1 / 22

Real time Extended Range Forecast (India Meteorological Department)

Real time Extended Range Forecast (India Meteorological Department). Based on 03 July 2019 (Valid for 05 July – 01 August 2019). Wind, Tmax, Tmin and Rainfall evolution. Weekly rainfall, Tmax and Tmin (mean and anomaly for 4 weeks).

rosaria
Download Presentation

Real time Extended Range Forecast (India Meteorological Department)

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Real time Extended Range Forecast(India Meteorological Department) Based on 03 July 2019 (Valid for 05 July – 01 August 2019) • Wind, Tmax, Tmin and Rainfall evolution. • Weekly rainfall, Tmax and Tmin (mean and anomaly for 4 weeks) • Additional plots of MSLP, wind at 850, 500 and 200 hPa are available • The rainfall weekly plots with district boundary are also available • The Tmax and Tmin plots week wise are also available The forecast is based on the GFS suite of models run at IMD

  2. IMD’s Operational Extended Range Forecast (ERF) System Bias Corrected Forecasts for 4 Week (Wind,Rainfall,Tmax,Tmin) and its anomaly Friday to Thursday Week 1: (05 -11 July) Week 2: (12 -18 July) Week 3: (19 -25 July) Week 4: (26 July -01 August)

  3. MSLP

  4. 850 hPa mean wind

  5. 850 hPa wind anomaly

  6. 500 hPa mean wind

  7. 500 hPa wind anomaly

  8. 200 hPa mean wind

  9. 200 hPa wind anomaly

  10. Mean Forecast MME Based on 03 July 2019 initial condition Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa

  11. Predicted week wise weekly mean rainfall ( MME)

  12. Predicted week wise weekly mean rainfall ( MME) with % departure of rainfall over India as a whole and 4 homogeneous regions AISMR, NE, NW, CE, & SP(%) -1.06 25.20 -19.24 -3.10 -27.37 AISMR, NE, NW, CE, & SP(%) 9.47 53.67 -20.82 -7.93 18.44 AISMR, NE, NW, CE, & SP(%) -8.46 28.83 -8.53 -37.35 -16.93 AISMR, NE, NW, CE, & SP(%) 2.13 4.80 9.73 -3.45 -8.60

  13. Predicted Bias corrected Tmax

  14. Predicted Bias corrected Tmax anomaly

  15. Predicted Bias corrected Tmin

  16. Predicted Bias corrected Tmin Anomaly

  17. Extended Range Forecast (ERF) for 4 weeks Based on initial condition of 03 July, 2019

  18. THANK YOU

More Related