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Road Map towards eSafety Implementation

Road Map towards eSafety Implementation Results and Recommendations of the Implementation Road Map Working Group Risto Kulmala. Working Group. Car manufacturers (BMW, Renault, Daimler-Chrysler, PSA, Fiat, Ford) Bosch ACEA, ERTICO, FIA ADAC, KGP, DEKRA, VTT European Commission

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Road Map towards eSafety Implementation

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  1. Road Map towards eSafety Implementation Results and Recommendations of the Implementation Road Map Working Group Risto Kulmala

  2. Working Group • Car manufacturers (BMW, Renault, Daimler-Chrysler, PSA, Fiat, Ford) • Bosch • ACEA, ERTICO, FIA • ADAC, KGP, DEKRA, VTT • European Commission • Road authorities (France, Germany) • Transport Ministries (UK, Germany, Czech) • Links to other WGs and CEDR

  3. Objectives • To identify the technical and economical potentials of the industry as well as the topics and time table for infrastructure improvements by the public sector with regard to eSafety systems capable of affecting road fatalities in Europe by 2010 • To develop regularly reviewed road map which focuses technological steps and economic implication models for introduction of intelligent integrated road safety systems as well as the required improvements in road and information infrastructure

  4. Approach • Concentrate on main objective • reduce fatalities by 2010 • Concentrate on most promising systems • Utilise work done in other Working Groups

  5. Assessment of systems • safety problem affected (number of fatalities) • safety impact (%) on cars equipped • other benefits • costs of in-vehicle system • costs for road infrastructure (inv./maint.) • costs for information infrastructure (inv./maint.) • year of technical readiness • year of implementation readiness by vehicle class • other actors involved • user acceptance and willingness to pay • year of implementation by regulation (if likely) • implementation issues • cars equipped in 2010

  6. Priority systems • Autonomous Vehicle Systems: • ESP • Blind spot monitoring • Adaptive head lights • Obstacle and collision warning • Lane departure warning

  7. Priority systems • Infrastructure related Systems • eCall • Extended environmental information (extended FCD) • Real-time Traffic and Travel Information • Dynamic traffic management • Local danger warning • Speed Alert

  8. Implementation Road Maps • Description of safety effects • Literature review • Overviews based on expert assessments and databases (German, Sweden, CARE) • Assessment of current status of deployment

  9. Assessment of current status; example

  10. Implementation Road Maps • Estimation of market penetration; example(penetration for new cars) Very high 80 -100% High 50 - 80% Medium 20 - 50% Low 5 - 20% Very low 0 - 5%

  11. Implementation road maps • For each priority system • System description • Technology availability • Road and information infrastructure need and availability • Organisation requirements • Regulatory requirements / barriers • Business case / Customer awareness and acceptance • Key success factors • Feasible deployment strategies

  12. Implementation Road Map: Electronic Stability Program (ESP) technical availability: given for all vehicles Improve customer busi-ness case by insurance and tax incentives organisational/ regulatory requirements: none increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns infrastructure requirements: none other barriers: cost verify safety benefits via accident data user acceptance: high business case: essential for customers, especially buyers of small cars 2005 2010

  13. Implementation Road Map: ESP • Note: Effect of ESP installed after 2005 • Business as usual: • 2010: ca. 1,000 lives (1,000 M€) • 2020: ca. 2,400 lives(2,400 M€) • eSafety actions (incentives etc.): • 2010: ca. 1,400 lives(1,400 M€) • 2020: ca. 3,500 lives(3,500 M€)

  14. Implementation Road Map: Blind Spot Monitoring technical availability: given (sensors or camera required) Improve customer business case by insurance and tax incentives organisational/regulatory requirements: max. penetration 7%, automatic deactivation, no systems after 2013 (24GHz sensors) Increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns Develop clearer liability policies infrastructure requirements: none Move progressively towards widespread availability other barriers: cost, liability concerns Verify safety benefits user acceptance: tbd (false/missing alarms, HMI) business case: essential for customers, especially buyers of small cars 2005 2010

  15. Implementation Road Map: Lane Departure Warning technical availability: given (camera required) Improve customer business case by insurance and tax incentives organisational/ regulatory requirements: liability issues increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns infrastructure requirements: good lane markings Develop clearer liability policies other barriers: cost, liability concerns Move progressively towards widespread availability user acceptance: tbd (false/missing alarms, HMI) verify safety benefits business case: essential for customers, especially buyers of small cars 2005 2010

  16. Implementation Road Map: Adaptive Head Lights technical availability: given Improve customer business case by insurance and tax incentives organisational/ regulatory requirements: none increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns infrastructure requirements: none Move progressively towards widespread availability other barriers: cost verify safety benefits user acceptance: high business case: essential for customers, especially buyers of small cars 2005 2010

