.Co-ordinationwiththeFinancialConductAuthority OnwhatbasiswilltheFinancialConductAuthority(FCA)andthePrudentialRegulationAuthority(PRA)worktogether? ThedraftMemorandumofUnderstanding(MoU)betweentheFCAandthePRAsetsoutahighlevelframeworkforhow thetwo regulatorswillworktogetherwithinthenewregulatorysystemprovidedforbytheAct. Itwillbevitalthatthetwo authoritiespursuetheir ownmandates,respectingtheUK’sTwinPeakssupervisorysystem. Butitwillalsobeessentialthattheycoordinate activitiesinsomeareas,andcooperateinothers. TheMoUsetsoutthesearrangementstohelpensuretheyareeffectiveandefficient. TherewillalsobeaseparateMoUcoveringthespecific issuesraisedbythejointregulationofwith-profitsinsurancecontracts. BoththeFCAandPRAarevisitingusnextyear,howdoyouintendtoseparatethetwoareas? TheFCAandPRAaretwo differentregulatorslookingatdifferentaspectsofthebusiness,althoughthereisarequirement to shareinformation.DetailoftheFCAandthePRA’sassessmentsandexpectationsoffirmsaresetoutintherespectiveApproachDocuments InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |29 • Current&forthcomingpublications • Thereareavarietyofpublicationsthatfirmsshouldbeawareof,including: • Banking-TheBankofEngland,PrudentialRegulationAuthorityapproachdocumenttobankingsupervision • http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/other/pra-approach-banking.pdf • Insurance -TheBankofEngland,PrudentialRegulationAuthorityapproachdocumenttoinsurancesupervision • http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/other/pra-approach-banking.pdf • DesignationofinvestmentfirmsbythePRA-thisdocumentsetsouthowthePRAwillexercisethepowersthatwillbeconferredunderFSMA2000,Order201(thedraftOrder). • http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/other/designation.pdf • DraftMemorandaofUnderstanding(MoU) • DraftMoUbetweentheFCAandthePRAhttp://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/mou/fca_pra.pdf • DraftWith-ProfitsMoUbetweentheFCAandthePRA • http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/mou/draft-with-profits.pdf • DraftMoUbetweenthePRAandtheFSCShttp://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/mou/fca_pra.pdf • DraftMoUbetweentheHMT,Bank,PRAandFCAoninternationalorganisations InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |30 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/fin_fs_bill_mou_international_organisations_jan2012.pdf - MoUbetweenHMT,Bank(includingthePRA)onfinancialcrisis management http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/fin_fs_bill_mou_financial_crisis_management_jan2012.pdf InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |31 SemiannualMonetaryPolicyReporttotheCongress SpeechbyMrBenSBernanke,ChairmanoftheBoard ofGovernorsoftheFederalReserveSystem,beforetheCommitteeonBanking,Housing,andUrbanAffairs,USSenate,WashingtonDC *** ChairmanJohnson,RankingMemberCrapo,and othermembersoftheCommittee,IampleasedtopresenttheFederalReserve’ssemiannualMonetaryPolicy Report. Iwillbeginwithashortsummaryofcurrenteconomicconditionsandthendiscuss aspectsofmonetaryandfiscalpolicy. Currenteconomicconditions SinceIlastreportedtothisCommitteeinmid-2012,economicactivityintheUnitedStateshascontinuedtoexpandatamoderateifsomewhatunevenpace. In particular,realgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)isestimatedto haverisenatanannualrateofabout3percentinthethirdquarterbut tohavebeenessentiallyflatinthefourthquarter. ThepauseinrealGDP growthlastquarterdoesnotappeartoreflectastalling-outoftherecovery. Rather,economic activitywastemporarilyrestrainedbyweather-relateddisruptionsandbytransitorydeclinesinafewvolatilecategoriesofspending,evenasdemandbyU.S.householdsandbusinessescontinuedtoexpand. