Finding Common Ground – Disaster Resiliency, Preparedness and Talking to our Neighbors…

2. Finding Common Ground – Disaster Resiliency, Preparedness and Talking to our Neighbors… • My background • Round the room 30 second intro: Name, Why here • How Prepared Are You? • Resources and Book list included in PPT handout • What class is and is not – you won’t necessarily leave ‘prepared’  Starting the conversation from a place of knowledge… Types of Disasters and their effects on our Infrastructure (Transportation, Structures, Communications, Water, Fuel, etc).

3. Objectives for class Encourage creation of depth of knowledge Step out of typical disciplines - study ‘how people learn’ neuroscience and other areas of research and study Find more common ground. Reduce protective conversations. Increase: listening; pragmatism; realism; your ability to find shared interests. Represent well. Question (internally) even that which you believe in wholeheartedly. Become a crusader for scientific, evidence based information.

4. Peak Oil (Food Security and the rest) Climate Change Water Scarcity 9.1 Subduction Zone Earthquake Tsunami Pandemic Influenza Volcano Winter Storms - Severe Weather Wildfire Terrorism Disasters and Oregon

5. Subduction Zone EQ

6. Winning the Powerball Lottery 1 in 80,089,128 Being hit by lightning 1 in 2,800,000 A Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquake in the next year – 1 in 500 In the next 50 years - 1 in 5 An earthquake occurring in the Pacific Northwest in the next few days 100% Earthquake

7. 20 Minute Walkable / Bikeable Community…

8. Earthquake Effects • Communications • Transportation • Water/Waste Water • Medical • Food • Utilities • Duration – 2 ½ yrs

9. Aviation D Bridges C Dams D Drinking Water D- Energy D+ Hazardous Waste D Inland Waterways D- Levees D- Parks & Recreation C- Rail C- Roads D- School D Solid Waste C+ Transit D Wastewater D- http://www.asce.org/reportcard/ 2009 US Infrastructure Grades - ASCE

10. After EQ or without warning Head to high ground - think about your route as soon as you find yourself at a coast (abandon car, 100 vertical feet up) Water goes out - you go up Follow the animals Difficulty with inundation mapping (sea floor map needed). Tsunami

11. Seasonal Flu - deaths per year (actual number higher), prevention (social distancing, hygiene and vaccine). Contagion 1918 - number of deaths = 20 million to 100 million worldwide. Problem with names Medicine of the day ‘Bird’ Flu - H5N1 H1N1 Duration/Cycle Pandemic Influenza

12. The most precious resource in the world What do we do with this most precious resource in the United States? Water Scarcity

13. Environmental scientists in California have calculated that sewage discharged near 28 Southern California beaches has contributed to up to 1.5 million excess gastrointestinal illnesses, costing as much as $51 million in health care. We can do better. ”Civilized people ought to know how to dispose of [the] sewage in some other way than putting it into the drinking water.”Teddy Roosevelt

14. Water Scarcity Map

15. Disputes over cross-border water basins have already prompted Egypt to threaten military action against any country that draws water off the Nile without agreement. Lord Stern, the World Bank's former chief economist, said governments had been slow to accept the awful truth that usable water is running out. Fresh rainfall is not enough to refill the underground water tables. "Water is not a renewable resource. People have been mining it without restraint because it has not been priced properly,” How to properly price? Externalities of industry, enough to support infrastructure even with conservation Rival A catastrophic water shortage could prove an even bigger threat to mankind this century than soaring food prices and the relentless exhaustion of energy reserves, according to a panel of global experts at the Goldman Sachs "Top Five Risks" conference.

16. * The largest waterborne disease outbreak in United States history occurred in 1993 in Milwaukee, WI when over 400,000 people became ill with diarrhea when the parasite Cryptosporidium was found in the city's drinking water supply (3). * Legionnaire’s Disease got its name in 1976 from American Legion members who attended a convention in Philadelphia and were the first to suffer from an outbreak of this disease (4). * Treating water with chlorine tablets, iodine tablets, or liquid bleach will not kill all parasites that can contaminate water; boiling or appropriate filtration is required (6). Water-Related Emergencies and Outbreaks Fast Facts

17. More than one billion people lack access to a safe supply of drinking water. Water-related diseases cause 80% of all of the sickness of the world and are the leading cause of death in the world, responsible for 14,000 deaths each day. WaterPartners International THE WORLD’S SILENT EPIDEMIC

18. Water • Currently, only 91 contaminants are regulated by the Safe Drinking Water Act, though more than 60,000 chemicals are used within the United States. • Today, a significant water line bursts on average every two minutes somewhere in the country, according to a New York Times analysis of EPA data. • State and federal studies indicate that thousands of water and sewer systems may be too old to function properly. • For decades, these systems — some built around the time of the Civil War others the same year the light bulb was invented — have been ignored by politicians and residents accustomed to paying almost nothing for water delivery and sewage removal. And so each year, hundreds of thousands of ruptures damage streets and homes and cause dangerous pollutants to seep into drinking water supplies.

