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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS

South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS. Comparison of two observational datasets. Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean. Ensemble mean and spread. Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble. Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed.

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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS

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  1. South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS

  2. Comparison of two observational datasets

  3. Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean

  4. Ensemble mean and spread

  5. Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble

  6. Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed

  7. ROC curves for below normal (left) and above normal (right) categories

  8. Reliability and sharpness diagrams

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