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Energyscape a Blueprint for New Zealand’s Energy Research Andrew Campbell CRL Energy 17 July 2007. What will New Zealand’s energy system look like by 2030 or 2050? How could we best use our indigenous energy resources? How could New Zealand best prepare for this?
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Energyscapea Blueprint for New Zealand’sEnergy ResearchAndrew CampbellCRL Energy17 July 2007
What will New Zealand’s energy system look like by 2030 or 2050? • How could we best use our indigenous energy resources? • How could New Zealand best prepare for this? • Where should we focus our research effort?
The Foundation Research Science and Technology Energy Projects • Hydrogen Economy • Bioenergy Options • Energyscape … to a consortium of CRL Energy, IRL, Scion, GNS, NIWA and associates
Resource Constraints Infrastructure Constraints Demand Overall Linked Project (lead by NIWA) • Resource maps and related constraints: • Climate-driven (wind, hydro, etc.) • Earth (coal, oil, gas, etc) • Bioenergy (lead by Scion) • Constraints • Infrastructure maps: • Current • Potential • Imported energy use • Hydrogen (lead by CRL) • Constraints • Demand maps (lead by CRL): • Current • Forecast
Resource Constraints Infrastructure Resources Demand “Climate- Driven” Residential Constraints “Earth” Commercial Bioenergy Industry Infrastructure Transport Demand Imports Exports Project Outputs: • 2. Single energy pathway calculations: • Energy • Economic • Emissions • gaps in infrastructure • 1. Multiple spatial maps: • Resource and constraints gaps • Infrastructure and constraints • Demand • 3. Future scenario, multi-pathway analysis: • Development of analysis framework. • identify NZ’s possible future EnergyScape • further gaps • research plan to get us there 4. Stakeholder and public “outreach”
Future Scenarios • Used to test limits … what breaks and why? • For example: • All vehicles biofuelled by 2050. • 100% renewable energy system by 2050. • All light vehicles fuelled by ethanol by 2030. • CCS. Identify where the risks are, • and how research may reduce these risks. An integrated research plan for New Zealand.
Who Carries Out the Research? • “Mainstream” and likely to come from overseas. • New Zealand-specific (e.g., climate, land use-related, etc.). • Mainstream but a business case for New Zealand research. … where do the Universities fit within this?
Stakeholder Introduction Meeting Wellington 9th August 2007 12:30-2:15pm, at the Intercontinental Registrations: c.gazo@crl.co.nz
Timetable … • Stage 1: Provision of Situation Analysis • Resources and issues maps. • Infrastructure and issues maps • First pathway assessments • Stage 2: Selection of Favoured Pathways • Stage 2-3: Theme/Scenario Development • Stage 3: Theme/Scenario Analysis • Stage 4: Gap Analysis and Research Planning • Final Report Aug-Nov ‘07 Dec ’07 Dec ‘07 April ‘08 June ‘08 June ‘08
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