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When to use Virtual Hold Technology in Call Centre Operations. Dave Worthington, Chris Kirkbride Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, UK. d.worthington@lancaster.ac.uk c.kirkbride@lancaster.ac.uk (T hanks to Zubin Sethuraman, MSc student, Lancaster University). Outline.
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When to use Virtual Hold Technology in Call Centre Operations Dave Worthington, Chris Kirkbride Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, UK. d.worthington@lancaster.ac.uk c.kirkbride@lancaster.ac.uk (Thanks to Zubin Sethuraman, MSc student, Lancaster University).
Outline • Energy provider call centre context • Previous work on balking queues • Do our models fit? • Model predictions • Implications for call centre management.
US Energy Provider:Daily call volumes to call centre (Winter)
The problem posed • Virtual hold technology (VHT) gives callers opportunity to be called back without losing their place in the queue (accept /stay in queue/ balk) • When should they use VHT? • Should they use it differently for different queues?
Time-dependent queues with balking Balking can be used to represent balking and reneging We investigate M(ln(t))/G/S and assume geometric balking, i.e.
Results: Easy-to-use approximation Queue length behaviour of M(ln(t))/G/S can be approximated (well) by a Normal distribution with:
Self Validation Property Approximation works well when Prob (n<S) is small, which we can check using standard Normal tables, e.g. Prob(n<S) < 0.05 if mean is >=1.645 SDs above S, i.e.:
Results: Easy-to-use approximation Anticipated Queueing Time (AQT): • Abandonment behaviour:
‘Sub-optimal’ behaviour is frequent Impatience is a virtue!
CARE: non-balking % V queue length/server 100% b*(off) =0.8205 b*(on) = 0.8578 Non-balking % 50% Queue length/server 6.0 0.0
ACQU’: non-balking % V queue length/server 100% b*(off) =0.6773 b*(on) = 0.7361 Non-balking % 50% 0.0 Queue length/server 2.5
PAYG: non-balking % V queue length/server 100% b*(off) =0.7807 b*(on) = 0.8091 Non-balking % 20% 0.0 Queue length/server 6.0
Performance prediction tool: … based on: ASA
Management implications • VHT is not necessary for Acquisition calls • For other call types VHT reduces abandonments and therefore increases ASAs! • So do current results suggest that VHT is a bad idea? • Depends how many customers accept VHT • Maybe depends on call centre agent allocation software • And …………………?