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Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory. Adel Alsharafi and Wendy Vit, MDNR Jeff Sprague, IEPA September 25, 2006. Changes to 2002 Base Year Inventory (Base 4). Incorporated Midwest RPO Base K inventory for MRPO states -- all sectors except onroad mobile
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Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory Adel Alsharafi and Wendy Vit, MDNR Jeff Sprague, IEPA September 25, 2006
Changes to 2002 Base Year Inventory (Base 4) • Incorporated Midwest RPO Base K inventory for MRPO states -- all sectors except onroad mobile • Adjusted Missouri area source inventory • Added portable fuel container (gas cans) emissions statewide • Corrected aircraft refueling emissions at Lambert
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Electric Generating Units (EGUs) • Integrated Planning Model (IPM) emissions projections that implement state/local regulations, NOx SIP Call, CAIR trading program, and stakeholder unit-level revisions
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Non-EGU Point Sources • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO • Emissions adjustments from stakeholder comments (Anheuser Busch, Daimler Chrysler, JW Aluminum) • Controls • Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) • NOx SIP Call - cement kilns and RICE • Illinois NOx rule (St. Louis NAA counties)
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Non-EGU Point Sources, Cont. • Facility shutdowns • Note: Ford Hazelwood retained in 2009 inventory with 2002 emissions held constant • Newly permitted facilities • Holcim cement kiln - Ste. Genevieve, MO • Prairie State Generating Station - Washington Co., IL • ConocoPhilips proposed plant expansion - Madison Co., IL
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Area Sources • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO • Controls • Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) • Illinois portable fuel container rule • Stage II vehicle refueling - onboard vapor recovery • New Source Performance Standards - residential wood combustion
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Offroad Mobile Sources • NONROAD2004 model output • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO for commercial marine vessels, aircraft, locomotives • Controls • Federal rules included in NONROAD2004 (Tier 4 offroad diesel rule) • Federal locomotive standards • Federal commercial marine vessel standards • Federal spark ignition evaporative standards
2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Onroad Mobile Sources • VMT growth factors provided by Alpine Geophysics (avg. 1.7% per year within St. Louis NAA counties) • 2009 emission factors from MOBILE6 • Controls • Federal regulations included in MOBILE6 (Tier 2 rule and heavy-duty diesel engine standards) • Reformulated gasoline in St. Louis NAA counties (both MO and IL) • Basic I/M performance standard in MO NAA counties • I/M program in IL NAA counties