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Asset Management Portfolio Guru Post TheStreet.com Columnist. Portfolio Guru, LLC. The Basic Portfolio Guru Process. The Basic Portfolio Guru Process. Active Asset Management. Portfolio Construction. 3 Basic Account Structures. The “Magic” of Compounding.
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Asset Management Portfolio Guru Post TheStreet.com Columnist
Portfolio Guru, LLC Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
The Basic Portfolio Guru Process Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
The Basic Portfolio Guru Process Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Active Asset Management Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Portfolio Construction Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
3 Basic Account Structures Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
The “Magic” of Compounding Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
The Classic Example:50 Years of Coca-Cola Stock Returns; Reinvestment vs. Non-Reinvestment Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Strong Model Portfolio Performance:$100,000 Invested on October 4, 2011 = $132,545 Today Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
The Benefits of ACTIVE Management:2013 Has Been a Challenging Year for Fixed-Income Managers; Portfolio Reallocation Has Improved Model Portfolio Results Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
It Works in “Real Life”Changes to Guru Client 1’s Account Have Produced Instant Benefits Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Agnostic As to Industry: Follow The Yield Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Portfolio Guru, LLC Invests in Individual Companies:No ETFs, Mutual Funds, etc. Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Love the Company; How Do We Invest In It? Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Case Study: Miller Energy Resources • Bought Cook Inlet Drilling Assets out of Bankruptcy in 2009 • Very Little Production Entering 2013; “Sidetracking” Old Wells • High Debt Levels • Large Short Interest Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Case Study: Miller Energy Resources • Finding a Catalyst is Always Key to Generating a Winning Position • Miller’s Catalyst: An Incredibly Productive Well • June 24, 2013: Miller Announces That Well RU-2A Is Gushing Oil… • IP rate of >1,200 BB/D; Greater Than Miller’s Prior Total Company-wide Production Rate • …Much More to Come • Potential for 10 More Wells Drilled by April 2014 • Production • April 2013 1,000 BB/D • August 2013 3,400 BB/D • Estimate December 2013 4,000 BB/D • Estimate April 2014 6,000 BB/D, • Proved reserves • April 2013 1.8MM • April 2014 POTENTIAL >12MM Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Case Study: Miller Energy Resources • Key to Profitable Investing: Acting Rapidly on Ideas • Actual J. Collins Quote: “Whoa, This Is Going to Go Bananas!” • 3 - Step Process • Place Trades for Clients • Send E-Mail to PGPSubscribers • Share Insights on Miller in Real Money Column • Bought MILL in July/August @ $5-$6.60 per share/wrote calls ($10 strike; Feb 2014) • 10/4/13: MILL $8.39 JimCollins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Case Study: Miller Energy Resources • Key to the Process: Identifying Undervalued Securities • High Yields Can be an Indicator of Buying Opportunity • “Found” Miller Energy via the preferred issue (MILL-C) • MILL-C: $25 Par; 10.75%; convert to MILL @ $10/share • Bought MILL-C in April/May @ $22.00 To Yield ~14% • 10/4/13: MILL-C $26.86 Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Market Overview • Stock Market: Bearish • Valuation is a Concern: • S&P 500 YTD: Consensus 2013 EPS DOWN 4.8%, Price UP 15.6% • P/E Multiple ABOVE Historic Averages; 2014 EPS Estimates TOO HIGH • Margins at Cycle-High; Revenue Growth Anemic • Quantitative Easing: the Fed is Driving The Bus • What Happens When They Taper/Exit…and UNWIND??? • Myriad Governmental Externalities • Uncertainty About Affordable Care Act Restraining Hiring/Wage Growth • “D.C. Follies” Are a Huge Risk Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Market Overview • US Treasury Market: Neutral • Short Rates: Effectively 0% until 2015 • Cash is Trash • If You Have $ in Savings/CDs…You Need to ACT • Long Rates: Likely to Rise, Albeit Gradually • Quantitative Easing: $3.5 TRILLION and Counting • No One Knows How To Unwind; It’s Never Been Done Before • “D.C. Follies” Always a Risk Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Market Overview • Corporate Fixed-Income: Selectively Bullish • Special Situations • High Yield – Generally 8% or Above • Call-Protected • Discount to Face Value – Potential Capital Gain • Mezzanine Still Attractive • Equity Valuations Rich and H-Y Bonds Yields Near Historic Lows • Currently Buying/Reinvesting into Preferreds/Convertible Preferreds for PG, LLC Clients Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Who Is This Man Who Calls Himself Guru? • 21 Years of Investment Experience • Completed All Requirements for CFA Charter • Investment Bank Equity Analyst,1992 - 2002 • Lehman Brothers (NY): Auto Parts • Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (NY/London): Autos/Auto Parts • UBS (London): Autos/Auto Parts/Tyres • Private Investor, 2002 - Present • Personal Portfolio Composed Primarily of Income Securities • Options Trading; Front-Month, Out-of-the-Money a Specialty • Founded Portfolio Guru, LLC in 2011 to: • Publish a Newsletter (The Portfolio Guru Post) about Income Investing • Manage Money for Individuals • Columnist for Real Money at TheStreet.com since May 2013 Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com
Where To Find Jim Collins’ Work • The Portfolio Guru Post • Bi-Weekly Newsletter (subscription) • The Gospel of Income Investing • Company-Specific Analysis • Market Commentary • Model Portfolio Management • www.theportfolioguru.com Jim’s Column is Featured Three Times a Week at Real Money, the premium portal of TheStreet.com http://realmoney.thestreet.com/authors/jim-collins Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com