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |32 Availableinformationsuggeststhateconomicgrowthhaspickedupagainthisyear. Consistentwiththemoderatepaceofeconomicgrowth,conditionsinthelabormarkethavebeenimprovinggradually. SinceJuly,nonfarmpayrollemploymenthasincreasedby175,000jobspermonth onaverage,andtheunemploymentratedeclined0.3percentagepointto7.9percentoverthesameperiod. Cumulatively,private-sectorpayrollshavenowgrownbyabout6.1millionjobssincetheirlowpointinearly2010,andtheunemploymentratehasfallenabitmorethan2percentagepointssinceits cyclicalpeak inlate2009. Despitethesegains,however,thejobmarketremainsgenerallyweak,withtheunemploymentratewellaboveitslonger-runnormallevel. About4.7millionoftheunemployedhavebeenwithoutajobforsixmonthsormore,andmillionsmorewouldlike full-timeemploymentbutareable to findonlypart-timework. Highunemploymenthassubstantialcosts,includingnotonlythehardshipfacedby theunemployedandtheirfamilies,butalsotheharmdone tothevitalityandproductivepotentialofoureconomyasawhole. Lengthyperiodsofunemploymentandunderemploymentcanerodeworkers'skillsandattachment tothelaborforceorpreventyoungpeoplefromgainingskillsandexperiencein thefirstplace– developmentsthatcouldsignificantlyreducetheirproductivityandearningsinthelongerterm. Thelossofoutputandearningsassociatedwithhighunemploymentalsoreducesgovernmentrevenuesandincreasesspending,therebyleadingtolargerdeficitsandhigherlevelsofdebt. Therecentincreaseingasolineprices,whichreflectsbothhighercrudeoilpricesandwiderrefiningmargins,ishittingfamilybudgets. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |33 However,overallinflationremainslow. Overthesecondhalfof2012,thepriceindexforpersonalconsumptionexpendituresroseatanannualrateof1-1/2percent,similartotherateofincreaseinthefirsthalfoftheyear. Measuresoflonger-terminflationexpectationshaveremainedinthenarrow rangesseenoverthepastseveralyears. Againstthisbackdrop,theFederalOpenMarketCommittee (FOMC)anticipatesthatinflationoverthemediumtermlikelywillrunatorbelowits2percentobjective. Monetarypolicy Withunemploymentwellabovenormallevelsandinflationsubdued,progresstowardtheFederalReserve’smandatedobjectivesofmaximumemploymentandpricestabilityhasrequiredahighlyaccommodativemonetarypolicy. Undernormalcircumstances,policyaccommodationwouldbeprovidedthroughreductionsintheFOMC’stargetforthefederalfundsrate– theinterestrateonovernightloansbetweenbanks. However,asthisratehasbeenclosetozerosinceDecember2008,theFederalReservehashadtousealternativepolicytools. Thesealternative toolshavefallenintotwo categories. Thefirstis“forwardguidance”regardingtheFOMC’santicipatedpathforthefederalfundsrate. Sincelonger-terminterestratesreflectmarketexpectationsfor shorter-termratesovertime,ourguidanceinfluenceslonger-termratesandthussupportsastrongerrecovery. Theformulationofthisguidancehasevolvedovertime. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |34 BetweenAugust2011andDecember2012,theCommitteeusedcalendardates to indicatehowlongitexpectedeconomicconditionstowarrantexceptionallylow levelsforthefederalfundsrate. AtitsDecember2012meeting,theFOMCagreed toshift toprovidingmoreexplicitguidanceonhow itexpectsthepolicy rate to respondtoeconomicdevelopments. Specifically,theDecemberpostmeetingstatementindicatedthatthecurrentexceptionallylow rangeforthefederalfundsrate“willbeappropriateatleastaslongastheunemploymentrateremainsabove 6-1/2percent,inflationbetweenoneandtwoyearsahead isprojected tobenomorethanahalfpercentagepointabovetheCommittee’s2percentlonger-rungoal,andlonger-terminflationexpectationscontinuetobewellanchored.” Anadvantageofthenewformulation,relative to thepreviousdate-basedguidance,isthatitallowsmarketparticipantsandthepublicto updatetheirmonetarypolicyexpectationsmoreaccuratelyinresponsetonewinformationabouttheeconomicoutlook. ThenewguidancealsoservestounderscoretheCommittee’sintentiontomaintainaccommodationaslongasneededtopromoteastrongereconomicrecoverywithstableprices. Thesecondtypeofnontraditionalpolicy