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LATIN AMERICA AND GLOBAL GHG EMISSIONS. TROPICAL DEFORESTATION. (c) WWF-Canon / Juan PRATGINESTOS. GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS AND DEFORESTATION. ~80% Fossil Fuel ~20% Land Deforestation. DEFORESTATION VS FOSSIL FUELS. MAJOR DEFORESTATION COUNTRIES (2000). GHGs (MtC eq). WRI (2005).
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TROPICALDEFORESTATION (c) WWF-Canon / Juan PRATGINESTOS
GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS AND DEFORESTATION ~80% Fossil Fuel ~20% Land Deforestation
MAJOR DEFORESTATION COUNTRIES (2000) GHGs (MtC eq) WRI (2005)
DEFORESTATION IN THE BRAZILIAN AMAZON (2003) 2.4 millions ha/yr deforested 60 millions ha deforested 16% of Brazilian Amazon Deforestation2002/2003 Deforestation until 2002 Fonte: INPE PRODES Digital, 2004.
2050 BUSINESS AS USUAL • Deforested 2,698,735 km2 (16 PgC by 2050) • Forest 3,320,409 km2 • Non-forest 1,497,685 km2 500 km Soares-Filho et al. 2004
2050 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO • Deforested 1,655,734 km2 (Reduction: 40%) • Forest 4,363,410 km2 • Non-forest 1,497,685 km2 500 km Solutions:- Public governance & Law enforcement- Land use management- Sustainable forest management- Protected areas Soares-Filho et al. 2004
IN BRASIL By 2020- Growth in power consumption slashed by 40%- Power avoided = five times the Itaipu hydropower plant - USD 15 Billion savings, 10M new jobs
SOLUTION 1 DOMESTIC APPLIANCES • Represent a 1/3 of residential power demand • According to IEA, potential for large power savings • By 2020, ambitious efficiency standards would: Reduce average refrigerator consumption by 40% Energy savings of over 4.5 Billion USD
THE PROBLEMELECTRIC WATER HEATERS • 1/3 of home electricity bills, 8% of national power needs • Consumers’ cost ~ $ 10 • $ 1800 in electricity generation and distribution • Electric water heating for 5 million new homes = one large dam in the Amazon or 5 coal fired power station
SOLUTION 2SOLAR WATER HEATERS • Consumers’ cost ~ 1100 for 4-people solar water heater • Monthly power bill cut by up to 50%, bay-back period of 3 years • Architectural and consumers’ credit barriers
SOLUTION 3BIOFUELS Growing production/trade of biofuels Biofuels are a climate solution provided the reduce GHGs emissions Potential pilot project in Brazil to produce sustianable biofuels (eg biofuels supply for the bus fleet of the London Greater Authority