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Opening Black Boxes The need for greater transparency and accuracy

Opening Black Boxes The need for greater transparency and accuracy . Dr Keith Baker Centre for Energy and the Built Environment Glasgow Caledonian University. Overview. The problem of black boxes For and against greater transparency Accuracy and building energy modelling

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Opening Black Boxes The need for greater transparency and accuracy

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  1. Opening Black BoxesThe need for greater transparency and accuracy Dr Keith Baker Centre for Energy and the Built Environment Glasgow Caledonian University

  2. Overview • The problem of black boxes • For and against greater transparency • Accuracy and building energy modelling • Enabling greater accuracy • Final thoughts

  3. The Problem Data ? • CO2 / CO2e

  4. The Problem Data ? Conversion factors Calculations Assumptions Boundaries ? • CO2 / CO2e

  5. Against Transparency • Intellectual Property Rights • Profit and competitive advantage • Expediency • Lack of an independent, impartial, expert scrutiny body • Problem of non-expert scrutiny (e.g. by climate change deniers)

  6. For Transparency • How valuable is that IPR anyway? • ‘Transparent’ does not have to mean ‘free’ • Whose advantage? • How expedient? • Need for greater exposure to peer review – stakeholder and public confidence in results • Greater transparency means results are less open to questions / claims of greenwashing

  7. Positive Examples Free: • Inventory of Carbon and Energy, University of Bath • Climate Challenge Fund Route Maps, Footprint Consulting Low cost: • REAP / REAP Petite, Stockholm Environment Institute • Many building energy models

  8. Accuracy and Building Energy Modelling Energy Heating Lighting Ventilation Appliances etc • CO2 / CO2e

  9. But then... Energy • CO2 / CO2e?

  10. Enabling Accuracy • Is there really a standard household any more? • Is it time to ditch the zone 1 / zone 2 assumption? • What are the implications for policy making? • How accurately can we model the impact of behaviour, and behavioural interventions? • What can be learnt from buildings that can be applied elsewhere?

  11. Final Thoughts • Two inter-connected problems • Can greater transparency lead to greater accuracy? • How can our knowledge of building energy modelling inform carbon accounting in general? • How accurate can we be? And how accurate do we need to be?

  12. The Agriculture Workshop Date: Tues 17th June Time: 10:00 - 1:00 (includes lunch) – plus an afternoon session for those able to stay Venue: Room A426, Govan Mbeki Building, Glasgow Caledonian University Workshop leaders: Dr Keith Baker, GCU & ICARB; Dr Ole Pahl, BATFarm Project, GCU; Dr Colin Burton, Cemagref, France; Dr Gary Lanigan, Teagasc, Ireland; and Dr Arthur Fallick, Kwantlen Polytechnic University, Vancouver, Canada.

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