toolemployedbytheFOMCislarge-scalepurchasesoflonger-termsecurities,which,like ourforwardguidance,areintendedtosupporteconomicgrowthbyputtingdownwardpressureonlonger-terminterestrates. TheFederalReservehas engagedinseveralroundsofsuchpurchasessincelate2008. LastSeptembertheFOMCannouncedthatitwouldpurchaseagencymortgage-backedsecuritiesatapaceof$40billionpermonth,andinDecembertheCommitteestatedthat,inaddition,beginninginJanuaryitwouldpurchaselonger-termTreasurysecuritiesataninitialpaceof$45billionpermonth. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |35 Theseadditionalpurchasesoflonger-termTreasurysecuritiesreplacethepurchaseswewereconductingunderournow-completedmaturityextensionprogram,whichlengthenedthematurityofoursecuritiesportfoliowithoutincreasingitssize. TheFOMChasindicatedthatitwillcontinuepurchasesuntilitobservesasubstantialimprovementintheoutlookforthelabormarketinacontextofpricestability. TheCommitteealsostatedthatindeterminingthesize,pace,andcompositionofitsassetpurchases,itwilltakeappropriate accountoftheirlikelyefficacyandcosts. In otherwords,aswithallofitspolicydecisions,theCommitteecontinues to assessitsprogramofassetpurchaseswithinacost-benefitframework. In thecurrenteconomicenvironment,thebenefitsofassetpurchases,andofpolicy accommodationmoregenerally,areclear: Monetarypolicyisprovidingimportantsupporttotherecoverywhilekeepinginflationclose to theFOMC’s2percentobjective. Notably,keepinglonger-terminterestrateslowhashelpedsparkrecoveryinthehousingmarketandledtoincreasedsalesandproduction ofautomobilesandotherdurablegoods. Byraisingemploymentandhouseholdwealth– forexample,through higherhomeprices– thesedevelopmentshaveinturnsupportedconsumersentimentandspending. Highlyaccommodativemonetarypolicyalsohasseveralpotentialcostsandrisks,whichtheCommitteeismonitoringclosely. Forexample,iffurtherexpansionoftheFederalReserve’sbalancesheetweretounderminepublicconfidenceinourabilitytoexitsmoothlyfromouraccommodativepoliciesattheappropriatetime,inflation InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |36 expectationscouldrise,puttingtheFOMC’sprice-stabilityobjectiveat risk. However,theCommitteeremainsconfidentthatithasthetoolsnecessary totightenmonetarypolicy whenthetimecomes todoso. AsInoted,inflationiscurrentlysubdued,andinflationexpectationsappearwellanchored;neithertheFOMCnorprivateforecastersareprojectingthedevelopmentofsignificantinflationpressures. AnotherpotentialcostthattheCommitteetakesveryseriouslyisthepossibilitythatverylowinterestrates,ifmaintainedforaconsiderabletime,couldimpairfinancialstability. Forexample,portfoliomanagersdissatisfiedwithlowreturnsmay“reachforyield”bytakingonmorecreditrisk,durationrisk,orleverage. Ontheotherhand,somerisk-taking– suchaswhenanentrepreneurtakes outaloan to startanewbusinessoranexistingfirmexpandscapacity– isanecessaryelementofahealthyeconomicrecovery. Moreover,althoughaccommodativemonetarypoliciesmayincreasecertaintypesofrisk-taking,inthepresentcircumstancestheyalsoserveinsomewaystoreduceriskinthesystem,mostimportantlybystrengtheningtheoveralleconomy,butalsobyencouragingfirmstorely moreonlongertermfunding,andbyreducingdebtservicecostsforhouseholdsandbusinesses. In any case,theFederalReserveisrespondingactivelytofinancialstabilityconcernsthroughsubstantiallyexpandedmonitoringofemergingrisksinthefinancialsystem,anapproach tothesupervisionoffinancialfirmsthattakes amoresystemicperspective,andtheongoingimplementationofreformstomakethefinancialsystemmoretransparentandresilient. Althoughalongperiodoflow ratescouldencourageexcessiverisk-taking,andcontinuedcloseattention to suchdevelopmentsis certainlywarranted,to thispointwedonotseethepotentialcostsofthe InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |37 increasedrisk-taking in somefinancialmarketsasoutweighingthebenefitsofpromotingastrongereconomicrecoveryandmore-rapidjobcreation. AnotheraspectoftheFederalReserve’spoliciesthathasbeendiscussedistheirimplicationsforthefederalbudget. TheFederalReserveearnssubstantialinterestontheassetsitholdsinitsportfolio,and,otherthantheamountneededtofundourcostofoperations,all netincomeisremittedtotheTreasury. WiththeexpansionoftheFederalReserve’sbalancesheet,yearlyremittanceshaveroughlytripledinrecentyears,withpaymentstotheTreasurytotalingapproximately$290billionbetween2009and2012. However,iftheeconomycontinuestostrengthen,asweanticipate,and policy accommodationis accordinglyreduced,theseremittanceswouldlikelydeclineincomingyears. FederalReserveanalysisshowsthatremittancestotheTreasurycouldbequitelowforatimeinsomescenarios,particularlyifinterestratesweretorisequickly. However,eveninsuchscenarios,itishighlylikelythataverageannualremittancesovertheperiodaffectedbytheFederalReserve’spurchaseswillremainhigherthanthepre-crisisnorm,perhapssubstantiallyso. Moreover,totheextentthatmonetarypolicy promotesgrowthandjobcreation,theresultingreductioninthefederaldeficitwoulddwarfanyvariationintheFederalReserve’sremittances to theTreasury. Thoughtsonfiscalpolicy Althoughmonetarypolicy isworkingtopromoteamorerobustrecovery,itcannotcarrytheentireburdenofensuringaspeedierreturn toeconomichealth. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |38 Theeconomy’sperformancebothovertheneartermandinthelongerrunwilldependimportantlyonthecourseoffiscalpolicy. ThechallengefortheCongressandtheAdministrationistoputthefederalbudgetonasustainablelong-runpaththatpromoteseconomicgrowthandstabilitywithoutunnecessarilyimpedingthecurrentrecovery. Significantprogresshasbeenmaderecentlytowardreducingthefederalbudgetdeficitoverthenextfewyears. TheprojectionsreleasedearlierthismonthbytheCongressionalBudget Office(CBO)indicatethat,undercurrentlaw,thefederaldeficitwillnarrowfrom7percentofGDPlastyearto2-1/2percentinfiscalyear2015. Asaresult,thefederal debt heldbythepublic(includingthatheld bytheFederalReserve)isprojectedtoremainroughly75percentofGDPthroughmuchofthecurrentdecade. However,asubstantialportionoftherecentprogressinloweringthedeficithasbeenconcentratedinnear-termbudget changes,which,takentogether,couldcreateasignificantheadwindfortheeconomicrecovery. TheCBOestimatesthatdeficit-reductionpoliciesincurrentlawwillslowthepaceofrealGDP growthbyabout1-1/2percentagepointsthisyear,relativetowhatitwouldhavebeenotherwise. AsignificantportionofthiseffectisrelatedtotheautomaticspendingsequestrationthatisscheduledtobeginonMarch1,which,accordingtotheCBO’sestimates,willcontributeabout0.6percentagepointtothefiscaldragoneconomicgrowththisyear. Giventhestill-moderateunderlyingpaceofeconomicgrowth,thisadditionalnear-termburdenontherecoveryissignificant. Moreover,besideshavingadverseeffectsonjobsandincomes,aslower recoverywouldleadtolessactualdeficitreductionintheshortrunforanygivensetoffiscalactions. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |39 Atthesametime,anddespiteprogressinreducingnear-termbudgetdeficits,thedifficultprocessofaddressinglonger-termfiscalimbalanceshasonlybegun. Indeed,theCBOprojectsthatthefederaldeficitanddebtasapercentageofGDP willbeginrisingagaininthelatterpartofthisdecade,reflectinginlargeparttheagingofthepopulationandfast-risinghealth-carecosts. Topromoteeconomicgrowthinthelongerterm,and topreserveeconomicandfinancialstability,fiscalpolicymakerswillhave to putthefederalbudgetonasustainablelong-runpaththatfirststabilizestheratiooffederaldebttoGDP and,giventhecurrentelevatedlevelofdebt,eventuallyplacesthatratioonadownwardtrajectory. Between1960andtheonsetofthefinancialcrisis,federaldebt averagedlessthan40percentofGDP. Thisrelativelylow