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MATSim User Meeting 2013, Zürich. 1. MATSim … Destination Choice Current State and Future Development. The Base Model. + e explicit. V + e implicit. Repeated Draws: Quenched vs. Annealed Randomness. j. destinations. e 00. fixed initial random seed
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MATSim User Meeting 2013, Zürich 1 MATSim … Destination Choice Current State and Future Development
The Base Model +eexplicit V + eimplicit
Repeated Draws: Quenched vs. Annealed Randomness j destinations e00 • fixed initial random seed • freezing the generating order of eij e10 eij one additional random number can destroy «quench» i • storing all eij i,j ~ O(106) -> 4x1012Byte (4TByte) enn persons personi alternativej store seed ki store seed kj regenerate eij on the fly with random seed f(ki,kj)
Search Space Optimum work shopping home tdeparture tarrival search space Dijkstra forwards 1-n Dijkstra backwards 1-n approximation probabilistic choice
Results shopping leisure
Base Model Attributes • person • age, gender, mobility tools, occupancy, home loc (ha), work loc (municipality) • act chain randomly assigned from microcensus • destination • location (ha), open times, rough type (h, w, s, l, e) • validation • counts
Extending the Model 7 broad range of disciplines such as transport and urban planning, marketing and retailing science, economics, geography, psychology.
Extending the Model 8 8 sim quality • collection costs • transferability / • flexibility • detail level of data
Extending the Model 9 9 Microcensus trips Size: Swiss Business Census Price: ZH city survey set
Extending the Model 10 10
Extending the Model 11 11
Further Extending the Model 12 12 • Synthesis run: • multi-modal: ZH scenario V2 • competition penalties • (e.g., parking) • tagglo
Further Extending the Model 14 14 • Count data, 1 degree of freedom • Microsim flexibility & capacity restraints • Aggregate validation of a highly disaggregate model • Next Big Step: • Demand: • GPS, GSM • Business volumes, loyalty cards, customer frequencies • License plate surveys • Supply • Number of cash points, parking lots, shelf size, shopping baskets • Products (perishable)