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THE NEW TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY AND THE EU

THE NEW TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY AND THE EU. Ass. Prof. Deniz Altınbaş. New Turkish Foreign Policy. Improving relations with the East Deadlock with the EU. Why are Turks so eager to become an EU member?. Cold War and afterwards. 1 990s : Middle East topic N on-involvement was an anomaly

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THE NEW TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY AND THE EU

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  1. THE NEW TURKISH FOREIGN POLICY AND THE EU Ass. Prof. Deniz Altınbaş

  2. New Turkish Foreign Policy • Improving relations with the East • Deadlock with the EU

  3. Why are Turks so eager to become an EU member?

  4. Cold War and afterwards.. • 1990s: Middle East topic • Non-involvement was an anomaly • Mistake : a one-sided foreign policy

  5. One of the most complicated foreign policy situations in the world

  6. Shift of axis : to have all the alternatives in its hands

  7. Danger? Threat? • Not substitutes but supplements to the EU project • EU is not successful in the Middle East, the Caucasus, Central Asia

  8. Potential power of Turkey? OR • Fear of losing Turkey to dangerous states..Russia, Iran

  9. “Scary” scenarios • Worse scenario: “cooperation” • No space for any other power, in more than one region

  10. Different relationship choices other than membership • A non-alignment attitude

  11. Questions for Europeans who feel insecure • An EU candidate OR a “pissed off state” to Europe?

  12. 2. Moving away from the Western values ? • Sabotage Western foreign policy interests • An extremely instable neighbourhood

  13. AKP : an Islamist character • sui generis foreign policy style

  14. 3. A long-term policy? 4. Is that the last point? Radical policies? pan-Turkism pan-Islamism Revival of the Ottoman Empire?

  15. A neo-Ottoman foreign policy? • Middle East, Central Asia, Caucasus, Balkans and Black Sea

  16. No plans of Ottoman Resurrection • No imperial or expansionist policies • No policy of creating chaos • No policy of creating tensions

  17. Overcoming the “problem” • Turkey “under” control • Membership to be put off

  18. Motive behind the axis shift EU + conservative AKP + global situation Axis shift for the whole world 

  19. Turkey’s “side”? • No clear-cut choice between West and East • Not West – not East, both West – both East

  20. Napoleon : “Strategic position determines the faith of that state” • “fate determines the survival and success of the surrounding region and ultimately the stability of the international system”

  21. Conclusion • Priority is no longer membership. • A multi-dimensional foreign policy

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