levelofdebtprovidedthenationmuch-neededflexibilitytomeettheeconomicchallengesofthepastfewyears. ReplenishingthisfiscalcapacitywillgivefutureCongressesandAdministrationsgreaterscopetodealwithunforeseenevents. Toaddressboththenear-andlonger-termissues,theCongressandtheAdministrationshouldconsiderreplacingthesharp,frontloaded spendingcutsrequiredby thesequestrationwithpoliciesthatreducethefederaldeficitmoregraduallyintheneartermbutmoresubstantiallyinthelongerrun. Suchanapproachcouldlessenthenear-termfiscalheadwindsfacingtherecoverywhilemoreeffectivelyaddressingthelonger-termimbalancesinthefederalbudget. Thesizesofdeficitsanddebtmatter,ofcourse,butnotalltaxandspendingprogramsarecreatedequalwithrespect to theireffectsontheeconomy. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |40 Tothegreatestextentpossible,intheireffortsto achievesoundpublicfinances,fiscalpolicymakersshouldnotlosesightoftheneedforfederaltaxandspendingpoliciesthatincreaseincentives to workandsave,encourageinvestmentsinworkforceskills,advanceprivatecapitalformation,promoteresearchanddevelopment,andprovidenecessaryandproductivepublicinfrastructure. Althougheconomicgrowthalone cannoteliminatefederalbudgetimbalances,ineithertheshortorlongerterm,amorerapidlyexpandingeconomicpiewilleasethedifficultchoicesweface. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |41 WayneByres,SecretaryGeneralBaselCommitteeonBankingSupervision SIMPLICITY,RISKSENSITIVITYANDCOMPARABILITY:THEREGULATORYBALANCINGACT BCBS-EMEAP-FSIHigh-LevelMeeting, Seoul,Korea BeforeIbeginmyremarkstoday,Iwouldlike to thanktheFSIandEMEAP foronceagainorganisingyetanotherexcellenteventintheseriesofHigh-LevelMeetingsinAsia. PriortotakingupmycurrentroleinBasel,IattendedtheseeventsasanAustralianbanksupervisor,andalwaysfoundthemtobevaluableopportunitiesfortheexchangeofideasandviewsbetweentheregion’sseniorregulatorsandindustryrepresentatives. AlthoughIamnowbasedinanotherpartoftheworld,Iamveryhappytobeabletocontinuetoparticipateandcontributetothesediscussions. IwouldalsoliketoacknowledgethattheAsianregionleadstheworldinitsimplementationofBaselIII. Theregionhasbenefitedfromthedevelopmentofstrongbankingsystemssupportedbystrongregulatoryregimes. Furthermore,manyofyouhaverecognisedBaselIIIasaminimum,and have adoptedlocalpracticesthatimposeadditionalrequirements todealwithlocalrisks. Theresultishealthybankingsystemsthatarewellequippedtosupporteconomicgrowth,notleastbysteppingintothegapcreatedbytheconstraintsfacedbymanybanks in otherpartsoftheworld. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |42 • Findingtherightbalance • Iamsurethatmanyofyouknow thestoryofGoldilocksandthethreebears. • In it,Goldilocksexploredthebears’house,testingtheporridge,thechairsandthebedsuntilshefoundthingsthatshethoughtwere“justright”. • WhenItookupmyrole inBasel,afriendsuggestedIhada“Goldilocks”job. • Bythishemeantthatmytaskwas to takearangeofcompetingobjectives,andfindsomemiddlegroundthatwas“justright”. • In aninternationalpolicymakingcontext,thatimpliespoliciesthatare: • comprehensive,yetsimple; • strong,butnotburdensome; • risk-based,yeteasy to understandandcompare; • flexibleandadaptable,yetconsistentlyapplied; • suitablefornormaltimes,butfoundedonthelessonsfromcrises; • builtonconsensus,butalsoonthebroadestpossibleengagement;and • utilisingappropriatelytherelativestrengthsofbothregulation(rules)andsupervision(oversight). • Withsuchamultidimensionalsetoftrade-offs,findingtheoptimalpointforanygivensetofregulatoryproposalsisinevitablyverydifficult. • In thecaseofBaselIII,theCommitteesoughtasuitableminimumamountofcapitalthatwas“justright”–notsolittlethatthefinancialsystemremainedsusceptible totheweaknessesrevealedin2007–08,but InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |43 • notsomuchthatbanks