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Presentation Overview Research and Policy Links. What we are telling Ministers about an ageing society Research role: adherence to the UK Code and the structures we work within Successes and limitations. Equality and Social Need Research Branch Informing the development of Strategies:.
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Presentation OverviewResearch and Policy Links What we are telling Ministers about an ageing society Research role: adherence to the UK Code and the structures we work within Successes and limitations
Equality and Social Need Research Branch Informing the development of Strategies: • Anti-poverty (LTO) • Gender • Children and Young People • PSI Groups on disability and lone parents • Equality Statistics – LFS and the 9 equality categories • Annual research programme (ESNSG)
Older People • Production of statistical compendium to inform ‘Ageing in an Inclusive Society’ – updated 2009 • Barriers to essential services • ESRC fellowship – older people in rural areas (qualitative project with some demographic trend information included) • Compendium not agreed by Executive • What have we presented to Ministers?
The % increase of older population in developing countries is much higher than that in developed countries % increase in elderly population between 1990 and 2025 Indonesia Colombia Kenya Thailand Mexico Zimbabwe Brazil India China US Germany France UK Uruguay Sweden
Total dependency ratios for UK 66% increase in old-age dependency ratios between 2005 and 2050
Total dependency ratios for Japan 150% increase in old-age dependency ratios between 2005 and 2050
Research and Information Strategy • Agreement by the Executive and foreword signed by FM and dFM • Took over a year to agree • Publication rights and report quality issues • Annual report to Executive covering: • Policy relevance, costs, impact on policy
Successes • Strategy documents underpinned by evidence : Poverty, Gender, Childcare • FMdFM/Executive endorsement of research strategy and annual report on value and impact • Much activity within the sector (CAP, OP Advocate, ASP, CARDI, Age Concern Help the Aged) • Better understanding among SpAds of the evidence • Assembly Committee familiarity with and use of our data • UK Statistics Authority – ONS not a ministerial department, NI Executive agreed the structures
Limitations • Departments do not always fully exploit the policy relevance of their data – departmental business needs take precedence – new training being developed • Universities do not always fully exploit the policy relevance of government data – academic output influenced by the research assessment exercise • Sir Gus O’Donnell – statisticians should be ‘boring’, stats without context are boring • Policy officials focus on strategy and professionals tend to focus on measurement • People use evidence selectively – evidence does not always change opinions
Rights based and budget analysis approaches need to be supplemented with research illustrating economic interdependence • Children who fail at school need more support if GVA is to improve • GVA needs to improve to support an ageing population therefore: • Child well being is related to pensioner poverty • The new childcare strategy has implications for (particularly female) pensioner poverty