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Southern Alberta Opium Production Feasibility Study. Suits Associates International. Research Purpose:. A study to determine the feasibility of opium production in Southern Alberta, for pharmaceutical use. Agenda. Literature Review Research Question Hypothesis Research Objectives
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Southern Alberta Opium Production Feasibility Study Suits Associates International
Research Purpose: A study to determine the feasibility of opium production in Southern Alberta, for pharmaceutical use.
Agenda • Literature Review • Research Question • Hypothesis • Research Objectives • Research Methods • Strategy and Philosophy • Setting and Sample • Data Collection • Research Ethics • Issues • Incentives • Time Scale and Resources • What Lies Ahead…?
Background: Literature Sources • Deductive Approach to Research • Secondary Literature Sources: • Magazines and News Reports • Business Week • Alberta Venture • CBC
Market for Medicinal Poppies • $7.4 of poppy-related pharmaceutical products imported last year • Canada imports $100 Million in opium annually • For use in pharmaceutical drugs, • ex. morphine and codeine • Canada is the largest per capita consumer of codeine in the world
Dollars and Sense • Poppies will pay more than any other crop • Up to $6000/hectare • Compared to $2000/hectare for Wheat • API Labs Inc. • $40 million pharmaceutical plant near Lethbridge • 150 new jobs • $300 million injected annually into the local economy
Political Issues: International • Canada: • All parts of the poppy are illegal, except for the seeds • Only G8 country that can claim this • International Law: • Twenty countries allowed to grow opium poppies
Political Issues: Infrastructure • Bob Tarlick: • “We don’t want bikers running this” • Afghanistan: • 92% of world opium supply • Warlords, corruption and illegal drugs • Canada: • Has the infrastructure • Steven Harper’s $64 million stance • Biggest hurdle: Health Canada
Political Issues…? • Largely disappear if there are no illegal uses for these poppies • Peter Facchini • Scientist and acclaimed U of C professor • Working on genetically modified poppies • No illegal implications • Still useful for medicinal purposes
Research Question: • Will public opinion and legalities permanently hinder bringing poppies to Southern Alberta? • Hypothesis: • Huge financial gains, a strong infrastructure and genetically modified plants will make poppy-growing a reality.
Research Objectives • Determine support or opposition at various political levels • Determine public opinion • Determine the progress of scientific advances relating to this topic
Research Strategy • Compile Primary Data for Canada • Mixed-Method Approach • Quantitative • Telephone Survey • Qualitative • Personal Interviews
Research Philosophy • Functional Positivism • Independent third-party research firm • Problem-orientated approach • Seeking rational solutions through operational recommendations • 5P’s Principle • Proper Planning Prevents Poor Performance!
Methodology • Quantitative: Telephone Survey • Random and Representative • Knowledge Gaps • Objective • CATI Software • Variable Testing
Methodology • Data Collection • Test, Re-Test, Re-view • Survey execution • Demographics • Researcher Experience • Cross-sectional • Sample Size • 95% Confidence Level, 4.0% Sampling Error • Contact 1,250 phone numbers
Regional Considerations • How far-reaching are the impacts? • Greatest impact closest to production region • Influential power of this region Future Research?
Methodology • Qualitative: Personal Interviews • Stakeholder Analysis - SWOT • Avoid duplication • Exploratory Research • Officials & Influential Persons • Provincial Legislators, • Local Government, • University Professors, • Law Enforcement Agencies, • Other Stakeholder Groups
Data Collection • Effectiveness depends on QUALITY of questions asked! • Utilize public opinion survey data to formulate more questions • Full disclosure • Convenience of interviewee • Digital recording • Transcribing service
Sample • Provincial Legislators • Ed Stelmach • Dave Hancock • Rick Casson • Local Legislators • Bob Tarlek • Alderpersons • Municipal Authorities
Sample • University Professors • Dr. Peter Fachinni • Dr. Danny Le Roy • Law Enforcement • RCMP • D.A.R.E. • Other Stakeholders • Glen Metzler • Carol Harrington
Ethical Issues • Leading questions, • Attempts made to persuade participants, • Misreporting of information, • Not disclosing your identity, • Manipulation during interviews
Ethical Practices • Research-Board Approval • Will never be deceived • Confidentiality is assured • Data used properly • Interviews and survey questions are not stressful
Ethical Practices • Personal Interviews • The interviewees • In the public eye • Consent form • Participant Rights
Financial Inducements • 5 Calgary Flames ticket packages • 2 tickets, • Accommodation, • $100 certificate
Time Scale and Resources • Total ranging from $65,000 to $100,000 • Preparation, Testing, Analysis • Telephone Interviews • Personal Interviews • Possibilities for joint investment: • Corporate farms, • Investors, • and Pharmaceuticals