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SA’s crime profile & CRIME HUB N ovember 2011 CAMPROSA Conference: Sinfonia Johan B urger

SA’s crime profile & CRIME HUB N ovember 2011 CAMPROSA Conference: Sinfonia Johan B urger C rime & Justice P rogramme INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES. Presentation Outline. Perceptions of credibility (police crime stats) Some business indicators of crime trends

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SA’s crime profile & CRIME HUB N ovember 2011 CAMPROSA Conference: Sinfonia Johan B urger

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  1. SA’s crime profile & CRIME HUB November 2011 CAMPROSA Conference: Sinfonia Johan Burger Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES

  2. Presentation Outline • Perceptions of credibility (police crime stats) • Some business indicators of crime trends • Policing operations & arrests • SA’s crime profile: • Overall national trends • Curious provincial trends • Worrying new trend (kidnapping) • Concluding remarks

  3. SAPS and the crime stats …

  4. Credibility of police crime statistics ?

  5. International Business Report: Victim survey in South Africa (2007 – 2011) %

  6. Retail Crimes (Armed Robberies & Burglaries): 2009 & 2010 Consumer Goods Risk Initiative (CGRI)

  7. South African Insurance Association (SAIA) (Claims for 2010/11 compared to 2010/09)

  8. SAPS: 20 most serious crimes recorded 1994/95 – 2010/11

  9. Murder & attempted murder trend 1994/95 – 2010/11 (rates per 100 000)

  10. Relationships & motives relating to murder Relationships Att murder - 60% Rape - 75% Assault - 90% Motives/Conditions

  11. Aggravated robbery trend 1994/95 – 2010/11 (rates per 100 000)

  12. Trio crimes 2002/03 – 2010/11

  13. Bank & Cash-In-Transit robberies Incidents from 1996/97 – 2010/11

  14. ATM attacks/bombings 2004/05 – 2010/11 +61,5%

  15. Scene at an ATM bombing

  16. Residential & non-residential burglary (Rates per 100 000)

  17. Commercial crime & shoplifting

  18. Comparing the trends Car Hijackings Car Hijackings Police numbers Police numbers House Robberies Business Robberies 2003/04 – 2009/10 2003/04 -2010/11 2003/04 – 2010/11 Att Murder 2003/04 – 2010/11 (+49,2%) Att Murder (+44%) Murder Murder 1994/95 – 2009/10 1994/95 – 2010/11 Police budget (SA Rand in billions) Assault GBH Assault Common 1994/95 – 2010/11 2003/04 – 2010/11 1994/95 – 2009/10 (+131,7%)

  19. Policing operations & arrests

  20. Detection & conviction rates (selected crimes)

  21. Average national & provincial crime ratios Overall crime ratios (29 crimes) Crimes detected by police action (3 crimes) • Illegal possession of firearms • Drug related crimes • Driving under the influence 343%

  22. National & provincial ratios: murder 2003/04 – 2010/11

  23. National & provincial ratios: attempted murder 2003/04 – 2010/11 26%

  24. National and provincial trends (Actual figures) House robbery Business robbery

  25. National & Prov crimes: Kidnapping ‘The unlawful intentional deprivation of a person of his freedom of movement or, if such a person is a child, the unlawful intentional deprivation of a parent of control over the child’ (Cf ‘abduction’) 55%

  26. The Crime and Justice Hub (Institute for Security Studies) • The Home Page of the Hub • Part of the front page – some broad categories of topics covered • For the maps, we advise to use Mozilla Firefox or Google Chrome search engines, but possible with Explorer 9 (just a bit more patience required!)

  27. The Crime and Justice Hub (Contd.) (Institute for Security Studies)

  28. The Crime and Justice Hub (Contd.) (Institute for Security Studies) This map shows the 2009/2010 commercial crime statistics per police precinct irrespective of population figures in a police station area

  29. The Crime and Justice Hub (Contd.) (Institute for Security Studies) This map shows the 2009/2010 commercial crime statistics per police precinct per capita

  30. The Crime and Justice Hub (Contd.) (Institute for Security Studies) For Sandton, there is an increase in commercial crime as per the graph generated on the hub

  31. THANK YOU / DANKIE JOHAN BURGER Tel 012 346 9500 jburger@issafrica.org www.issafrica.org

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