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1. Capital Markets & The Construction IndustryEd Klinger, BMO Capital MarketsRick Kress, The PrivateBankTim Hall, CapitalSource October 2008
2. 2 The “Orderly Markets”…..
3. 3 Future?
4. 4 Instead, Let’s Shake the Magic 8 Ball
5. 5 Sticking To What We Do Know
6. 6
7. 7 What Exactly Caused This?
8. 8 This is Cyclical
9. 9 Current State of the Bank Markets Dramatic slowdown since third quarter 2007
Nonetheless, 2007 was a record year with $1.7 trillion of syndicated loan volume
However, 1Q - 3Q 2008 volume is down by over 50% from 1Q - 3Q 2007
1Q - 3Q 2007 volume was $1.3 trillion vs $0.6 trillion in 1Q - 3Q 2008
Investors remain cautious
Cost of funding for most banks has increased dramatically
Nearly all regional banks have tightened their lending standards
Significant capital constraints
Poor economic outlook impacting lender behavior and liquidity in the bank market
Result is upward pressure on pricing and fees, tighter loan structures, and downward pressure on hold levels
10. 10 Current State of the Bank Markets Relationships continue to drive the bank loan market
Unfunded credit facilities exert significant pressure on banks overall relationship returns
Banks have demonstrated a willingness to commit to credits with returns below their internal hurdle rates, only if the prospects for retaining and/or gaining ancillary business are clearly visible
Returns on new deals are being weighted against buying discounted loan paper in the secondary markets
Not withstanding the above, middle market (EBITDA < $50 million), non-levered (Total Debt/EBITDA < 3.0x) transactions continue to get done, though much slower
Well structured, well priced transactions
Solid Borrower track record
Sensible use of funds
Support from relationship lenders
11. 11 Middle Market Syndicated Loan Volume
12. 12 Middle Market Loan Pricing
13. 13 Middle Market Leverage
14. 14 But What About the Construction Industry… Typically not as levered as other industries due to bonding and cyclicality
Banks still the largest source of acquisition debt for this industry
Constraints on acquisition leverage in 2006 / 2007 have kept balance sheets relatively sane
Strategics are more averse of leverage than PE Groups
Leverage only retreated about 0.75x to 2.5x – 3.0x compared to a 1.5x retreat for the overall market (2007 vs. 3Q 2008)
Banks and sureties continue to look at different financial metrics which can make loan structuring difficult
Sureties – not as worried about collateral, want Tangible Net Worth
Banks – show me cash flow! Tangible Net Worth is just a number
15. 15 Equity Contribution Average equity contribution to LBO’s now averaging 44% (vs. 33% in 2007)
16. 16 How Banks Structure A Loan When participating in a loan, banks now, more so than before, consider the “all-in-return” (what ancillary business can I cultivate from the company)
17. 17 “Sample” of Key Terms
18. 18
19. 19 What is Mezzanine Debt? Subordinated debt or preferred equity
Ranks behind senior bank debt but above equity
Higher cost than senior bank debt
Structure
Cash interest
PIK interest
Ownership via warrants
Primarily used in leverage buyouts
20. 20 Benefits of a Mezzanine Financing Deep and aggressive market
No amortization, bullet maturity
Structured as senior subordinated notes or preferred stock
Less restrictive covenants
Priced well below private equity returns
Equity co-invest or warrants might be required
“Buy and hold” mentality; “total return” approach
21. 21 Mezzanine Market Update Continued expansion of mezzanine providers
New entrants (Carlyle, BlackRock Kelso)
Numerous hedge fund entrants
Follow-on funds (Blackstone-II, Hancock-III, Audax-III)
While low to mid-teens all-in coupon structures were the norm 12 months ago, mid-to-high teens returns are standard today with the potential need for an equity co-invest or warrants
Transaction size normally ranges from $15 million to $200 million
22. 22 What Mezzanine Investors Generally Look For History of profitable operations and margins that meet or exceed industry averages
Solid revenue growth and diversified cash flows
Proven and experienced management teams that are financially motivated through equity ownership
Leading and defensible market positions
Ability to support a current pay coupon and pro forma debt levels
23. 23 Summary of Key Terms
24. 24 Summary of Key Terms
25. 25
26. 26 Public Comparable Stock Performance
27. 27 Publicly Traded Valuations
28. 28 Public vs Private Valuations Public valuations tend to be higher than private M&A transaction multiples due to:
Short-term outlook of Wall Street vs longer-term cyclical outlook of acquirers
Size discrepancy & breadth of service capabilities
Multiple end markets and geographic focus tend to smooth results
Access to multiple sources of capital provides investors with comfort
Valuations across sub-sectors limited by:
Bonding requirements & sureties focus on tangible net worth
Cyclicality of industry & sustainability of earnings
Vulnerability of problem jobs
29. 29 What Drives Value? Companies with lower project risk & higher recurring service revenue
Design & Engineering firms vs. Contractors
Maintenance vs. New Construction
“Hot” end markets including:
Industrial maintenance and turnaround
Environmental
Energy/Power
Infrastructure
Healthcare
Education
30. 30 Why the Interest? Buyers have access to capital
Geographic expansion
Shortage of skilled labor
Diversification of services
Diversification of end markets
31. 31 U.S M&A Activity – Down nearly 43% in 2008
32. 32 E&C M&A Activity E&C M&A Activity Overview
Robust volume dominated by large number of small deals
~ 30% of E&C deals have a disclosed value
Over 60% of 2007 deals with disclosed values were under $25 million with a median deal size of $17.3 million
1H 2008 M&A activity on track with 2007; total transaction values lower due to lack of large deals
Activity driven by:
Solid fundamentals
Availability of private equity capital needing to be deployed at reasonable multiples
Strategics flush with cash
33. 33 Strategic buyer interest will be driven by one or more of the following factors:
Expertise and capabilities
Service offerings
Geographic coverage
Customer relationships
Ability to recognize and pay for potential synergies
Current strong public market valuations may provide public acquirers with a valuable currency and create a strong “ability to pay” E&C Buyers Overview
34. 34 Private Equity Ownership
35. 35 Equity Contribution Average equity contribution to LBO’s now averaging 44% (vs. 33% in 2007)
36. 36