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Correcting for measurement error in nutritional epidemiology. Ruth Keogh MRC Biostatistics Unit MRC Centre for Nutritional Epidemiology in Cancer Prevention and Survival IPH Showcase, 14 February 2011. What is the association between long term or usual dietary intake and disease risk?.
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Correcting for measurement error in nutritional epidemiology Ruth Keogh MRC Biostatistics Unit MRC Centre for Nutritional Epidemiology in Cancer Prevention and Survival IPH Showcase, 14 February 2011
What is the association between long term or usual dietary intake and disease risk? Measuring dietary intake • Food frequency questionnaires (FFQ) • Diet diaries/24 hour recalls • Biomarkers There is no gold standard measurement UK dietary cohort consortium • EPIC-Norfolk + 5 other cohorts • Case-control studies nested within cohorts • 4-7 day diaries, FFQs • Colorectal cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer
Choice of instrument FFQs • Designed to measure long term intake • Inexpensive used for large populations • Subject to substantial measurement error Diet diaries • Measure actual intake • Very expensive to process • More highly correlated with objective biomarkers of intake • Still subject to error UK dietary cohort consortium • One of only a small number of studies using diaries/24 hr recalls as the main instrument • Interested in correcting for error in dietary diary measurements
Effects of measurement error • Biased associations – usually attenuated • Loss of power to detect associations • Can hide nonlinear association shapes
Effects of measurement error • Biased associations – usually attenuated • Loss of power to detect associations • Can hide nonlinear association shapes
Effects of measurement error • Biased associations – usually attenuated • Loss of power to detect associations • Can hide nonlinear association shapes
Correcting for measurement error True diet-disease association Estimating when we can’t observe Ti Linear regression calibration model
Fitting the model We need to understand the structure of the error in diet diary measurements Ri Random error in diary measurements: Suppose we have another diary measurement for some people In fact we can show that
Fibre intake and colorectal cancer Dahm CC, Keogh RH et al. Dietary Fiber and Colorectal Cancer Risk: A Nested Case–Control Study Using Food Diaries. JNCI 2010
However… We do not believe that diet diaries are subject only to random error Biomarker studies suggest • error in diaries depends on true intake • errors in replicate diaries are not independent We cannot estimate the extra parameters using repeat measurements • to correct for error we need unbiased measurements, e.g. biomarker • biomarkers not available for most nutrients Different assumptions about the type of error in Ri can give very different corrected estimates
Challenges • Measurement error can have severe effects on observed diet-disease associations • What we assume about the form of the error can have strong effects on ‘corrected’ estimated associations • Biomarkers can help us to understand the structure of the measurement error Also… • We often want to adjust for other dietary variables, such as total energy intake • All dietary variables in the model are measured with error…