couldnotperformtheirimportanteconomicfunctions. • TheCommitteealsoneededtoimprovethewaythattheadequacyofcapitalwasmeasuredsothatitappropriatelyrecognisesthemateriallydifferentmagnitudesofriskwithinindividualbankbalancesheets,butat thesametimeprovidesanoverallmeasureofsoundnessthatinvestorscan compareacrossbanks. • And,recognisingthattheBaselframeworkistheglobalstandardforbankcapital,theCommitteeneededsomethingthatwassuitableforinternationallyactivebanks– ourcoreconstituency– butcouldalsobeappliedmorebroadly. • Capitalrequirements–adequateandcomparable • Regulatory capitalrequirementsdomanythings,butattheirhearttheymust achievetwo fundamentalobjectives: • ensurebanks haveanadequatelevelofcapital(ierelative totheirriskprofile);and • provideameasureofcapitalthatiscomparableovertimeandbetween banks. • Thefirstoftheseobjectives–adequacy–isanobviousgoal,butfailuretoachievethesecond–comparability–underminesconfidencethatthefirstisbeingachieved. • Sincewearedealingwithinstitutionsthathaveabusinessmodelfoundedonconfidence,theimportanceofcomparabilityshouldnotbeunderestimated. • Duringtherecentcrisis,questionsbegantobeaskedaboutthereliabilityofrisk-basedcapitalratiosasanindicatorofbankhealth. • In myview,therewerethreefactorswhichservedtoundermine confidenceintherisk-basedmeasureofcapital: InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |44 • theregulatory capitalbaseincludedcapitalinstrumentsthatwerenottrulyloss-absorbing– financialmarketsincreasinglydiscountedthese; • theregulatory capitalbaseinsomecountriesfilteredout(ieignored)someunrealisedlossesthatbankshadincurred– financialmarketswantedtoaccountforthese;and • risk-weightedassetcalculationshadbecomecomplexandopaque,makingthemdifficultforexternal investors to understand– financialmarketsbecameconfusedbythese. • In otherwords,questionswerelegitimatelybeingasked aboutwhethercapitalwasbothadequateandcomparable. • Thequestionsrelated toboththenumeratorandthedenominatoroftheregulatorymeasure. • ThereformscontainedinBaselIIIlargelydealwiththesefirsttwo items. • BaselIIIraisestheminimumquantityoftrulyloss-absorbingcapitalbymany multiples. • Italsoimprovesthequalityofthat capitalbyeliminatingquasi-capitalinstruments,andcertainotherassets,thatprovedoflimitedvalueintimesofstress(indeed,investorsin someoftheseinstruments,ratherthan providingasourceofsupport,hadtobebailedoutthemselves!). • Inaddition,byremovingprudentialfiltersandforcingbankstorecogniseunrealisedlossesonfairvalueassets,capitalratioswillbemorecrediblebybetterreflectingthetrue capacityofabanktoabsorbfurtherlossesatanygivenpointintime. • Havingsubstantiallysimplifiedandimprovedthenumeratorofthecapitalratio,theCommittee’sattentionisnowturningto concernsabouttherisk-weightingframework: • itissaidbysometobetoocomplexanddifficulttounderstand,andthatsomethingsimpler(indeed,somesaysimple)wouldbebetter;and InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |45 • itissaidbysometoprovidetoomuchflexibilityonhow riskshouldbemeasured,makingitdifficulttocomparereported capitalratios. • Theseconcernsarecloselyrelated– althoughthatdoesnotmeanlesscomplexityandlessflexibilityalwayslead to morecomparability. • Complexityandflexibility • Internationalbanksarecomplexorganisations. • Today,noteven“traditional”linesofbusiness,suchasretailandcommercialbanking,aresimplebusinessesto run,iftheyeverwere. • Capturingtherisk profileofthesebusinessesin asinglemeasureoffinancialsoundnessisextremelydifficult. • Thecomplexityinthe capitalframeworklargelycomesfromthedecisiontoallowbankstousetheirowninternalmodelstomeasurerisk,themajorinnovationcontainedin BaselII. • Althoughinternalmodelshadalreadybeenpartoftheregulatoryframeworkforadecade,thiswasonlyforarelativelysmallareaofactivity. • BaselIIprovidedthe capacitytodothisforthebiggestrisk mostbanksface– thecreditriskwithintheirloan books. • While,ofcourse,banks wererequired tojumpalargenumberofhurdlesinrelationtomodelspecificationandvalidationbeforetheycouldusetheirownmodelsthenewframeworkdidmovebanksawayfromthe“onemodelfitsall”approachthatwasatthecoreofBaselI. • Theprimaryobjectivebehindthisimportantstepwas to betteraligncapitalwithunderlyingrisks. • Regulatoryrequirementscreateincentives;BaselIIattempted to alignthoseincentivesmuchmorecloselywitheconomicrealitythanwasthecaseinBaselI. