STATS SA

1. STATS SA The world of work in Free State Joyce Jefferis Free State Isibalo Symposium Bloemfontein 10-11 October 2013

2. STATS SA • Presentation outline • Part 1: Based on the QLFS • Labour market indicators Free State compared with the national average • Provincial comparisons • Part 2: Based on the population Censuses (1996 & 2011) • Labour market results at DC level across the country (top/bottom) DCs • Labour market results at DC level for Free State • Labour market results at Municipality level for Free State

3. STATS SA What is the labour market? Firms demand labour Individuals supply labour Important vehicle for distributing the benefits of economic development

4. Production: Real GDP (2005 prices y-o-y) STATS SA

5. The population in South Africa, 2011 STATS SA 51,8 million people and 5% of these (2,7 million) lived in Free State

6. Distribution of the population in Free State STATS SA Mangaung had the largest population (27,2%) and Xhariep had the smallest (5,3%)

7. Employment: Year on year changes STATS SA 1 million jobs lost in RSA 55 thousand in Free State Peak in Q4: 2008 Latest RSA : 14,0 m 13,7 m Free State: 823 th 761 th 2010 2013 2009 2011 2012

8. Industries: Annual job losses 2008 to 2012 STATS SA Nationally Manufacturing, Trade & construction lost the most jobs

9. Unemployment rate: Official definition STATS SA Free State above the national average by a larger margin since Q3: 2011 2012 2013 2008 2009 2010 2011

10. Labour absorption rate: South Africa & Free State STATS SA The percentage of the working age population in Free State with jobs has fallen from almost 46% in Q1:2008 to 40% in Q2:2013 2013 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011

11. Census: Unemployment rate by province STATS SA • Highest in FS • Largest increase in FS & EC

12. Census: Incidence of long term unemployment STATS SA Third highest in Free State

13. Census: Discouraged work-seekers % of NEA STATS SA

14. Census: Occupations, 2012 STATS SA

15. Census: Median monthly earnings STATS SA Third lowest

16. Hard facts: The job losses in Free State unpacked STATS SA Education 2008 – 2012 Free State lost 93 000 jobs Age Occupation

17. Census STATS SA Understandingthe labour market from a Census perspective

18. Census STATS SA Note Based on the expanded definition of unemployment. Industry shares refer to the 1996 Census results because the industry coding for 2011 Census results is still underway

19. Census STATS SA Urban and Non-urban unemployment rates 1996 - 2011

20. Census: Unemployment rate: Largest increase STATS SA Mining : 46% of Employment

21. Census: Unemployment rate: Largest decrease STATS SA ISRDP intervention ISRDP: Integrated Sustainable Rural Development Programme of 2001

22. Census: Unemployment rate, most urban DCs STATS SA Metro areas feature prominently Slight increase Largest increase Slight decline

23. Census: Unemployment rate in Non-Urban areas STATS SA Largest decline in rates in 2 DCs (ISRDP) ISRDP: Integrated Sustainable Rural Development Programme of 2001

24. Census: NEET rate among youth (15-24 yrs) STATS SA Highest

25. Census STATS SA Unemployment rate and level of education by sex and area type in 2011

26. Census: Unemployment rate by Area type and sex, 2011 STATS SA South Africa, 2011 Lowest unemployment rate but sometimes poor employment conditions Traditional Urban Farm

27. Census: Education levels of the labour force, 2011 STATS SA Worst education profile in farm areas. But lowest unemployment rate South Africa 2011 Below matric :54,1 Matric and higher :45,6 Traditional Urban Farm

28. Census: Unemployment rate by sex in the most urbanised DCs, 2011 STATS SA Largest gender gap where mining is dominant Difference

29. Census:Unemployment rate by sex, most traditional areas, 2011 STATS SA Generally the highest rates in the country for Men & Women Difference

30. Census: Unemployment rate by sex in farm areas, 2011 STATS SA Difference Relatively large gender imbalances but lowest rates in the country for Men & Women Agriculture accounts for 25-40% of total employment in all DCs

31. Census STATS SA Employment in the formal and informal sector 2011

32. Census: DCs with highest % of formal sector jobs, 2011 STATS SA

33. Census: DCs with highest % of informal sector jobs, 2011 STATS SA Highest in the country

34. Census STATS SA Free State Labour market outcomes at DC level

35. Census: The working age population in Free State, 2011 STATS SA D. 306 000 B. 453 000 C. 399 000 A. 490 000 E. 89 000

36. Census: Labour force by area type STATS SA Education matters

37. Census: Education profile of the labour force STATS SA Matric only Tertiary Below matric Mangaung has the best education profile 1996 2011

38. Census: Unemployment rate in Free state STATS SA Mangaung 1996 33,0% 2011 42,1% 33,8 35,5 • Largest increase in Lejweleputswa • Highest rate in • Thabo Mofutsanyane Thabo Mofutsanyane 39,2 47,7 Lejweleputswa 29,1 45,6 Increase (ppoints) Fezile Dabi 30,4 41,4 Xhariep 33,8 40,0

39. Census: Labour absorption rate STATS SA Best opportunities for employment in Mangaung

40. Census: Formal and informal sector in 2011 STATS SA Informal sector employment is highest in Xhariep

41. Census: Unemployment rate by age and sex, 2011 STATS SA

42. Census: Unemployment rate, Municipalities STATS SA Fezile Dabi Highest rate but smallest increase Largest increase Thabo Mofutsanyane 2nd Largest increase 4th Largest increase Lejweleputswa 3rd Largest increase Xhariep Lowest rate 20% 40% 60%

43. Census: Education profile of the labour force municipalities STATS SA Below matric Matric plus

44. Census STATS SA Education level of the labour force, 2011 Thank you

45. Census STATS SA

46. Table 5.4: Share of employment by industry and province, 2012 Census STATS SA

47. STATS SA

48. Free State at a glance STATS SA Unemployment rate is the highest in the country Agriculture, trade and manufacturing lost the most jobs in the past 5 years Informal sector share in total employment is the highest in the ountry Young people Have the highest unemployment rate Data: Q3_Q4: 2012