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DSS Meeting 20-21 September 2012

This presentation discusses the impact of census results on population estimates, data collection for surveys such as EU LFS and EU SILC, and the coordinated approach and national plans for revising population figures. The principles for a coordinated approach and next steps are also highlighted.

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DSS Meeting 20-21 September 2012

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  1. 3.6. Impact of population and housing census results on population stocks and on LFS and SILC–follow-up DSS Meeting20-21 September 2012

  2. Structure of the presentation • Background • Population estimates • Coordinatedapproach • National plans • Impact assessment • EU LFS and EU SILC • Principles for a coordinatedapproach • National plans • Nextsteps

  3. 1. Background • Impact of census results on: • Revision of population estimates • Weights used in surveys such as EU LFS and EU SILC. • First discussion in the DSS meeting of 21 March 2012 • General agreement ona coordinated approach for population estimates and on a set of key principles for LFS and SILC surveys. • Bilateral contacts to take place withsome countries • Further discussions at technicallevel • New discussion in September DSS meeting • Input from Migration, LAMAS and Living Conditions WGs

  4. 2. Population estimates: a coordinated approach • If revision needed, it should cover the whole intercensal period (2) Revised data uploaded on Eurostat website as soon as they are transmitted by a Member State (3) EU and Euro Area aggregates for past years systematically revised after each transmission of revised annual data from a Member State

  5. 2. Population estimates: a coordinated approach (4) Revised population figures at national level broken down by: • sex and single year of age to be transmitted by 15 September 2013 • sex, age and citizenship or country of birth to be transmitted by end of December 2013 (5) Revised population estimates at regional level to be transmitted by 15 December 2014

  6. 2. Population estimates: national plans

  7. 2. Population estimates: impact assessmentData of 01/01/2011

  8. 3. EU LFS and EU SILC: agreed principles • Revision Justification by countries not sending revised weights that the impact of the new Census on estimates is null or negligible (smaller than the precision used for publication of the headline indicators) • Length of the time series to be reweighted backwards: flexibility but a minimum reconstruction of back series to be ensured (to avoid breaks in the time series for the Europe 2020 headline indicators) in time for the mid-term review of EU-2020 • LFS: at least from 2010 • SILC: at least from 2008

  9. 3. EU LFS and EU SILC: agreed principles (3) Given high workload, bilateral discussions on the timingrequired for countries wishing to go beyond the minimum length of reweighted time series (4) New data to be transmitted as soon as they are ready helps spreading the workload for Eurostat (5) Publication by Eurostat of the re-weighted series after transmission and validation.

  10. 3. EU LFS: national plans

  11. 3. EU SILC: national plans

  12. 4. Next steps • Further develop the impact assessment • For population estimates, impact on population by age and sex based on Joint Data Collection (deadline: 15 September 2012) • Bilateral discussions with countries of Group 2 • March 2013: New discussion in the DSS meeting • May or September 2013: Discussion in the ESSC meeting

  13. 5. DSS are asked to: • Confirm national situation in terms of revision strategy • Agree on proposed next steps

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