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WP 10 MONITORING & FORECASTING CENTRE for Mediterranean sea MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – Cork /16-17 April 2013. MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013. Partnership. 6 partners. MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013. Med MFC team. Development. Implementation.
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WP 10MONITORING & FORECASTINGCENTRE for Mediterranean sea MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – Cork /16-17 April 2013 MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Partnership 6 partners MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med MFC team Development Implementation Operations
Med MFC team: development Development MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med MFC team: Implementation Implementation MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med MFC team: Operation Operations MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med MFC PC • Present the WP main objectives for MyOcean2 regarding system and product evolution MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Main Objectives • Scientific objectives are • NEMO model improvement • wave-current interaction sensitivity experiments • nesting into the GLOBAL-MFC operational products • variational assimilation of new data sets (float trajectories, SST and TAPAS) • sensitivity experiments to define the best configuration of the data assimilation scheme for the biogeochemical variables • increase of the horizontal resolution of Med-biogeochemistry (from 1/8° to 1/16°) • Operational objectives are • Upstream (internal with TAC/MFCs and external) management • Interaction with block C (WP15-Product Quality and WP16-CIS) • Simplify the Med-PC with a unique DU for Med-biogeochemistry and Med-currents and a DU for the backup • Technical objectives are • Improvement of the connection with the MyOcean Central Information System
System Evolution: master plan V3 and V4: two major evolution steps MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
System Evolution V2 V3 • NEMO version upgrade (2.3 3.2) • WAM WW-III and from 6hr to 1hr current-wave coupling • operational chain improvement (new linux cluster machine) • improvement of OPATM-BFM (carbonate system) • improvement of Chl assimilation • higher temporal resolution of Med-current rean (monthly & daily) MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
System Evolution V3 V4 • Med-currents: • variational assimilation of SST • assimilation of Argo float trajectories • atmospheric pressure term in NEMO & TAPAS data assimialtion • Med-biogeochemistry: • increase of horizontal resolution (from 1/8 to 1/16) MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Production Evolution V2-V3-V4 • MEDSEA_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHYS_006_001_a • daily 10-day FCST • weekly 15-day assimilative hindcast • aggregated time series from 01 Jan 2012-> ongoing (V3) • MEDSEA_FORECAST_BIO_006_002 • bi-weekly 10-day FCST • aggregated time series ( V3.x or V4) • MEDSEA_REANALYSIS_PHYS_006_004 • 13 years (1999-2011) • montly and daily mean (daily mean V3) • 20 years (V3.x or V4) • MEDSEA_REANALYSIS_BIO_006_005 • 10 years (2001-2010) no DA for BGC • 10 years with DA for BGC (V4) • MEDSEA_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHYS_006_001_b • backup products MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Production Evolution: aggregated time series Every week the Hindcast are substitude by the Analysis MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Medsea PHYS reanalysis production for V3.x /V4 • New Med-REA (1985-2012) Quality is under assessment, results compared to Adani et al 2011 • Evolutions scheduled for the second period: • Complete production June 2013 • Complete assessment October 2012 • significant changes occurred with respect to foreseen activities due to necessary R&D developments that caused a delay in data transfer to OGS for the BIO reanalysis production
Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MFS-BIO 27/03/13 SATELLITE 5-day MODIS avg (25-29/03/13) The system forecasted a bloom in the North West Med and in the North-Ionian sea. mg Chl/m3 MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MFS-BIO 27/03/13 SATELLITE Comparison with satellite data for the same day (Taylor diagram) shows good performance in reproducing patterns (east-west gradient and blooms). Good skill assessment in each sub-basin. 5-day MODIS avg (25-29/03/13) MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast Phosphorus forecast for the 27/03/2013: upwelling processes in nwm and ion vertically transport to the surface that triggers the phytoplankton blooms MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast Med-Biogeochemistry can reproduce other ecosystem variables and indicators. On the right, different Phytoplankton groups biomass are shown. Indicator of biomass of different phytoplankton groups. The development of bio ecological indicators (based on BGC products) is pre-operationally in progress in other EC-FP7 projects (e.g. OPEC). MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
Med-currents: wave derived products MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013
First period summary and next steps • System evolution for V3 OK • Product update for V3 OK • R&D development for V4 ONGOING • Reanalysisi production ONGOING (V3.x or V4) MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting – 17-18 April 2013