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Diffuse Priors for Base Models. DB-SRA priors for Fmsy/M and Bmsy/B0 are somewhat informative (catch-based method) For XDB-SRA, adopted ‘diffuse’ Fmsy/M prior based on Zhou et al. (2011); mean=0.97, logSD =0.46 Tripled SD of prior for Bmsy/B 0 (0.5 to 1.5); mean=0.4. XDB-SRA: Brown Rockfish.
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Diffuse Priors for Base Models • DB-SRA priors for Fmsy/M and Bmsy/B0 are somewhat informative (catch-based method) • For XDB-SRA, adopted ‘diffuse’ Fmsy/M prior based on Zhou et al. (2011); mean=0.97, logSD=0.46 • Tripled SD of prior for Bmsy/B0 (0.5 to 1.5); mean=0.4
Brown, XDB-SRA Spawning biomass quantiles, relative totarget & limit (left) and catch-based prior (right)
Brown, XDB-SRA Exploitation rate and biomass,relative to targets/thresholds
Brown, XDB-SRA Reference Points
Brown, XDB-SRA Indices of Abundance,rescaled to biomass units with median q 1: Central CA onboard CPFV 2: Southern CA onboard CPFV 3: CA RecFIN
Brown, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Distributions 1: Central CA onboard CPFV 2: Southern CA onboard CPFV 3: CA RecFIN
Brown, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Biomass 1: Central CA onboard CPFV 2: Southern CA onboard CPFV 3: CA RecFIN
Brown, XDB-SRA Brown Rockfish Posteriors vs. Priors
Brown, XDB-SRA Posterior UpdateXDB-SRA w/ diffuse priors
Brown, XDB-SRA Pairwise Posterior Scatterplots
Brown, XDB-SRA Sensitivity Analysesmedian (5% - 95%)
China Central, XDB-SRA Spawning biomass quantiles, compared totarget & limit (left) and catch-based prior (right)
China Central, XDB-SRA Exploitation rate and biomass,relative to targets/thresholds
China Central, XDB-SRA Reference Points
China Central, XDB-SRA Indices of Abundance,rescaled to biomass units with median q 1: Central CA RecFIN 2: Central CA onboard CPFV
China Central, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Distributions 1: Central CA RecFIN 2: Central CA onboard CPFV
China Central, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Biomass 1: Central CA RecFIN 2: Central CA onboard CPFV
China Central, XDB-SRA China (Central) Posteriors vs. Priors
China Central, XDB-SRA Posterior UpdateXDB-SRA w/ diffuse priors
China Central, XDB-SRA Pairwise Posterior Scatterplots
China Central, XDB-SRA Sensitivity Analysesmedian (5% - 95%)
China North, XDB-SRA Spawning biomass quantiles, compared totarget & limit (left) and catch-based prior (right)
China North, XDB-SRA Exploitation rate and biomass,relative to targets/thresholds
China North, XDB-SRA Reference Points
China North, XDB-SRA Indices of Abundance,rescaled to biomass units with median q 1: Northern CA and OR, RecFIN 2: Northern CA and OR, onboard CPFV
China North, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Distributions 1: Northern CA and OR, RecFIN 2: Northern CA and OR, onboard CPFV
China North, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Biomass 1: Northern CA and OR, RecFIN 2: Northern CA and OR, onboard CPFV
China North, XDB-SRA China (North) Posteriors vs. Priors
China North, XDB-SRA Posterior UpdateXDB-SRA w/ diffuse priors
China North, XDB-SRA Pairwise Posterior Scatterplots
China North, XDB-SRA Sensitivity Analysesmedian (5% - 95%)
Copper, XDB-SRA Spawning biomass quantiles, compared totarget & limit (left) and catch-based prior (right)
Copper, XDB-SRA Exploitation rate and biomass,relative to targets/thresholds
Copper, XDB-SRA Reference Points
Copper, XDB-SRA Indices of Abundance,rescaled to biomass units with median q 1: Central CA , onboard CPFV 2: Coastwide, RecFIN 3: Southern CA, onboard CPFV 4: No. CA / OR, onboard CPFV
Copper, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Distributions 1: Central CA , onboard CPFV 2: Coastwide, RecFIN 3: Southern CA, onboard CPFV 4: No. CA / OR, onboard CPFV
Copper, XDB-SRA Posterior Predictive Biomass 1: Central CA , onboard CPFV 2: Coastwide, RecFIN 3: Southern CA, onboard CPFV 4: No. CA / OR, onboard CPFV
Copper, XDB-SRA Copper Posteriors vs. Priors
Copper, XDB-SRA Posterior UpdateXDB-SRA w/ diffuse priors
Copper, XDB-SRA Pairwise Posterior Scatterplots
Copper, XDB-SRA Sensitivity Analysesmedian (5% - 95%)