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How Does China’s Growth Affect Poverty Reduction in Asia and Latin America?

How Does China’s Growth Affect Poverty Reduction in Asia and Latin America?. Rhys Jenkins and Chris Edwards University of East Anglia. People on<$2 a day in Asia. People on <$2 a day in Latin America. Impacts of China on Developing Countries. Increased market for exports to China

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How Does China’s Growth Affect Poverty Reduction in Asia and Latin America?

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  1. How Does China’s Growth Affect Poverty Reduction in Asia and Latin America? Rhys Jenkins and Chris Edwards University of East Anglia

  2. People on<$2 a day in Asia

  3. People on <$2 a day in Latin America

  4. Impacts of China on Developing Countries • Increased market for exports to China • Increased competition from China in third markets • Increased competition from China in domestic market • Effects on FDI • Multiplier effect of China’s growth on world output • Effect of Chinese demand on world prices

  5. Framework of Analysis

  6. Typology of Exports • Labour-intensive agricultural products (LA) • Non-labour-intensive agricultural products (OA) • Forestry (F) • Minerals and petroleum (MP) • Labour-intensive manufactures (LM) • Other manufactures (OM)

  7. Structure of Exports to China, 2001 (%)

  8. Share of labour-intensive products threatened by Chinese competition in total exports, 2001 (%)

  9. Shares of Imports from China, 2001 (%)

  10. Aspects of China’s Growth Most Likely to Impact on the Poor

  11. Implications for policy • How to respond to opportunities and challenges? • What are the implications for pro-poor policies?

  12. Further Research on the Impact of China on International Poverty • Analysis of competition in labour-intensive products in 3rd country markets • Identification of products likely to have pro-poor impacts • Studies of individual value chains • In depth country case studies

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