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How Industry uses FIA data?

How Industry uses FIA data?. SAF National FIA User Group Meeting Salt Lake City, UT March 20, 2013. John Paul McTague – Rayonier FR&SS. Current Uses. FIA statistics and market intelligence Provide baseline understanding for areas of interest

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How Industry uses FIA data?

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  1. How Industry uses FIA data? SAF National FIA User Group Meeting Salt Lake City, UT March 20, 2013 John Paul McTague – Rayonier FR&SS

  2. Current Uses • FIA statistics and market intelligence • Provide baseline understanding for areas of interest • Indicate where supply statistics support potential market additions or challenges • Input data for the SRTS (Sub-Regional Timber Supply) model. • Wood Basket Analysis - is the resource increasing, decreasing 1) Set distance radii around a mill 2) Group of counties or an entire state

  3. Understanding potential challenges or opportunities for operations. Below is a side-by-side comparison of supply statistics for three basins Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  4. Pine Plantation Volume Summary G/R statistic is a key indicator of market opportunity

  5. Demonstrating scale and focus with acres by speciesAcres by Species Group for Basin 1 *Source: FIA Data Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  6. Private Timberland ResourceAcres by Age Class for Basin 1 Age class distribution skewed to <19 ages *Source: FIA Data Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  7. Pine Inventory Characteristics by ProductInventory, Growth and Removals for Basin 1 Growth-to-Drain ratios indicate strong growth of the pulpwood product pool Large grade G/D reflective of natural pine component *Source: FIA Data; Rayonier Analysis Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  8. Pine Plantation Volume DistributionInventory, Growth and Removals for Basin 1 Growth-to-Drain relationship more pronounced in smaller dbh classes *Source: FIA Data; Rayonier Analysis Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  9. Demonstrate History through Harvest CharacteristicsUSDA FIA Timber Product Output Survey Removals by Survey Yearfor Basin 1 Decline in sawlog harvest of 1.5 million tons (29%) between 2005 and 2009 *Source: FIA Timber Product Output Rayonier Confidential and Proprietary Information

  10. The Sub-Regional Timber Supply Model (SRTS) • Can provide projections of inventory, harvests, growth, and potential price response over time that can be used for business and strategic planning.

  11. Wood Basket Example • The Typical Situation: A new wood using facility is scheduled to open near one of our mills. The new facility will use X tons per year. • Question: How large of an impact will this new wood consumption have on our mill’s wood basket? • Strategy: Do we need to change our species mix or other procurement strategy to keep fiber costs stable.

  12. Wood Basket Example • Rayonier’s Jesup Mill • Location: Jesup, Georgia Products: Absorbent pulp and specialty pulp Wood species: Southern pine and hardwood Average Haul: 50 miles

  13. Wood Basket Example • NCASI’s GForest - 75 mile radius for Jesup

  14. Wood Basket Example • NCASI’s GForest - 75 mile radius for Jesup Volume of GS trees on timberland

  15. Wood Basket Example • NCASI’s GForest - 75 mile radius for Jesup Acres, Inventory, Growth, Removals

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