Sustaining the Globcolour/Medspiration legacy into the next decade

1. Sustaining the Globcolour/Medspiration legacy into the next decade Craig Donlon GHRSST-PP International Project Office

2. Regional Data Assembly Centres (RDAC) Australia EUMETSAT RSS PO.DAAC Met Office NAVO NCDC OSPD ESA/EU Japan NOPP/USA L2P and L4 SST data products Global Data Analysis Centre (GDAC) RollingArchive DataIngest DataAccess User Access and Feedback DataTools UserServices MMRSystem GMES/EuropeanGDAC Mirror Long Term Stewardship and Re-analysis Facility (LTSRF) PerpetualArchive SST CDRproduction PerpetualArchive Dataingest Dataaccess Delayed mode L4 SST CDR products The GHRSST-PP Regional/Global Task Sharing Framework (R/GTS)

3. The role of Medspiration… • The Medspiration service is essential for GHRSST-PP • Medspiration was determined by the international GHRSST-PP ST as a federated user community • led the way to what is now a successful international project. • In turn, led to the definition of the Sentinel SST component. • Medspiration has already developed and runs an operational service for SST but for how long? • Products at GDAC and LTSRF and many user driven applications all over the world • GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to maintain the continuity of Medspiration L2P services through to Sentinel III • GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to maintain and develop the MDB, HR-DDS and EU-GDAC functionality together with the European Commission under the FP7 MCS • GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to consider ways to improve SSES for EU sensors • GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to support the EU component of a GHRSST-PP re-analysis effort

4. Regional Data Assembly Centres (RDAC) Australia EUMETSAT RSS PO.DAAC Met Office NAVO NCDC OSPD ESA/EU Japan NOPP/USA L2P and L4 SST data products Global Data Analysis Centre (GDAC) RollingArchive DataIngest DataAccess User Access and Feedback DataTools UserServices MMRSystem GMES/EuropeanGDAC Mirror Long Term Stewardship and Re-analysis Facility (LTSRF) PerpetualArchive SST CDRproduction PerpetualArchive Dataingest Dataaccess Delayed mode L4 SST CDR products The GHRSST-PP Regional/Global Task Sharing Framework (R/GTS)

5. Sustainability: GHRSST-PP -> GHRSST • Move from GHRSST-PP to GHRSST • Phase-I:An International project tasked to develop and implement a distributed system to deliver integrated high resolution SST and Sea Ice (SI) data products in a sustainable manner(Complete) • -> Medspiration • Phase-II: Develop a sustained R/GTS system for SST&SI and Manage the ongoing evaluation and evolution of the system (Underway) • -> MCS/Sentinel-III • Phase-III: Deliver SST & SI Climate Data Records (CDR) in support of WCRP, GOOS and GCOS climate objectives (just started) • -> DUE 2008 €1Million

6. 2006? x European 2003 summer temperatures: normal by 2040s, cool by 2060s 2060s observations HadCM3 Medium-High (SRES A2) 2040s [30-50N, 10W-40E] (i.e. Mediterranean Basin & Southern-Central Europe) land air temperatures for summer (JJA) 2003 Temperature anomaly (wrt 1961-90) °C 2006 July mean 2006 CET 3.7C above 1961-90 reference

7. Ranked July Surface temperature anomalies July land surface air temperature anomalies in rank order for Europe region 10°W-30°E, 35°N-75°N. The main plot shows the fifty warmest Julys. The inset shows the whole series. The size of the coloured bars indicates the 95% confidence interval. It is therefore virtually certain that over this region, July 2006 was the warmest July in the record.

8. UK plant behaviour at odds with the time of year. Some plants have flowered for a second time in the mild weather this year. Kew Gardens own climate studies show that winters have become later over the past 30 years…

9. To improve seasonal to decadal monitoring and forecasting of weather and climate impacts using high-resolution integrated earth observation data sets.

10. Climate dynamics and extreme events Tropical cyclone Catarina off Southern Brazil, 26 March 2004. The first hurricane recorded in the South Atlantic. Correlates with Hadley Centre climate model predictions for 2070-2100 of tropical storm genesis area relative to 1960-90 Impact of better seasonal prediction

11. Impact of high resolution SST on climate modelling • Impact of coupled high-res ocean models • High res ocean agrees best with Observatiuons • Earth Simulator (M Roberts, Hadley Centre)

12. End user community • Aviation • Roads and railways • Hospitals • Energy • Leisure • Commercial Marine • Independent Media • Retail • Insurance • Construction

13. MedpiringColourTACGDAC • Overwhelming international request to maintain and sustain the Medspiration service • International R&D + Operational users are now depending on Medspiration • Need to transition into the MCS sensibly • Need to consolidate HR-DDS activities with GlobColour (Chl-a, K490, aerosol, HR-DDS, combined single Format…) • GDAC & LTSRF are open systems and should be used by GlobColour (at least as a template) • When you need SST – use GHRSST-PP! • When we need colour we use GlobColour!

14. Ken JFP

15. You will be the people doing it…

16. International GHRSST-PP Project Office Met Office, Fitzroy Road Exeter, EX1 3PB United Kingdom Web:http://www.ghrsst-pp.org E-mail:craig.donlon@metoffice.gov.uk

17. Options… • L2P production in the EU • MDB • HR-DDS • Error stats and SSES • Rolling Store & dissemination service • User Application Services (Helpdesk, feedback) • L4 global analysis • L4 regional analysis • Delayed mode (3-5 day delay update data) • Reanalysis project (20+ year data set – out of scope?) • Build on existing capability and focus on real time exchange in an mutually beneficial philosophy of operational backup as in NWP

18. MCS SST GDAC (TAC)