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Online Games. Past Through Future. Evolution Business Models Technology. Me. 27 published gamesMadMaze (1st online game with 1m playersGames industry analyst
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1. Online Games Past Through Future
2. Online Games Past Through Future
3. Me 27 published games
MadMaze (1st online game with 1m+ players
Games industry analyst & consultant
Founder & Chief Design Officer, Unplugged Games
Write about games industry.
4. Evolution It Didn’t Begin with Doom
5. Today Three Markets:Ad-supported mass audienceRetail Purchase, Free Online PlayPersistent World w/ Monthly Charge
New Entrants to Mass Audience Games EA.com, Games.com [Hasbro], PureSkill [Walker Digital/Priceline], –Sony
New Genres for Persistent Worlds Anarchy Online, Sovereign
Online Play now Standard for PC Retail Build Site vs. Work with Aggregator
6. Near Term Future New Game StylesNeverwinter Nights
Proprietary Mass-Audience GamesThe importance of EuchreLicenses; Reiner Knizia
Niche AudiencesSimutronics, Skotos.net, GameGate, Warcry
Indy Games MovementSissyfight, Shockwave.com
The Search for the Middle Ground
Online Console Gaming Chimaera or Reality?
7. Business Models Forrester Claims $1b US Market in 1999I Want What They’re Smoking—Maybe $400m Tops
Three Viable Models NowAd Supported Mass Audience (Prize-Based, Classic)Buy at Retail, Play for Free (Quake III)But at Retail + Monthly Fee (EverQuest)
Viable (?) Near-Term ModelsFree Client + Monthly FeePay for Components (Achaea)Shareware Revival
8. Technology BroadbandDoes Nothing for LatencyUser Customization, Easy Component & Update Distribution The Death of Retail; Revival of the Doom Model
Voice-over-IP Socialization; Key Technology for Consoles?
Streaming Media Completely Irrelevant
Distributed Processing Harnesses Enormous ResourcesSecurity & Charge Model Problems
9. This is What Computer Games Were Meant to Be Games are social activities.
The single-user of the PC has warped them in peculiar ways.
As broadband spreads, online will swallow conventional PC gaming
10. The Future is Late, but Not Cancelled 3 years ago, the analysts were wildly optimistic.
We predict things on a linear curve, but growth is parabolic--falling below initially, but then shooting far above.
We’re now poised for takeoff.
The future’s so bright….