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Niches versus Neutrality. Pennisi (2005, Science 309:93) 25 Most Important Questions in Science Include What explains species coexistence in diverse communities ?. Niche Differences. Self-Regulation Stronger than Interspecific Competition Stabilizes, Coexistence Ecologists
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Niches versus Neutrality Pennisi (2005, Science 309:93) 25 Most Important Questions in Science Include What explains species coexistence in diverse communities?
Niche Differences Self-Regulation Stronger than Interspecific Competition Stabilizes, Coexistence Ecologists Patterns in Communities of Similar Species due to Niche Differences, Implying That Self-Regulation Stronger than Interspecies Interaction, Equilibrium Perspective
Neutral Models Past Decade Some Larger-Scale PatternsExplained Without Invoking Niche Differences Among Species Only Similar Species/Same Trophic Level Equivalent Species: Same Birth/Death Rates Respond to Environment Same Way: Species Do Not Differ in Ways Distinguishing Their Dynamics
Patterns Rank Abundance Curves Species-Area Relationship Diversity-Distance Relationship Range Size-Abundance Plots Community Ecology and Macroecology Fit by Neutral Models with Tuned Immigration Rates Controversy, Careful Interpretation/Comparison
Niche Differentiation Strong Evidence, Many Communities, Gradients Study-Communities Biased by Anticipation? Niche Model IndividualA Amid Sp A Lower Growth Rate Than IndividualA Amid Sp B – Sp A May Invade Sp B Neutral Model Same Rate, Species Equivalent Preemptive Competition: Same Niche
Neutral Model Competition Possible: Preemption of Space But No Species Differentiation Neutral Model Equivalence: Species Identical Demographic Rates Coexistence is Co-occurrence Densities Drift Randomly (Neutrally)
Neutral Model Neutrality and Niche Theory Not Mutually Exclusive cf. Selection vs Neutral Evolution Null Hypothesis, Neutral Not Random Parsimony?
G. Bell (2001) Science 293:2413. Proponent of Neutral Model “… patterns can be shown to arise … from neutral community models in which all individuals have identical properties, as the consequence of local dispersal alone.”
Bell (2001) Science 293:2413. Neutral Community Model (NCM) Each Indvidual: Pr[birth] = b, Pr[death] = d K or fewer individuals in community, K fixed Pr[immigrant of species] = m; same for each species N total species in external pool Simulate until equilibrates statistically (not ecologically)
Distribution of Abundance Ecologists Competitive Variation: Geometric Abundances Niche Preemption Large, Biotic Communities: Random, Multiplicative Interactions Produce Lognormal Densities
Bell (2000) Am Nat 155:606 Simulated Neutral Community, Tuned Migration Probability Breeding Birds, British mainland Lognormal
Variation In Range Size Ecologists Log-Series: Habitat availability, Specialist vs generalist requirements, Environmental tolerance, Dispersal ability “Niche breadth”
Bell (2001) Science 293:2413 New World Birds Australian Passerines North American Birds Neutral Community Model with 1600 Spatial Sites
Range-Abundance: Power Law Species with more individuals occupy larger geographical ranges. Ecologists Habitat generalization Cosmopolitan resource Etc.
Bell(2001) Wildfowl Neutral Community Model Varying Block Size, Basis for Presence/Absence in Range Estimation
Conclude? Neutral model, with appropriate choice of birth, death, and migration rates – applied to all species – can produce macroecological patterns observed in nature. Intellectual/scientific precedence (parsimony) over ecological principles?