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |46 In thisrespect,BaselII’sgoalcan be thoughtofaspromoting bothcapitaladequacyand capitalefficiency. Properlyapplied,banks’capitalrequirementscouldbemuchmoreresponsivetotheunderlyingriskstheyweretaking;low-riskbankswould benefitbynotbeingburdenedwithunnecessary capitalrequirements,andthosewithhigherriskprofileswouldneedtoholdadditionalcapitalcommensuratewiththeriskstheyareexposedto. Toputitanotherway,BaselIIsoughttobetterdistinguishbetweenhigh-andlow-riskbanks,anditrequiredhigher-riskbankstooperatewithlowerlevelsofleveragethantheirlow-riskpeers. Butasanyoneknowswhohasbuilt,supervisedorjusttriedtounderstandinternalriskmodelswithinabank,theyarenotsimple. Theyare,ofcourse,asimplificationoftherealworld,butthatisnotmuch ofaconsolationsincetherealworldisextremelycomplex. Thedifficultyisthat,ifmodelsareoversimplified,theydonotproduceriskmeasuresthatreflectreality. Butifmadetoocomplex,hardlyanyonecan saywhethertheyproducerealisticrisk measuresornot! Andbyallowingadegreeofflexibilityforbankstomodelrisksastheyseethem,wemakeitmoredifficult to achievecomparability.Gettingit“justright”thereforerequirescarefuljudgement. Comparability BaselIIwasundoubtedlyamajorimprovementintheconceptualsoundnessofthe capitalmeasurementprocess. Italsocreatedimportantincentivesforbanks torefineandimprovetheir riskmodels,and toavoidhighcorrelationsbetweenrisk managementmethodswhichcouldhavedetrimentalimplicationsforfinancialstability. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |47 • Thesebenefitsshouldnotbelightlydismissed,buttherearenowconcernsthatthewayin whichmodelsarecurrentlyusedhinderscomparability,sinceusersofinformationcannotunderstandtheimpact thatmodellingchoiceshaveontheresultingcapitalrequirements. • TheCommitteethereforeneedstoensurethatthisadditionalrisksensitivityisnot,asaresultofitscomplexity,underminingtheoverallregimebymakingcomparisontoodifficultforallbutsupervisoryexperts(andmaybeevenfortheexperts too!). • Butbeforewerevertto asimplermeasurementmethodology,weneedtobesurethatitwouldreallybemorecomparable. • Comparabilityhastwo basicdimensions: • betweenbanks atagivenpointintime;and • foragivenbank,overaperiodoftime. • Anystandardisedapproachwillnecessarilybeblunt. • Itwillbesimplertounderstandthananinternalmodel,butthatisbecauseitwillnecessarilymakemanyassumptions. • Theseassumptionswillmean risk canbeincorrectlymeasured. • Theywillalsomeanthat changesinabank’sriskprofilecangoundetected. • Taketheexampleoftheleverageratio. • Itwillnotdistinguishbetweentwosimilarlysizedbanksevenifoneholdsalargeportfolioofhigh-qualitysovereignexposures,andtheotheralargeportfolioofhighlyleveragedloansforpropertydevelopment. • Norwillitshow anyresponseifabankswitchesitsbalancesheetfromoneofthoseportfolios to theotherovertime. