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WTO Accession & Russia’s Agri-Food Sector

International Agricultural Trade and Sustainable Development in Southeast Asia October 31, 2005. WTO Accession & Russia’s Agri-Food Sector. Eu.Serova Analytical Centre AFE www.iet.ru/afe. Narrative story of Russian Accession. 1990 – USSR GATT observer

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WTO Accession & Russia’s Agri-Food Sector

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  1. International Agricultural Trade and Sustainable Development in Southeast Asia October 31, 2005 WTO Accession &Russia’s Agri-Food Sector Eu.Serova Analytical Centre AFE www.iet.ru/afe

  2. Narrative story ofRussian Accession • 1990 – USSR GATT observer • mid-1992 – Russian Federation GATT observer • June 1993 - President Yeltsyn’s official statement on intention to access, Working Group on Russia’s WTO Accession set up • December 1994 - official application for accession • April 1995 - negotiating process approved by the State Duma. • 1997- start of agricultural negotiations of Accession

  3. CurrentRussian negotiation position • Base period 1993-1995 • AMS – US$9 bln • Bound tariff 19% • Export subsidies

  4. Russian negotiation positionRussia: PSE,%

  5. Russian negotiation position Russia: AMS=US 9 $ bln

  6. Russian negotiation positionAMS/ha

  7. Russian negotiation positionRussia:import tariff TRQ: beef and pork Volume quota: poultry Variable import duty: sugar

  8. USA EU-15 Japan Brazil Mexico Kenya India Russia Mean 11.9 20.5 80.1 35.6 44.4 100 116 13 Median 3.8 10.9 12 35 36 100 100 15 Min 0 0 0 0 0 100 10 0 Max 378.7 218.5 2553.6 55 450.7 100 300 50 Std. deviation 33 29.4 203.3 11.2 42.1 0 52.5 9 # of tariff lines 1769 2200 1806 942 1080 665 690 847 Russian negotiation positionimport tariffstructure

  9. Current tariff Negotiated initial bound tariff New Agreement final tariff t1=at0/(a+t0) a=5 a=15 a=50 Meat 19.4 67.5 4.7 12.3 28.7 Fish 10 19.5 4 8.5 14 Dairy 15 42.5 4.5 11.1 23 Sugar 29 49.5 4.5 11.5 24.9 Russian negotiation positionRussia:effect of tiered formula

  10. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorRussia: share of green box measures in total ag. budget

  11. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorShare of green box policies costs in GDP , 1997, %

  12. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorag. budget structure

  13. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorexport taxes

  14. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorag.growth

  15. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectorfood industry growth

  16. Impact of Russia’s accession on Agri-Food sectortrade

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