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Meeting Time to Market for First SAS Product. ETM 5121 Project Proposal Harold Teague Summer 2003. Proposal Presentation Logistics. Conference call To be held Monday, July 21, 2003, 5:40 – 6:10 PM CDT Toll free – 866-828-0531 participant code 5773958 Questions – contact Harold Teague @
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Meeting Time to Marketfor First SAS Product ETM 5121 Project Proposal Harold TeagueSummer 2003
Proposal Presentation Logistics • Conference call • To be held Monday, July 21, 2003, 5:40 – 6:10 PM CDT • Toll free – 866-828-0531 participant code 5773958 • Questions – contact Harold Teague @ • 405-823-1609 anytime • Haroldrt3@sbcglobal.net • Harold.teague@seagate.com
Proposal Presentation Logistics • Distribution • Dr. Paul Rossler - prossle@okstate.edu • Mr. William Urdaneta - william.urdaneta@bakeroiltools.com • Package contents • Powerpoint – hteague proposal.ppt • Word – hteague proposal.doc • Video presentation • distribution to be coordinated with William H Elliott @ bill.elliott@okstate.edu • On or before July 18, 2003
INTERPT (0:1) ETM(0:19) SPTS(0:1) JTAG(0:6) TEST(0:3) uA DRIVERS uA DRIVE LOW_VCC LED (discrete) , DMUX CS (0:1) MTR_PWM MOTOR SPINDLE GPIO(0:28) DRIVE DRIVERS Motor Serial Port MOTOR DEN, CLK, DATA SERVO m AUXCNV(INT) VM, A, D/A, AUXCLK(PLLS) A/D, ramp VCM DATA (0:15) ADDR/DATA (0:15) 256Kx16 AUXDTA(COAST) 1.2, 3.3,-5V sense VCM DRIVE FLASH REG FET ADDR (1:20) ADDR (1:20) 3.3 Volt CS/WR/RD ALE/CS/WR/RD Vref PREAMP SERIAL PORT (0:2) Processors PREAMP DATA (0:15) CS/WR/RD WUS 5V TTL X1 PREAMP CONTROL (R/W, /RST, FAST) 20 MHz GPIO(0:3) X2 Servo SVO SERIAL PORT(0:2) 2Mx32 READY SERVO_AD(0:3)LVDIFF SDRAM DSC_IRQ+ Embedded uP_RST 3.3V SERVO SGATE Kea SYSRES DEMOD RefClk(30MHz) 20 MHz 1.8 Volt Core DATA(0:31) ABORT 3.3 Volt I/O R/W SERIAL PORT ADDRESS(0:11) R/W INDEX FC 2 RAS/CAS/CLK/CKE/WE/DQM/CS REFSGATE CHANNEL ASKCMP 1800 Mb/s ASKREQ DWREN+ ANALOG DATA 1.2V Core WGATE 2.5V I/O RGATE 3.3V Analog FC I/0 BUS NRZ (0:7,P), RREFCLK, WCLK Disk Drive Electronics Architecture Interface
1.0. Introduction • New disk drive new interfaces are introduced based on system needs • Consist of two main pieces – interface LSI and companion firmware • Problems surrounding new interface development • Interface Maturity • No existing industry infrastructure • Specification ambiguities • Market leaders establish precedent & gain market share • LSI Development • New technology is more complex • LSI schedules comprise a greater portion of the overall product • LSI problems add more risk to product schedules • Evolutionary vs. a revolutionary design approach • Higher development costs have with each generation • Longer fab cycle times
1.0. Introduction (cont.) • Problems surrounding new interface development (cont.) • Firmware compatibility and maturity • No existing design to leverage • Developed in parallel with LSI • No way to verify “proper” operation ahead of hardware • Market timing & transition - three concerns • Technical requirements are likely to change • Customers requirement tied to their development activities • Transition rate will significantly impact the volumes and revenues
ANSI T10 Original Promoters Original Promoters + Contributors (25) Q301 Q401 Q102 Q202 Q302 Q402 Q103 Q203 Rev. 16 SAS Spec T10 Letter Ballot Public Review Rev. 1 for T10 Letter Ballot Official ANSI Spec SAS Introduction Timing
Interface Transition Comparisons • U320 • Transition influenced by: • Minimal hardware changes • Usable in legacy modes – e.g. U160 • Universal use across enterprise market 60% 50% • Customer 1 SAS ramp plan • Strategy to transition new platforms within 18 months • 4 platforms will launch with SAS • Currently Working 3-way efforts to mitigate issues 40% 30% 20% • Industry SAS • Transition influenced by: • Targeted at majority of enterprise segment • OEM driven effort – HP’s focus, Dell, IBM plan to follow, Intel strongly supports • Infrastructure activity/plans:High priority at Maxtor, Hitachi, Fujitsu, Adaptec, LSI etc. etc. 10% 0% 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th U320 C1-SAS SAS SATA • SATA • Transition influenced by: • Considerable part of PS market segment dominated by cost focus – not available to SATA until cost parity achieved • Constrained by availability of integrated SATA port on motherboard. • Fibre Channel • Not comparable to SAS because: • Initially driven by only one major OEM for multiple generations • Used only at high-end of market– small volumes • 2Gb transition hampered by slow infrastructure development
2.0. Problem Statement • A new product is planned incorporating the SAS interface, but is now at risk due to development issues • Original LSI strategy – pull in the next generation LSI architecture • Maturity concerns mitigated by a leading sister chip • Sister part schedule has now slipped to be of no use • 3 to 5 $1M each turns anticipated • If the original intent of checking out the sister part first is maintained, a significant schedule push is incurred. Such a schedule slip has significant ramifications for product revenues, market share, and industry leadership • Other options exist for SAS LSI, but cost, performance and schedule tradeoffs must be evaluated – apparently no good solution • Original Firmware strategy - use new platform firmware w/SAS interface • No check out on target hardware • Maturity based on testing of a hybrid firmware operating on current generation fiber channel LSI • Current product firmware set does not incorporate the SAS; considerd difficult to modify and maintain, assessment is that this firmware could be modified to support SAS, but reliability would be a concern
