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Endowment Effects in The Wild (literally)

Endowment Effects in The Wild (literally). Why study animals and children?. Discussion. Brosnan et al. Endowment Effects in Chimpanzees. Similarities across species suggests a common evolutionary root.

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Endowment Effects in The Wild (literally)

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  1. Endowment Effects in The Wild (literally)

  2. Why study animals and children? • Discussion.

  3. Brosnan et al. Endowment Effects in Chimpanzees • Similarities across species suggests a common evolutionary root. • If we observe irrational decision-making patterns in chimps, maybe we can infer something about irrational decision-making in humans.

  4. Evolutionary Explanation for EE? • Some inclination to value goods one possessed over goods one might obtain through exchange may have been adaptive • Exchanges are fraught with the potential for defection • Particularly in the absence of reliable property rights and third-party enforcement mechanisms (i.e. No formal rules or legal institutions until modern times)

  5. Hypothesis and Test • Evolutionary relevant stimuli may elicit different responses in the chimps • Used food and non-food objects • Chimps were given three trials for each version: • 1. a choice between items (between two foods or between two non-foods) • 2. one trial each in which chimps were given one item (food or non-food) and allowed to exchange for the other of the same category An endowment effect could be concluded if there was a stronger tendency to maintain possession of an item than is expected based on separately-expreessed preferences.

  6. Subjects • 33 chimpanzees housed at the University of Texas • Food items: frozen fruit juice stick and a PVC pipe filled with peanut butter • Non-food items: a rubber bone dog chew toy and a knotted rope dog toy

  7. Prior Preferences and results for foods • 58% of the chimps preferred PB to juice • When endowed with the PB, 79% preferred to keep rather than exchange • Expect: 20% more of the popn than would be expected from the population-wide preference • 42% pref for juice • When endowed with juice, 58% of the chimps chose to keep it rather than exchange it. • This reflects an endowment effect of 15%

  8. Results for non-foods • Subjects showed a preference to exchange the object rather than an endowment effect • 74% of subjects preferred the bone over the rope • When endowed with the bone, subjects kept it only 16% of the time • When endowed with the rope, subjects kept it only 10% of the time.

  9. Harbaugh et al. Age and the EE • Goal: to examine the effect of changes in actual market experience on the endowment effect • Subject pool includes both 5-10 year-old grade school children as well as college undergraduates. • These give quite varying degrees of accumulated market experience across the subjects

  10. Experimental design • 125 kids from kindergarten, 3rd grade and 5th grade classrooms • 38 undergraduates in introductory economics classes • Subjects were given one good and then asked if they wanted to keep it or trade it for another. • The procedure was repeated for three of the four pairs of goods described in the table below.

  11. More on Experimental Design • Subjects were randomly divided • One group was given one good and the other group was given the other good • Along with the item, each subject was given a tag • A sample of the other good was passed around for inspection. • Subjects could then either keep their original good or trade it for the other (by putting a particular color tag on the good)

  12. Results • When given a choice between two goods, an endowment effect exists if the probability that a person chooses, say, good A is higher if they were initially endowed with good A than if they were endowed with good B. • “Endowment Boost”: the average across the two goods if the increase in the likelihood that a person chooses a good when they are endowed with it, relative to being endowed with the other good.

  13. Here’s how they calculated the “Endowment Boost” • If Pj|i denotes the probability of choosing good j when endowed wityhgood i, then the endowment boost equals:

  14. Children’s choices for each of the three pairs

  15. Results for children • For every good, the likelihood of choosing the good increases when the child is endowed with it. • Fisher’s exact test rejects the null hypothesis of no endowment effect for all pairs • The EE is quite large • Note that in Table 2, although A is not very popular relative to B, it was considerably more likely to be chosen when a subject was endowed with it than when not, and the same is true for good B. • For A and B children are 2.9 times more likely to choose the good they are endowed with than not.

  16. Next we look at Undergraduates • As with the children, an endowment effect exists for all three pairs of goods.

  17. Endowment Boosts By Age

  18. Discussion • Strong evidence for the existence of the EE in all subjects. • No evidence that the EE decreases with age • 5th graders are on average twice as old as kindergartners and have accumulated substantially more market experience but still the strength of the EE did not differ • Lack of difference is even more striking if we compare undergrads and children

  19. Implication • The EE is not a mistake or a transitory anomaly related to market experience.

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