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I Dewa Gede A. Junnaedhi. Weather and Climate Prediction Laboratory Bandung Institute of Technology. WCPL Members. Dr. Tri Wahyu Hadi (Head) Nurjanna Joko T. (now at Kyoto Univ.) I D. G. A. Junnaedhi Noersoemadi (Master student at ITB) M. Ridho S. (will begin master study at ITB)
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I Dewa Gede A. Junnaedhi Weather and Climate Prediction Laboratory Bandung Institute of Technology
WCPL Members • Dr. Tri Wahyu Hadi (Head) • Nurjanna Joko T. (now at Kyoto Univ.) • I D. G. A. Junnaedhi • Noersoemadi (Master student at ITB) • M. Ridho S. (will begin master study at ITB) • 7 undergraduate students (incl. Gilang P.)
Developed NWP system in ITB (Figure by JMA) 27km x 27 km 9 km x 9 km Global model output : NCEP-GFS : 1° x 1°, 6 hour interval, 24 pressure levels, up to 48-hour prediction Downscaled using mesoscale models (MM5, WRF and NHM) : 27 km x 27 km (domain 1), 9 km x 9 km (domain 2), 3 hour interval, 31 vertical level, 48-hour prediction
Nimbus server : • (downloading data and webserver) • Dual Opteron @ 1.4 GHz • 2 GB memory • Nearly 2.5 TB storage • Typhoon cluster : • (for running model) • 6 nodes Intel Quad Core @ 2.4 GHz • 4 GB memory each • Nearly 1.5 TB storage
Website screenshots MM5 Forecast NHM Forecast WRF Forecast
Wind driven wave forecast using MM5 output and Wavewatch III model Weather on GoogleMap for few city over Indonesia
4-MODEL INTERCOMPARISON (1) CCAM (Figure by JMA) Data initial Global model output : NCEP-GFS : 1° x 1°, 6 hour interval, 24 pressure levels, case study of Feb. 2008, initial at 1200 UTC, up to 48-hour prediction donwscale 27km x 27 km Initial &boundarycondition Donwscale (MM5, WRF, and NHM) 9 km x 9 km
MODEL INTERCOMPARISON (2) AWS observations B C A
MODEL INTERCOMPARISON (3) Model Set-up
CURRENT RESULTS (1) Up to 24-hour prediction, 3-hourly interval, Feb. 2009 D1 D2 D1 D2
CURRENT RESULTS (2) D1 D2 D1 D2
CURRENT RESULTS (3) D1 D2
CURRENT RESULTS (4) D1 D2
CURRENT RESULTS (6) Root Mean Squared Vector Error day time Sumedang Bandung phase different Lampung Timur Lampung Selatan CCAM has different phase error for the first 24-hour prediction
CURRENT RESULTS (8) Rainfall Prediction First 24-hour Second 24-hour