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April 25, 2012

35. From Conflict to Coping: Evidence on the contributions of peacebuilding to drought resilience among pastoralist groups. April 25, 2012. Overview. Purpose of the study Key f indings and supporting evidence Implications. Aim.

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April 25, 2012

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  1. 35 From Conflict to Coping: Evidence on the contributions of peacebuilding to drought resilience among pastoralist groups April 25, 2012

  2. Overview • Purpose of the study • Key findings and supporting evidence • Implications

  3. Aim Test the program theory linking peacebuilding to drought resilience

  4. Context: Somali-Oromiya regions of Ethiopia Source: Temesgen, A.K., Climate Change to Conflict? Lessons Learned from Southern Ethiopia and Northern Kenya. Fafo, 2010.

  5. Sources and Methods

  6. Key Finding #1 Improved peace and security within the intervention areas have created conditions that enable greater freedom of movement and access to important resources that pastoralist groups depend on to cope with and adapt to severe drought.

  7. HH Survey Findings Inability to access resources due to insecurity in target areas

  8. Change in reported access to key resources (from one year prior) Aggregated Focus Group Scores Greatly increased

  9. Key Finding #2 Pastoralist groups who have greater freedom of movement and access to natural resources are less likely to have to rely on distressful coping mechanisms in response to extreme drought and more likely to be able to employ adaptive capacities.

  10. HH Survey Findings HH Survey Findings Factors associated with use of distressful coping mechanisms

  11. Perceived Change of Proportion of Families Relying on Coping Strategies Aggregated Focus Group Scores

  12. Implications • Treat conflict as a disaster risk to be reduced, rather than an externality • Strengthen local governance and social cohesion that underpin resilience • Invest in efforts to identify accurate measures and predictors of resilience

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