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |48 Aleverageratiomeasuresexactlywhatitsays–thedegreeofleverageonabank’sbalancesheet. Forthispurpose,itisperfectlysuited. Thatdoesnotnecessarilymakethemostusefulmeasureforjudgingtheadequacyofabank’s capitalbase. Risk-basedregimesseektorespond tothisproblembyintroducinggreaterrisk sensitivity. ButevenwiththestandardisedapproachesintheBaselframework,therearelimits to whatcanbeachieved. Therisk-basedframework wouldrespond,viachangesinthereportedcapitalratio,tothesituationsIhavementionedabove. Itwouldnot, however,necessarilyrespondatamoredetailedlevel– for example,itdoesnotmeaningfullydistinguishbetweenportfoliosoflowloan-to-valueratio(LVR),fulldocumentation,amortisingmortgageloans,andhighLVR,interest-only,self-certifiedmortgageloans. Onlywithadditionalcomplexity canwetakegreateraccountofthemultifacetedriskswithinabank’sloanbook. However,astheframeworkbecomesmoreandmorerisk-sensitiveinjudgingcapitaladequacy,itmaynolongerbethebestmeansofmonitoring,comparingandcontrollingoverallleverage. Forthesereasons,BaselIIIutilisesbotharisk-based capitalratioandanon-risk-basedleverageratiotoprovidecomplementarymeasuresofcapitaladequacyandleverage. Bothratiosserve their individualpurposes:oneameasureofcapitalrelativetorisk;theotherameasureofoverallleverage. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |49 Thetwomeasurescanalsobecomparedwitheach other,providingadditionalinformationthatwouldnotbereadilyavailablefrom eithermeasureonits own. Improvingcomparability Theinclusionoftheleverageratioin BaselIIIdoesnotremovetheneedtofurtherreviewthecomparabilityoftherisk-basedregime. ToborrowfromWinstonChurchill,“howeverbeautifulthestrategy,youshouldoccasionallylookattheresults.” TheCommitteehasbeenconsciousofthisissueforsometime,andoverthepastyearithasbeenexploringtheissuefrombothabottom-upandtop-downperspective. Withregardtotheconcernsaboutthecomparabilityofmodel-basedrisk-weightedassetcalculations,theCommitteehasestablishedtwoworkstreams;onetolookattheconsistencyofcalculationsinrelation tothetradingbookand anotherparallelstreamforthebankingbook. Thisworkhasexaminedpubliclyavailabledataforaselectionoflargebanksacrossmultiplejurisdictions,aswellasaskinganumberofbankstoprovideriskmeasuresforaseriesofhypotheticalportfolios. Theoutcomeofthiswork hasbeensupplementedwithaseriesofmeetingswithindividualbanksbyaninternationalteamofsupervisoryexperts,withtheaimofprovidinggreaterunderstandingofthereasonsbehinddifferentresults. ThetradingbookreviewwaspublishedattheendofJanuary,andIwillfocusmycommentsonittoday. Theresultsofthebankingbookworkwillbereleasedinthecomingmonths. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com
P age |50 • Thetradingbookreviewfoundthatitisreasonablefor investors tocomplainthattheyfindcurrentriskdisclosuresopaque–theCommittee’sanalysisfoundthesamething! • Currentdisclosureswerenotadequateforexternalparties tobeabletojudgewhethermovementsinmodelledrisk-weightedassetsovertime,orbetweenbanks,weredue tounderlyingdifferencesinrisk,orforotherreasons. • Thatthereisvariabilityinresultsbetweenbanks shouldnotsurprise. • Itisinevitable,andindeeddesirable, in anymodel-basedframeworkthat therebesome. • Whatwaspossiblysurprising,however,wasthatregulatoryandsupervisorydecisionswereproducinganon-trivialproportionofthevariability:contrarytotheinitialhypothesisofmany,itdidnotarisesolelyfromgivingbanks too muchfreedomtomodelrisk. • Aroundaquarterofthevariabilitywasduetoonesinglefactor:theuseofsupervisorymultipliers,whichareappliedasanincentiveforbanks toimprovetheirmodelsandrisk managementsystems. • Therearetwo otherpointsworthnotingfromthetradingbookanalysis: • Thevariabilitydrivenbysupervisors(duetotheuseofmultipliers,orbyrestrictingmodellingchoices)willalmostinvariablyincrease capitalrequirementsrelative to whattheymightotherwisebe. • Inotherwords,someofthevariabilityisduetosomebanksbeingheldtoahigherstandardthantheBaselminimumrequires. • Thisimprovestheadequacyofcapitalresultingfrominternalmodelsbut,duetothefactthatsomesupervisorydiscretionisnotdisclosed,reducescomparability. • Theoutcomesproducedbybankswerebenchmarked to ariskmodelproducedbytheteamofsupervisoryexpertsconductingtheanalysis. InternationalAssociationofRiskandComplianceProfessionals(IARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com