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A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of Social Impact

A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of Social Impact. Case study of involuntary resettlement caused by dam construction in Japan. Naruhiko TAKESADA Graduate School of Frontier Sciences University of Tokyo, JAPAN. Social Impact of Dam.

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A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of Social Impact

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  1. A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of Social Impact Case study of involuntary resettlement caused by dam construction in Japan Naruhiko TAKESADA Graduate School of Frontier Sciences University of Tokyo, JAPAN

  2. Social Impact of Dam • Involuntary Resettlement caused by Dam Construction • Past: not much care • Present: carefully planned resettlement • Compensation (monetary and/or in kind) • Rehabilitation • “Resettlement as Opportunity” IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  3. w/o R Asset/Income After R1 After R1 After R2 After R3 Time t t+n Principle agreed • Standard of Living and/or Income • improved, at least restored IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  4. When & How to Assess • When/How we know the principle realized • Post Project Assessment (Post Evaluation) • Donor-driven in developing countries • 2-5 years after completion • Monitoring effort waning • “Development” is long process IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  5. w/o R Asset/Income After R1 After R1 After R2 After R3 Time t t+n Different Picture • Different result with different timing IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  6. Case Study: Ikawa dam in Japan • Ikawa Dam built in 1955 • 193 households displaced • 21 households moved to prepared area (“Nishiyama-daira”) • “New Village Building” • Interview with resettlers in “Nishiyama-daira” IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  7. Findings • Resettlers’ livelihood after dam • Just after resettlement: hardship • After 10 years: unexpected boom in forestry • After 20 years: stagnation begins • Now • Most resettlers satisfied • Village depopulated and declining • Success or Failure? IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  8. Conclusion and Implication • Uncertainty in “environment” • Unforeseen social impact • Rehabilitation not as expected • Uncertainty & Unforeseen: no easy solution at planning • One-shot plan is not feasible • Monitoring with commitment IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

  9. End of Presentation Thank you very much! IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007

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