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Coal power and regional energy planning ECOS 2011 Novi Sad , July 3-7 , 2011

Coal power and regional energy planning ECOS 2011 Novi Sad , July 3-7 , 2011. Prof.dr.sc. Neven Duić, University of Zagreb Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture (UNIZAG FSB). EU energy context. Security of energy supply Import dependence from 50% to 70% by 2030

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Coal power and regional energy planning ECOS 2011 Novi Sad , July 3-7 , 2011

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  1. Coal power and regional energy planning ECOS2011 Novi Sad, July3-7, 2011 Prof.dr.sc. Neven Duić, University of Zagreb Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture (UNIZAG FSB)

  2. EU energy context • Security of energy supply • Import dependence from 50% to 70% by 2030 • Employment and regional development policies • Deindustrialization and trade liberalization • “Boosting growth and jobs by meeting our climate change commitments” • Mitigation of global warming • Environmental protection • Sustainable development

  3. Energy - climate package 2008 20-20-20 till 2020 • 20% RES • 10% biofuels • Energy neutral buildings from 2018 • 20% CO2 emission reduction • 20% more energy efficiency • Energy neutral buildings from 2018

  4. New RES Directive

  5. New RES Directive Western Balkan countries RES obligations by 2020

  6. New RES Directive EU electricity generation installed capacity net change, 2000-2010 [MW], EWEA

  7. Torwards 2050 • Decarbonising power • Renewables • Carbon capture and storage (CCS) • Nuclear • Four pillars of Post carbon society • Renewable Energy • Buildings as Positive Power Plants • Energy Storage • Smart grids and Plug-in Vehicles

  8. What place for coal power? • Coal in energy planning • Traditionally base load due to high investment cost and low fuel cost • CCS in future, 30-50% higher investment cost • Balancing with the cost of ETS • End of coal subsidies in 2014

  9. What place for coal power? • Wind in energy system • Cheapest RES power • Plentifully available nearly anywhere • Intermittent: • 15-20% yearly penetration possible without storage • approximately 100% momentaneous penetration

  10. What place for coal power?

  11. What place for coal power? • Coal + wind in energy planning • Coal power plants have to become flexible (0-100%) • Danish coal CHP already run like that • Increasing the cost of coal electricity 10-30%

  12. What place for coal power?

  13. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! Хвала на пажњи! Neven.Duic@fsb.hr

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