  17. Implementation Road Map: Obstacle and Collision Warning technical availability: given (radar sensors/LIDAR required) Improve customer business case by insurance and tax incentives organisational/ regulatory requirements: max. penetration 7%, automatic deactivation, no systems after 2013 (24GHz sensors) increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns Develop clearer liability policies infrastructure requirements: none Move progressively towards widespread availability other barriers: cost, liability concerns verify safety benefits (accident data?) user acceptance: tbd business case: essential for customers, especially buyers of small cars 2005 2010

  18. Implementation Road Map: Extended Environmental Intormation use data fusion with roadside sensors for starting the deployment technical availability: given organ./ regulatory requirem.: org. for standard./ distribution create a sufficient size of vehicle fleet through incentives infrastructure requirem.: local transmitters/receivers clarify flow of information other barriers: Privacy verify safety benefits via accident data user acceptance depending on cost business case: essential for customers, PPP 2005 2010

  19. Implementation Road Map: RTTI technical availability: Public & commercial Services operational, but differences in Europe Integration/co-operation of Public and commercial data owners full European coverage; increased deployment of Navigation Systems o/r requirements: Roaming agreements for public resp. commercial services needed; framework for PPP New PPP models based on common strategy requirements infrastructure requirements: Data collection on major roads better than on secondary and urban networks Integration into general Onboard Telematics platforms safety benefits: information as contribution to safety and Traffic Management other barriers: DAB standards needed; availability of detailed RDS-TMC location tables in some countries European support by TMC resp. TPEG Forums business case: depends on the deployment of services and service quality Migration Path to DAB/TPEG to enables urban information user acceptance: very high for public services; varying for commercial services 2005 2010

  20. Implementation Road Map: Dynamic Traffic Management (DTM) accelerate deployment by EU support (TEN-T) technical availability: exists; lack of some pictograms organisational/ regulatory requirements: PPP models (monitoring) ; European harmonisation co-ordinate deployment by common strategy of road authorities and operators promote harmonisation by implementing FIVE infra requirements: quality monitoring verify safety benefits via accident data other barriers: cost user acceptance: high business case: benefit/ cost ratio has to be high enough 2005 2010

  21. Implementation Road Map: DTM • Note: motorways/TERN; only DTM impl. after 2005 • Business as usual: • 2010: ca. 60 lives (90 M€) • 2020: ca. 310 lives(460 M€) • eSafety actions (incentives etc.): • 2010: ca. 170 lives(260 M€) • 2020: ca. 540 lives(810 M€)

  22. Implementation Road Map: Local Danger Warnings accelerate deployment by EU support (TEN-T) technical availability: exists; lack of some pictograms organisational/ regulatory requirements: PPP models (monitoring) ; European harmonisation co-ordinate deployment by common strategy of road authorities and operators promote harmonisation by implementing FIVE infra requirements: quality monitoring verify safety benefits via accident data other barriers: cost user acceptance: high business case: benefit/ cost ratio has to be high enough 2005 2010

  23. Implementation Road Map: Speed Alert system and organisations for updating speed limit data technical availability: exists but for how to convey speed limit changes to OBUs full map coverage of static speed limits o/r requirements: organisation to manage speed limit changes; regula-tions on data quality requirements, responsibility, liability, updating, legal relevance of in-vehicle systems increase customer awareness with EuroNCAP and campaigns insurance and tax incentives infrastructure requirements: digital road maps with speed limit information verify safety benefits vs. costs other barriers: open issues European roll-out plan user acceptance: small, expected to increase Autonomous systems for fixed speed limits business case: depends on the solution of technical and other open issues 2005 2010

  24. Recommendations: In-vehicle systems • Enhance customer awareness via European campaigns • Government and insurance incentives • EuroNCAP to incorporate systems mature enough • Regulatory actions only as a last option • Follow the recommendations of the HMI WG • Continue R&D efforts

  25. Recomm: Infrastructure-related systems • MS to ensure deployment of economically feasible systems and services • EC to support the deployment on key parts of the road networks (TERN etc.) • Digital maps with the information required • Increase the willingness to take on the role as “early adopters” • Continue R&D efforts: solutions and effects • eCall and RTTI: WG recommendations • Dynamic traffic management and local danger warnings: European vision and strategy • Speed alert: solve current open issues

  26. Next steps • Finalising the report • taking into account feedback from • Steering Group • Forum Plenary • other interested parties • incorporating recommendations to current system specific implementation road maps (Annex of final report)

  27. Thank-You • Further information: Risto Kulmala, VTT e-mail risto.kulmala@vtt.fi Hans Jürgen Mäurer, DEKRA e-mail hans-juergen.maeurer@dekra.com

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