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FIN 468: Intermediate Corporate Finance. Topic 5–Free Cash Flow Larry Schrenk, Instructor. Exam 1 Structure. Length 1 hour Format 100 Points Short Answer 50 Points (10 Questions) Calculations 50 Points (5-8 Questions) Materials Financial Calculator
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FIN 468: Intermediate Corporate Finance Topic 5–Free Cash Flow Larry Schrenk, Instructor
Exam 1 Structure • Length 1 hour • Format 100 Points • Short Answer 50 Points (10 Questions) • Calculations 50 Points (5-8 Questions) • Materials Financial Calculator • No Crib Sheets, Formulae Sheets, etc. • You only need to know the formulae for ratios mentioned on slides or discussed in class.
Exam Short Answer Preparation • Slides and Notes • Main Ideas • Textbook • Main Ideas • Learning Outcomes • Bold Terms • Chapter Summaries • EoC Problems: Conceptual Issues
Exam Calculation Preparation • Slides and Notes • Main Calculations • Textbook • Calculations in Text • EoC Problems: Calculations
Topics • Why Free Cash Flow (FCF)? • The Free Cash Flow Method • Problems with Free Cash Flow • Free Cash Flow Example
Dividends versus FCF • Dividends • Cash Flows Actually Paid to Stockholders • Free Cash Flows • Cash Flows Available for Distribution
Problems with DDM • Distribution, not Creation, of Value • Arbitrary and Hard to Predict • Retained Earnings Problem • Much Value Far in the Future • Cannot use to Value Firm • Agency Issues • Cash flows should reflect abilityto pay dividends, not what was actually paid
FCF Situations No Dividends Dividend Differ from Capacity to Pay Free Cash Flows Align with Profitability Control Perspective
Free Cash Flow • Free Cash Flow = Cash Flow Available • Available??? • No Definition • Like Ratios • Theoretical, not Observable, Value
FCFF versus FCFE • Free Cash Flow–Firm (FCFF) • Enterprise Cash Flow • Value the Entire Firm • Free Cash Flow–Equity (FCFE) • Value Equity • Issue: Preferred Shares
Free Cash Flow–Firm (FCFF) • Cash Flow Available to… • Repay Lenders • Pay Common and Preferred Dividends • Repurchase Equity • Call Debt • Adjustments to Net Income • Interest and Principal Payments • Non-Cash Items • Δ Working Capital • Δ Capital Expenditures
Free Cash Flow–Firm (FCFF) Net Income + Interest and Principal Payments + Non-Cash Items (e.g., Depreciation) – ΔNet Working Capital – Δ Capital Expenditures FCFF
Free Cash Flow–Equity (FCFE) • Cash Flow Available to… • Repay Lenders • Pay Common and Preferred Dividends • Repurchase Equity • Adjustments to Net Income • Interest and Principal Payments • Non-Cash Items • Δ Working Capital • Δ Capital Expenditures
Free Cash Flow–Equity (FCFE) Net Income + Non-Cash Items (e.g., Depreciation) – ΔNet Working Capital – Δ Capital Expenditures FCFE
Alternate FCFE Method Derive Value form FCFF FCFF – Value of Debt FCFE
Possible CF Growth Patterns • FCF Constant • No-Growth Assumption • FCF Changing at Constant Rate • Constant Growth Assumption • Neither • Variable Growth Assumption
The Cash Flows • The Income Statement • Net Income • Use This Method • The Statement of Cash Flows • Cash Flow from Operations
Interest and Principal Payments • After Tax Interest Payment • Interest x (1 – tc) • Principal Repayment? • Target Capital Structure
Non-Cash Adjustments Non-Cash ItemAdjustment to Net Income Depreciation Added Back Amortization of intangibles Added Back Restructuring Charges (expense) Added Back Losses Added Back Gains Subtracted Amortization of long-term bond discounts Added Back Amortization of long-term bond premium Subtracted Deferred Taxes None
Forecasting Cash Flows • Historical Data • Historical Growth Rate • Best for Constant Growth • Past Predictive of Future • New Information
Forecasting Capital Expenditures • Two Components • Net Expenditures to Maintain Assets-in-Place • New Expenditures to Support Growth Opportunities
Terminal value Firms are Infinite Perpetuity or Growing Perpetuity WARNING: Delayed Perpetuity
Discount Rate • FCFF • WACC • FCFE • Required Return on Equity • More in Cost of Capital
Technical Problems • Free cash flow forecasts are generally not available • Generally must compute statement of cash flows from: • earnings forecasts • balance sheet assumptions • Much of value comes far in the future
Capital Expenditures “Cash flow available to the firm’s suppliers of capital after all operating expenses have been paid and necessary investments in working capital and fixed capital have been made.” What is ‘necessary’?”
Growth Estimation Past versus Future Sensitivity
Parameters • Rates • WACC 12% • Return on Equity 17% • Adjustments • ΔNet Working Capital $5,000,000 • ΔCapital Expenditures $35,000,000 • Growth Rates • g1-4 20% • g5+ 2%