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Strategic tools that show results in the CERO-process. Markus Robèrt, PhD Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm www.cero.nu. A few dilemmas in the business of company travel planning…. No no, it’s faschinating. …do continue!. The ”split-personality” at companies.
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Strategic tools that show results in the CERO-process Markus Robèrt, PhD Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm www.cero.nu
No no, it’s faschinating... …do continue!
CERO is based on backcasting Mapping Travel policies Target
Five CERO-organizations have conducted follow-ups 2012-2014 all have improved… 4-18% CO2-reduction
Communication tools: Point out the winners…
Decision making tools:Make it easy but get rid of the fuzzyness…
Problem with climate targets: % - targets hard to follow-up in policy terms... %CO2
CERO-transformation of the backcasting target Target scenario %CO2
Modules of tailor made 1% CO2-reductions(commute trips) • 13 car commuters switch to public transport • Train tickets to 4 commuters with longest distance • Encourage 31 car commuters to renewable fuel cars • Allow telecommuting at least once a month • Offer eco-driving to at least 115 car commuters • Encourage cycling to 36 car commuters with distance 0,5-6km
Modules of tailor made 1% CO2-reductions(business trips) • Replace 11% of business trips by car to public transport Annualcostreduction220 000 SEK • Replace 10% of business trips by car to virtual meetings Annual cost reduction 350 000 SEK • Replace17% ofprivate vehicletrips withcarsharingfleet Annualcostincrease 140 000 SEK • Use renewable fuels for all company cars Annual cost reduction unchanged • Replace 23% of domestic aviation to train Annual cost reduction85.000 SEK • Replace 2% ofaviation trips abroadtovirtual meetings Annualcostreduction 80.000 SEK
Target scenario at a company of ~500 employees10% CO2-reductions >50 000 EUR/year
Turning theory into practice in CERO-workshops CO2 1. Principal level – Reach consensus on target Economy Employee acceptance 2. Scenario level - Design target scenario 3. Action level – Selection of measures
CERO-Challenge a’la wordfeud… • Measure travel patterns and get feedback • Individual target setting according to CERO-scenarios • Individual and group challenges a’la wordfeud
IT-tools for implementing MM-strategies in organizationsHand out the toolbox, not the solutions!
…by applying the CERO-database…Travel data from >150 000 observations
…to simulate realistic travel volumes • Estimate travel time and distance from a probability distribution in the CERO-database - Geographiclocation - Typeoforganization • Utilize a population density map • Estimate a transport choice model by (again) applying the CERO database
Dialoguetools for stakeholderswith different perspectivesAvoidcreatingwatertightbulkheads…