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NSF Division of Astronomical Sciences . AAAC October 15-16, 2009 Craig Foltz. Summary. AST Budget Overview Retrospective look FY 2009 & ARRA Looking forward Status of Senior Review implementation Changes in AST Recent Activities and Actions. MPS Budget trends .
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NSF Division of Astronomical Sciences AAAC October 15-16, 2009 Craig Foltz
Summary • AST Budget Overview • Retrospective look • FY 2009 & ARRA • Looking forward • Status of Senior Review implementation • Changes in AST • Recent Activities and Actions
AST Budget trends 10 year doubling
FY2009 spending(including American Reinvestment and Recovery Act, ARRA)
ARRA Funding • As shown, roughly 2/3 for grants and 1/3 for overdue facility infrastructure improvements and preconstruction activities. • Quite strong restrictions; some suggested spending not permitted; funds bring additional reporting requirements. • Success rate in research grants program (AAG) rose from last year’s 21% to a healthy 36%. • Risk exaggerated: even if all awards were 3 years (they weren’t) and all of them came back in exactly 3 years (which they won’t), only a 15% increase, which we have seen and handled before. • Yes, the funding rate will not be this high in future. • Increases for CAREER (low success rate anyway) and Graduate Research Fellowships. • Infrastructure improvements long overdue but the problem persists.
FY 2010 Budget Request AST Total: $250.8 M (increase of 10% over FY 2009) • Facilities: $141 M (56%) • Gemini - $19.1 M • NAIC - $8.4 M • NOAO - $27.5 M • NSO - $9.1 M • NRAO - $67.1 M • UROs - $10 M • Research and Education Grants: $110 M total (44%) • Roughly $45M for AAG; $37 M for instrumentation; • $25 M for special programs (AAPF, CAREER, REU, Cyberinfrastructure, NSF-wide, etc)
Budget Projections? Administration, congressional support for NSF budget doubling over 10 years. How will AST fare in this growth? Administration priorities not well aligned with AST: • “Green” energy • Climate change • Short term economic recovery But historically AST has tracked NSF R&RA quite well
AST Budget trends NSF projection
Status of Senior Review Recommendations • VLBA - non-AST funding for 50% of VLBA operations or closure. • NRAO pursuing partnerships, prospects look very good • GONG++ - non-AST support of operations or termination, one year after successful SDO commissioning. • NSO pursuing partnership with US Air Force Weather Agency • Carry out cost reviews of all facilities • Completed by external firm, report in hand, will be working with observatories to institute (minor) cost savings over next years • NAIC (next slide)
National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center (NAIC) • Recommendation to ramp budget down to $8M by 2010, $4M in following years. Seek non-AST support to maintain operations or closure • NSF Atmospheric Sciences increasing contribution to operations • NSF (AST, ATM) will compete the next cooperative agreement for the management and operation of NAIC. • Recommendations of the 2006 AST Senior Review are being factored into planning. • NSF expects to issue a detailed program solicitation in fall 2009, with full proposals due six months following publication. • Expected to lead to the award of a single, five-year cooperative agreement for the management and operation of NAIC for 2011-2015.
Changes in AST • FY2009 was a remarkably unusual year. • The Division of Astronomical Sciences has been without a full-time Division Director for 18 months. • We have been without an Deputy Division Director for 4 months. • We have an open permanent PO position. • We have a rotator leaving this month, a year before anticipated. • Since there was no back-fill, we will soon be short 3-4 Program Officers. The added strain of ARRA was clearly felt. • Interviews for DD and DDD are later this month but the most optimistic start is January 2010, probably significantly later. • Permanent PO hiring has closed; IPA is now open (until November 20). • New management can change the division’s direction. • Limited staff lack the leisure for planning.
Recent Activities and Actions • NRAO Cooperative Agreement with AUI extended for five years. • NOAO Cooperative Agreement with AURA extended for 54 months. • NSO now has its own Cooperative Agreement, also with AURA for 54 months. • Gemini partnership in flux. May have budgetary consequences. • MRI R2 and ARI proposals (both ARRA) under review. • ATST FDR and NSB action.
NSB Approval of ATST Construction On August 6, 2009, the National Science Board approved an award to be derived from $146,000,000 of ARRA funds and $151,928,000 of appropriated MREFC funds, in accordance with the following resolution: RESOLVED, that the National Science Board authorizes the Director at his discretion to issue an eight-year award to the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy for a not-to-exceed amount of $297,928,000 for the construction of the Advanced Technology Solar Telescope. This award will be contingent upon the publication of a record of decision authorizing the commencement of construction.
Construction Cost Estimate (cont.) • Costs are in spent-year dollars calculated with current OMB escalators. • 32.9% contingency – based on Monte Carlo simulations for 95% confidence. • Includes effect of mitigation of impact on Hawaiian Dark-Rumped Petrel, “Buy American” costs, management of National Park Special Use Permit, etc. • Does not include costs associated with cultural mitigation.
ATST Schedule Overview Proposed Site Decision Construction Proposal NSF Cost Review NSB MREFC “Readiness” MREFC Panel “Exit Readiness Review” Technology Development Concept & Design CDUP Site EIS Process FDR/Baseline Review SDRs Site Construction NSF Panel Review IT & C NSB Initial Operations Feb 27, 2007 December 4, 2008 AURA SOC AURA SOVC 20 NSF PDR 20
Environmental and Cultural Compliance • Comprehensive site selection was based on site characteristics derived from flow-down from science drivers. 72 sites studied. Final site selected at Haleakala High Altitude Observatory (U. Hawaii), Maui. Haleakala is the only site that meets the requirements. • Environmental Review and Permitting process for site: • Final EIS submitted to EPA on July 24, 2009; published on July 31. • EIS is 3116 pages long; cost >$3M. • Application for building permit (state of Hawaii process) underway; University of Hawaii leads. • More than thirty National Historic Preservation Act Section 106 consultations resulted in draft programmatic agreement currently under negotiation. • Record of Decision in development. This will complete compliance requirements.
The Geographical Context Pu’u ’Ula’ula ATST Alternate Site Maui Pu’u Kolekole Haleakala Mauna Kea Hawai’i ATST Primary Site ATST Site