19. Your water bill or telephone book's government listings are a good starting point. Your local water supplier can give you a list of the chemicals they test for in your water, as well as how your water is treated. Your state Department of Health/Environment is also a valuable source of information. For help in locating these agencies or for information on drinking water in general, call: EPA's Safe Drinking Water Hotline: (800) 426-4791. For additional information on the uses and releases of chemicals in your state, contact the: Community Right-to-Know Hotline: (800) 424-9346 Learn more about your drinking water!EPA strongly encourages people to learn more about their drinking water, and to support local efforts to protect and upgrade the supply of safe drinking water.

20. Duration No silver bullet Cascading effects – food, roads, cars… Technology timing - Bridging the gap Descent plan Transition towns Peak Oil

22. Preserve & Increase Local Food Production and Capability

23. Long Term Supply Leveling Off, Demand Outstrips Production

24. When Will Oil Production Peak?

25. Ease of Production: Past and Present

26. Energy Returned on Energy Invested, I.e. Net Energy

27. U.S. Energy MixThe problem with oil supply alternatives

28. CO2 Emissions Land destruction Water Pollution Oil Shale energy low Oil Shale / Oil Sands

29. Coal - why not? Water Air National Priority: Cut CO2 Pollution at least 80% by 2050 (source) National Resource Defense Council - get slide Is this realistic - can we do it- the need for a bridge resource of energy…what is it? Coal - why not?

30. Nuclear

31. Hydrogen

32. BioFuels

33. Renewables: Wind & Solar

34. Consume Less Stuff

35. Reinvigorate Rail

36. Transit Alternatives

37. Conservation, Transportation & Land Use Policies

38. Pedestrian/Bicycle Friendly Developments 20 minute Communities

39. Dinosaurs farting or people driving… Science – CPR Mosquitoes and other cooties Climate ‘weirding’ - hot=hotter, cold=colder, stormy=stormier - but not always… Migrations, Greenland Gardeners… Climate Change

40. Mt Rainer, Mt Tabor, Mt Hood, Yellowstone… Ash Lahars Planes, trains and automobiles Respiratory Roofs Volcanoes

41. Rural vs Urban (MN vs Portland) Self Reliance 911 and the rain storm Sheltering and Feeding Winter Weather/Severe Storms - Wildfire

42. Risks Mitigation Prevention Evacuation Long Term Recovery - land use, Wildfire

43. Limitation of 72 hour ‘kits’ - what are they really good for? How long should you be prepared? How do you do that? Inter-dependant vs Independent Romantic-ization vs Realism Acceptance of all efforts as valid and concurrent – support vs attack How to Prepare

44. Reach out to your neighbors – learn how to make friends Continue your training – Build Skills - trade skills, food skills, advocacy skills Develop internal sources of strength – read some of the books listed on this presentation – become resilient Get civically active - participate in local politics - fix it Spread the word - know your facts, be open to additional information & focus on your interests and strengths and encourage others to do the same. What Can You Do?

45. "Adversity introduces you to yourself," John McDonnell, former CEO McDonnell Douglas Princeton University basketball coach, Pete Carril, "Adversity doesn't build character, it reveals it." Challenges, difficulties, setbacks, adversities… They are all familiar sights on the leadership landscape. One of the things they cause us to do is come face-to-face with ourselves. They are a rather harsh way of reminding us of what is truly important to us, what we really value, and what we want our life to be about.

47. Last Oasis: Facing Water Scarcity (The Worldwatch Environmental Alert Series) by Sandra Postel (Paperback - Jun 1997) Cadillac Desert: The American West and Its Disappearing Water, Revised Edition by Marc Reisner (Paperback - Jan 1, 1993) Outgrowing The Earth by Lester R. Brown (Paperback - Jan 2005) Food/Water Book List

48. The Post-Petroleum Survival Guide and Cookbook: Recipes for Changing Times by Albert Bates (Paperback - Oct 1, 2006) Whole Foods Companion: A Guide For Adventurous Cooks, Curious Shoppers, and lovers of natural foods by Dianne Onstad (Paperback - Mar 30, 2004) The Sustainable Kitchen: Passionate Cooking Inspired by Farms, Forests and Oceans by Stu Stein, Judith H. Dern, and Mary Hinds (Paperback - May 1, 2004) Emergency Food Storage & Survival Handbook: Everything You Need to Know to Keep Your Family Safe in a Crisis by Peggy Layton (Paperback - Oct 22, 2002) Food Book List

49. Four-Season Harvest: Organic Vegetables from Your Home Garden All Year Long by Eliot Coleman, Barbara Damrosch, and Kathy Bray (Paperback - Oct 1, 1999) Gaia's Garden, Second Edition: A Guide To Home-Scale Permaculture by Toby Hemenway (Paperback - May 19, 2009) Gardening When It Counts: Growing Food in Hard Times (Mother Earth News Wiser Living Series) by Steve Solomon (Paperback - April 1, 2006) Gardening Book List

50. Disciplines, Disasters and Emergency Management: The Convergence and Divergence of Concepts, Issues and Trends from the Research Literature by David A. Mcentire (2007) Disaster Policy and Politics: Emergency Management and Homeland Security by Richard Sylves (2008) Holistic Disaster Recovery: Ideas for Building Local Sustainability After a Natural Disaster (2003) Emergency Management Book List