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Jerzy Wieczorek. 2 nd year M.S. Student in Statistics ITS Research: Historical and real-time bottleneck identification Statistics Research: Minimum Kolmogorov-Smirnov Estimation (MSKE) with censored data. Jerzy Wieczorek. 1.
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Jerzy Wieczorek • 2nd year M.S. Student in Statistics • ITS Research: • Historical and real-time bottleneck identification • Statistics Research: • Minimum Kolmogorov-Smirnov Estimation (MSKE) with censored data Jerzy Wieczorek 1
Using speed data to track historical congestion and rank bottlenecks by cost Incorporating historical information into model to predict real-time bottleneck behavior Work with Prof. Bertini, Huan Li,Rafael J. Fernández-Moctezuma Bottleneck Identification Jerzy Wieczorek 2
Expanding model to use volume data Validating against ground truth from Bertini-Cassidy method Work with Prof. Bertini, Huan Li,Rafael J. Fernández-Moctezuma Bottleneck Identification Jerzy Wieczorek 3
Minimum K-S Estimation θ = 72.2 θ = 96.1 Choose distribution and parameter estimates that minimize the K-S statistic (max. vertical difference in CDFs) Work with Prof. Kim Jerzy Wieczorek 4
Minimum K-S Estimation Extend to censored data Evaluate in comparison with MLEs (standard) Create R library if worthwhile Work with Prof. Kim Jerzy Wieczorek 5