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Meeting the Demand for Cross-Country Infrastructure Databases. The World Bank INFRASTRUCTURE VICE PRESIDENCY Conference on Improving Statistics for Measuring Development Outcomes; June 4-5 2003. Overview. Context The Monitoring Needs Infrastructure and the MDGs Emerging Policy Issues
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Meeting the Demand for Cross-Country Infrastructure Databases The World Bank INFRASTRUCTURE VICE PRESIDENCY Conference on Improving Statistics for Measuring Development Outcomes; June 4-5 2003
Overview • Context • The Monitoring Needs • Infrastructure and the MDGs • Emerging Policy Issues • The Infrastructure Database • Current Status • Next Steps • Food for Thoughts
Context • The return of infrastructure on the development agenda • … and perception that 50 years without records is enough… • Demand for more accountability of the sector from the Board, Countries, Donors and Watchdogs
Context Response: “Policy” component of the Infrastructure Action Plan • Commitment to improve quantitative and hence measurable knowledge of the sector • Cross country and cross-sectoral standardization of information on infrastructure as the first step towards better results and accountability • Commitment to standardized policy diagnostics • Commitment to investment needs assessments (to be financed by either public or private)
The Monitoring Needs 1.Need for MLT & BLT to improve internal management • Facilitates decision-making • Clarifies accountability (who is responsible for what?) 2.Need to have improved global monitoring tool • Initially driven by concern for MDGs • ..but eventually will allow linkages between project monitoring, sector/country outcomes, and global targets 3. General need to better monitor policy work in sector • Requires cross country databases on infrastructure along multiple dimensions • Will also allow sharper analytical work=>data needs
Infrastructure and the MDGs: Explicit Goals, Targets and Indicators • Goal 7: Ensure Environmental Sustainability • Target 9: Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies • Infrastructure Indicator: GDP per unit of energy use (as proxy of energy efficiency) • Target 10: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water • Infrastructure Indicator: Proportion of population with sustainable access to an improved water source • Target 11: By 2020, to have achieve a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers • Infrastructure Indicator: Proportion of people with access to improved sanitation • Infrastructure Indicator: Proportion of People with access to secure tenure • Goal 18: Develop a Global Partnership for Development • Target 18: In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications • Infrastructure Indicator: Telephone lines per 1000 people • Infrastructure Indicator: Personal computer per 1000 people
Infrastructure and the MDGs: …Can’t ForgetIndirect Effects Towards Other Development Goals Infrastructure contributes to determine: • Health • Education • Growth • Poverty reduction • …and Income distribution
E.g. transport matters to the education MDG: In Peru, 56% of children w/in 1 hour travel time to school attend, 42% w/in 1-2 hours, 29% w/in 2-4 hours, 25% above 4 hours) Existence of a passable road increases enrollment 4% to 9% (Africa) and girls’ attendance more than doubles with the presence of a paved road in the community (Morocco.) Lead exposure from gasoline results in inner city kids suffering from as much as a 4 point IQ loss. Infrastructure and the MDGs: Indirect Effects Towards Other Development Goals
Infrastructure and the MDGs: Explicit Targets for WSS Access: the numbers (or their lack) % of countries “on track” to reach MDGs MDG & WSSD targets: “Reducing by 1/2 the proportion of population without sustainable access to safe drinking water & sanitation” • Reality check: • Less than 1 in 5 countries on track for WSS • Less than 1 in 10 low income countries on track • Proxy indicators – proximity to “hardware”
Emerging Policy Issues: Monitoring Access is NOT ENOUGH • Access should not be the only policy area to monitor!!! We also need to mainstream other policy areas in the sector: • Affordability • Quality • Economic efficiency • Financial autonomy of providers • Fiscal dependence of the sector • Institutional development/governance/policy • We need specific indicators to measure these policy areas
The Cross-Country Infrastructure Database:Examples of Indicators within each Policy Dimension
The Cross-Country Infrastructure Database:Examples of Indicators within each Policy Dimension
Current Status: Plenty of Anecdotes, Little systematic Data Collection Only data available is on access & some aspects of quality for utilities and some scarce statistics on transport • Quality of data is not equal across sectors (ICT is exception) • Little known on affordability, efficiency, financial viability, fiscal costs or governance of the infrastructure services Why? =>…usual public good problem….all want it, no-one wants to pay for it! • No pressure from interested private parties (external debt data) • No major multinational political commitment (HIV, education,…) • Evidenced in little concern or interest for development of local capacity to generate policy relevant data • Residual financing claims by any single institution is unrealistic
Next Steps • Come up with full diagnostics of data sources, availability, reliability, and policy relevance (per-sector)…see ANNEX for a first cut • Identify comparative advantages among institutions to collect the much needed data • Internal: INF, Sector Anchors, DEC, PREM, Global Programs, Regions • External: IEA, WHO-JMP, USAID, UN-Habitat, Platts UDI,… • Coordinate the “joint-production” effort • Follow up with statistical Capacity Building in Client-Countries
Food for Thoughts …a possible allocation of responsibility across the partners interested in improving the accountability of the sector …to launch the discussion
Food for ThoughtsInstitutional Comparatives Advantages by Policy Dimension
Food for ThoughtsInstitutional Comparatives Advantages by Policy Dimension
Food for Thoughts …to launch the discussion on : Who does it? How is it done (add-on vs. new efforts)? How frequently (every 2-5 years)? And … Who pays for it?
The Infrastructure DatabaseWater and Sanitation at a Glance DRAFT
The Infrastructure DatabaseWater and Sanitation at a Glance DRAFT