2.0. Problem Statement (cont.) • A new product is planned incorporating the SAS interface, but is now at risk due to development issues (cont) • Market Timing and Demand Uncertainty • A key customer has moved their requirement up by several months • G2 indicates competition may have improved their schedule Problem to be resolved – how to meet the market demands • Customers’ schedule • SAS functionality, performance, and cost • Accommodate issues associated with new interface • Achieve a market leadership position
Original 2Q Shift Gross Profit Comparison $14,000 SAS Volume Breakdown 35 $12,000 30 25 Original 20 $10,000 15 10 5 - $8,000 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 FQ1'05 FQ1'06 $6,000 Original Plan $4,000 2Q Slip $2,000 $0 Q4FY04 Q1FY05 Q2FY05 Q3FY05 Q4FY05 Q1FY06 Q2FY06 Q3FY06 Q4FY06 Total
3.0. Measures of the Problem • Product is introduced according to the new marketing requirements to maximize revenue & profit opportunity. • Establish market leadership – first to market. • Technology is mature at product introduction as measured by standard qualification procedures. • Increased technology leverage based on existing or proven platforms is an early indicator. • Plan has inherent flexibility for accommodating unexpected changes. • Development costs are minimized relative to the current path on this and other programs. • Options are developed to only incur incremental costs if market development warrants rather than plan for the optimistic technology adoption and market transition.
4.0. Project Objective • Develop a strategy for delivering a SAS interface product that: • Meets customer schedules • Is viable – achievable, acceptable risk • Is technically mature • Minimizes costs • Provides maximum design flexibility • Leverages existing development • Minimizes additional development resources.
5.0. Specific Deliverables If the Project objectives are to be realized, then the following are required: • An LSI development and integration strategy. • A firmware development and integration strategy. • Inherent flexibility to accommodate late interface standard changes or customer issues and incompatibilities as measured by time and cost to make changes. • Cost tradeoff analysis for various options. • Risk tradeoff analysis for various options. • Detailed product plan & recommendation.
6.0. Alternatives Considered • No change to current plan. Update plan to account for schedule slips and continue as usual. • Accept potential market loss and revenue impact. - or - • Discount marketing and customer feedback based on transition histories. • Replace the existing SAS strategy and plan with a completely new plan and discard the current efforts • Develop a hybrid SAS strategy and plan that adjusts the existing plan to leverage its deliverables in the future, but adds a parallel strategy and plan that better meets the company’s and customers’ near term requirements.
7.0. Project Approach & Criteria • The project will be executed as follows: • Conduct kick off meeting • Assign options and alternatives for feasibility analysis. • 3. Team pulls together options and develops project relationships, dependencies, and timing. • 4. Team analyzes risks and costs of various alternatives, including market impact and flexibility. Alternatives are ranked according to risk, cost, flexibility and market impact. • 5. Team develops a recommendation. • 6. Submit plan for review to all of the stakeholders, including vendors. • 7. Review plan with executive team for approval. • 8. Initiate execution under Advanced Technology Implementation program manager for tracking and management. • 9. Coordinate schedule and plan with key customers and other partners.
9.0. Planned Use of MSETM materials • ETM 5110 - Managing Virtual Project Teams: to bring together the multi-site, cross-functional team to support the various activities necessary to complete the project. • ETM 5110 – Leadership Strategies: techniques and approaches for developing momentum for the product and associated strategies. • ETM 5241 – Strategic Project Management: project management skills • ETM 5251 - Problem Solving and Decision Making: to identify the problems and potential problems, possibilities, and choose a solution path. • ETM 5291 - Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: to identify areas that have been overlooked from a product design perspective, a product and technology introduction perspective, and an execution perspective. • IEM 5010 – Leading and Managing Technology Implementation: technology management and assessment.
9.0. Planned Use of MSETM materials • IEM 5503 – Finance and Advanced Capital Analysis: financial tradeoffs for various project options. • IEM5823 – Performance Management and Improvement: methods and strategies to improve project execution. • MGMT 5553 – Management of Technology and Innovation: development of innovative solutions and approaches. • MKTG 5133 – Marketing Management: interfacing with key customers and vendors to develop a successful technology/product introduction strategy.