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Explore Germany's reaction after Fukushima, gradual phase-out of nuclear power, energy costs, emissions, and future outlook towards a renewable energy economy by 2050.
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Germany’s Green Energy Transition Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011
Part 1Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by… 1. Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics Foto: Anti-Atom-Treck 2010
German reaction after Fukushima driven by • Chernobyl 1986 • new risk assessment • 17 old NPP, 80 Million • Germany ½ the size • of Texas
Power Generation in Germany (2010) Source: AG Energiebilanzen
Nuclear Phase-Out by 2022… Before Fukushima: 17 NPP operating up to 2032 providing 22% of power ~20 GW installed capacity After Fukushima: Immediate shutdown of 8NPP gradual phase-out by 2022 of remaining 9 NPP
Part 3So what about……energy costs?…power shortages & imports?… CO2 emissions?
Expensive Renewable Energy? No, but modest price tag for ratepayers Source: MdB Hans-Josef Fell
Nuclear is costly: (Subsidy Billions of Euros since 1970) Hard Coal Lignite Nuclear Power Renewables Source: Green Budget Germany
Increasing emissions?Not with carbon cap on power sector Mio t CO2 Source: BMU
GHG Emissions Increasing emissions?Not with long-term climate targets Source: BMU
Part 4Outlook 2020 – 2050On the Way to a Renewable Energy Economy
Key Climate and Energy Policies Ecological tax reform (1999-2003) Renewable Energy Act (2000) Nuclear Phase Out (2001-2022) Cap and trade (2005) Integrated Climate and Energy Program (2007) Renewable Energy Action Plan (2010) Energy concept 2050 (2010)
Energy concept 2050: The road to the renewable era Source:BMU
Thank you for your attention! Arne Jungjohann Heinrich Boell Foundation, Washington DC Arne.Jungjohann@us.boell.org