1 / 7

Supply-side Modeling: A 3-step Program

Chapin White, PhD Center for Studying Health System Change Sept. 21, 2011 cwhite@ hschange.org The views expressed are my own and not those of the Center for Studying Health System Change, the Congressional Budget Office, or any other organization. Supply-side Modeling: A 3-step Program.

owena
Download Presentation

Supply-side Modeling: A 3-step Program

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Chapin White, PhD Center for Studying Health System Change Sept. 21, 2011 cwhite@hschange.org The views expressed are my own and not those of the Center for Studying Health System Change, the Congressional Budget Office, or any other organization. Supply-side Modeling:A 3-step Program

  2. Step 1: Admit You Have a Problem

  3. The World, pre-ACA Q, pre-ACA D Out-of-pocket P, pre-ACA Supply P, pre-ACA P

  4. The World, post-ACA S? Q, post-ACA? Q, post-ACA? D Out-of-pocket P, post-ACA Out-of-pocket P, pre-ACA Supply P, pre-ACA Supply P, post-ACA P

  5. Step 1: Admit You Have a Problem We don’t know the supply curve When supply and demand are pushed in different directions, which side wins?

  6. Step 2: Why Do We Have this Problem? The siren song of RAND • gives exactly the right answer • but it’s the wrong question RAND supported one line of policymaking • patient cost sharing The action today is largely on the supply side

  7. Step 3: The Way Forward Acknowledge that we have a problem -- Check Prioritize the HOBOD ($000b) parameters • hospital supply curve • post-acute supply curve • provider responses to bundling/capitation Short-term: Scavenge parameters, get closer to being approximately right Medium-term: Refine parameters Long-term: Collect data on supply side

More Related