1 / 19

Geopolitics of Cross-Strait Relations: Geography, Ethnicity, Economy, Political Disputes, U.S. Factor, War Dividends, Pe

This comprehensive analysis explores the complex relationship between mainland China and Taiwan, covering various factors such as geography, ethnicity, economy, political disputes, U.S. involvement, war dividends, peace dividends, and prospects for the future.

rbillings
Download Presentation

Geopolitics of Cross-Strait Relations: Geography, Ethnicity, Economy, Political Disputes, U.S. Factor, War Dividends, Pe

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Topic: Geopolitics of the Cross Strait Relations Chapter I: Geography Chapter II: Ethnicity Chapter III: Economy Chapter IV: Political Disputes Chapter V: U.S. Factor Chapter VI: War Dividends Chapter VII: Peace Dividends Chapter VIII: Prospects

  2. Chapter I: Geography Distance: Mainland-Taiwan 168Km Effective Control: ROC Taiwan, 86 islands, including: Taiwan, Penhu Islands, Kimoy, Matsu, Tongsha, Taiping Islands (South China Sea) PRC, Mainland China plus periphery islands Disputes: overlapping sovereignty

  3. Chapter II: Ethnicity ROC: 1. 95% Chinese in origin. 2. migration since 1600 3. 75% Fujianese 10% Haka 5% Aboriginal 10% other provinces of China PRC: 1. majority Han ethnicity 2. 156 minorities 3. in case of control, migration was taking place throughout Chinese history, particularly under the communist rule (1949-)

  4. Chapter III: Economy ROC: Mixed Economy (1950-1987) A. State Planning B. Land Reform C. State Enterprises D. Private Enterprises E. Decentralization (1988-present) F. Global Economy (1992-) PRC: Controlled Economy (1950-) A. State Planning B. State Enterprises C. Reform and Open Door Policy (SEZ) Since 1980 D. Introducing Market System (1992-) E. Integrating Global Market System

  5. Cross-Strait Economic Interactions (1980-2002) (China-Taiwan) export import export/import (Taiwan-China) export import export/import

  6. Chapter IV: Political Disputes A. Sovereignty Issue ROC: Sole representation of entire China (1949-1971) 1. As a member of UN 2. Secured diplomatic relations 3. Expelled from the UN (Resolution 2758) PRC replaced ROC as legitimate government representing China 4. Isolation by the PRC 5. Emergence of Taiwan identity 6. Self-designated identity disputes 7. Seeking right place for Taiwan

  7. PRC: 1. Seeking rightful place in international community (1949-) 2. As a member of UN (1971) 3. Isolating Taiwanese international space 4. Power emergence 5. Seeking major power status in international community B. Disputes: 1. Is there a continuous struggle over ”who represents China”? 2. Problems of two Chinas 3. Problems of one China, one Taiwan 4. The question of solving the political knot 5. Words and deeds: status-quo disputes

  8. Chapter V: U.S. FactorsA. Bitter love with two sides of the Taiwan Strait 1. Realism over taking the scene (1978) 2. Emphasis of U.S. interests - maintain close and stable relations with ROC and PRC - stay away from sovereignty disputes - try to manage the confrontationB. Difficulties to manage the disputes 1. Status-quo 2. Double deterrence 3. Encouraging a compromised resolution

  9. Chapter VI: War Dividends 1. Problems of Military Balance2. Questions of Use of Force3. Possible U.S. Intervention4. Question of Show Down between U.S.-China

  10. Chapter VI: War Dividends 1. Problems of Military Balance

  11. Chapter VI: War Dividends 2. Questions of Use of Force

  12. Chapter VI: War Dividends 3. Possible U.S. Intervention

  13. Chapter VI: War Dividends 4. Question of Show Down between U.S.-China

  14. Chapter VII: Peace Dividends 1. Cross- Strait Relations • What will be the road map of cross strait interaction? • b. Can status-quo keep peace in the Strait? • c. Is confrontation inevitable?

  15. a. How will China be a strong power to be reckon with? b. Will China-U.S. adopt peaceful means to solve problems ahead? c. How are regional states accommodating China as a power? d. What will be Taiwan’s choices? Chapter VII: Peace Dividends 2. Changes in Geopolitics

  16. Chapter VII: Peace Dividends 3. U.S. Constraints • Can U.S. defeat PRC’s attacks by limit use of force? • Can U.S. intervention de-escalate war? • What is the exit policy?

  17. Chapter VII: Peace Dividends 4. Chinese Constraints: Can China afford a war involving U.S.?

  18. Chapter VII: Peace Dividends 5. Taiwan’s Role in U.S.-China Rivalry

  19. Chapter VIII: Prospects 1. War or Peace? 2. How to Achieve Win-Win Situation? A. Resolving Political Impasse B. Building Confidence between Two Sides of the Taiwan Strait

More Related