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1. Master of European Studies, MESUniversity of Zagreb, 2007GLOBALISM AND REGIONALISM: ECONOMIC ASPECTS Višnja Samardžija, PhD
Institute for International Relations - IMO
visnja.samardzija@irmo.hr
2. Content of presentation Global and regional interdependence: the context of European challenge
Europe and multipolar world
Shift from tripolar to multipolar world?
Defining the economic integration
Basic concepts of regional integration
Best practices, discussion
3. Twin forces of regionalism and globalisation Two principle dynamic forces in world economic development
Regionalism: closer integration links between nation-states
Globalisation: highest form of internationalised economic activity
4. Global security structures (OSCE, NATO, PfP)
Global trade structure (WTO)
International monetary institutions (IMF, WB, EBRD, other) Regional economic integration (EU, NAFTA, APEC)
Sub-regional integration (CEI, BSEC, CBSS, other) Globalisation vs. regionalism
5. Towards multipolar structure of world economic superpowers Tripolar structure of world economy or shift towards multipolar world?
Global security and trade structures
The role of WTO
The rise of the “new competiton” (NICs)
The new techno-industrial paradigms
Information technology, biotechnology, nanotechnology, management of knowledge and human resources, other?
7. WTO and world trade system WTO – international organisation that sets global rules of trade between nations (1995)
Established within GATT framework, result of Uruguay round
151 member (July 2007) + 25 negotiating countries (80% world trade)
WTO agreements - core of WTO system, lay down legal ground for international trade
Ministerial Conference – highest decision making body, meetings every two years
Settle (1999); Doha (2001 – DDA); Cancun (2003), Hong Kong (2005)
General Council, specialised councils, WGs, WPs, WTO Secretariat (Geneva)
WTO established within GATT framework, result of Uruguay round (1986-94)
GATS, NTB, TRIPs, TRIMs
Current round MTN: Doha Development Agenda (DDA)
8. WTO “new” issues on agenda Enhanced and better trade rules
TRIPS, TRIMS, IPR – new mechanisms and principles
Trade facilitation
Investment competition, transparency in government procurement, electronic commerce (“Singapore issues” ?)
Agriculture
Market access for services
Trade and environment
WTO rules – anti dumping, subsidies, regional trade arrangements
Clarifying and improving discplines in RTA
9. GATT / WTO main principles WTO framework
Non- discriminatory trade
MFN – Most favoured nation clause (reciprocity)
National treatment clause
Multilateral negotiation and free trade
Achievements: multilateral reductions of trarrifs, expanding number of trade-related issues concerning impediments to trade
The prohibition of quantitative reductions
Exception to the “MFN” rule for RTA (article XXIV)
10. EU and WTO EU is one of the key players in the WTO
As a global trading power and the world's largest market, Europe's trade policy is an important instrument for shaping the economic world
Legal basis: Article 133, TEU (EU’s trade policy)
European Commission: negotiates trade policy on behalf of 27 MSs
Negotiator: EU Commissioner PeterMandelson
11. Croatia and WTO Preparations for membership started in 1993.
Memorandum o external trade system in Croatia + additional questions
Harmonisation of trade, customs and fiscal system with the WTO rules confirmed
Protocol on accession to WTO, ratification
Membership in WTO – 2000.
12. Regionalisation
Regional trade agreements (RTAs): contribute to economic welfare and political stability
Growth of regionalism: over 200 of RTDs are operating, dozens more in making
Preferential agreements continue to multiply, stable equilibrium?
Overlaping RTD: tendency in mulitaletalising
Key features of operating RTAs
effects on trade and on new economic opportunities
impacts on multilaterally based trading relationships (bilding new protectionist structures?)
Best practices
Tendency of multilateralising RTD, expanding them into larger entities, collapsing them closer to multilateral system , forces of interest?
13. . New tendencies in the world trade: Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs)
14. Three dimensions of integrating into world economy
Global dimension: WTO
European dimension: EU
Regional dimension: Southeastern Europe
15. Defining the economic integration Process
Partnership
Group of countries
Common goal
Liberalisation /free movement
Consultations /coordination
Common bodies / institutions
Common policies
16. Concepts of regional integration Key concepts (Balassa)
Preferential trade arrangement
Free trade area (FTA)
Customs union
Common internal market
Economic and monetary union (EMU)
Economic and political union (EPU)
17. Free trade area - FTA Preferential trade arrangement
Eliminination of tariff and quota restrictions on exports
Retaining the ability of formulating own external trade policy (tariffs)
Trade deflection possible
Rules of origin
18. Customs union Arrangement built on a structure of FTA (internal) with the adoption of common external tariff (CET)
CU = FTA + CET
CU solves the problem of trade deflection (partly)
Example: European Communities (CU completed in 1968)
19. Common / internal market Elimination of remaining barriers and trade impediments
Same rights of establishment for business
Freedom of movement of factors of production (goods, services, capital, people)
Close cooperation in dfifferent area
Example: EC common market; EU internal market
20. Economic and monetary union Higher form of intergration
Adoption of common currency by member states
Closer cooperation in variety of economic policies, stronger economic co-responsibility
Macroeconomic criteria
Common supranational institutions (central bank)
21. Economic and political union (EPU) Final stage of regional integration
Transition to federal union between the member states
Common political institutions
Loosing national sovereignty
Common citizenship
Example: USA
22. EU and the world economy Growth forecast EU 2007: 2.7%
GDP of 11,000 bn Euro (2006)
Bigger than USA
2 times bigger than Japan
5 times bigger than China
Global exports 2006: EU and global competitors
EU: 38.9%
USA: 8.7%
Japan: 5.3%
Employment in R&D intense industries
EU 6.9%
USA 4.9%
23. Positive & negative integration(Tinbergen) Negative integration
Eliminating certain obsatcles or impediments to integration
Example: deregulation of admninistrative rules, harmonisation Positive integration
Creating harmonised conditions for improved integrational co-ordination
Example: development of common institutions and policies